PSV Eindhoven at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

PSV Eindhoven

58.8%21.8%19.4%
PSV Eindhoven WinDrawWin
1.94Projected Goals 1.02
5Final Score 3

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Telstar
W 2-4 vs Groningen
W 2-0 at Twente
W 1-6 vs Sparta Rotterdam
W 3-1 at Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 2-3 at Fortuna Sittard
W 0-3 vs NAC Breda
W 4-1 at Heracles Almelo
W 0-5 vs Excelsior
L 2-3 at Twente

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven-144-158-168-164-172-164-158-145.2
NEC Nijmegen+347+390+385+360+389+360+390+382.6
Draw+343+348+330+375+349+375+375+398.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven------145.2
NEC Nijmegen-----+382.6
Draw-----+398.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -154 to -164
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +395 to +385

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-103o3½-127o3¾-108o3½-128o3¾-106o3½-128o3½-127o3½-117
Underu3½-113u3½+108u3¾-112u3½+108u3¾-114u3½+108u3¾-112u3½+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-117
Under-----u3½+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.8%
 
No45.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.17%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 416.59%
Exactly 64.86%
Exactly 80.76%
 
Exactly 115.31%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.83%
Exactly 72.06%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 014.35%
Exactly 127.86%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.50%
Exactly 48.49%
Exactly 53.30%
Exactly 61.07%
Exactly 70.30%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 035.98%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.80%
Exactly 36.40%
Exactly 41.64%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.36%
Exactly 223.87%
Exactly 43.74%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.79%
Exactly 310.92%
Exactly 51.03%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 040.71%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 216.44%
Exactly 34.93%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 062.30%
Exactly 129.48%
Exactly 26.98%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals34.82%
Wins by 3+ goals16.83%
Wins by 4+ goals6.72%
Wins by 5+ goals2.23%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals6.83%
Wins by 3+ goals1.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal23.86%
Wins by 2 goals17.99%
Wins by 3 goals10.11%
Wins by 4 goals4.49%
Wins by 5 goals1.63%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal12.56%
Wins by 2 goals4.98%
Wins by 3 goals1.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.83%5.17%
1.579.53%20.47%
2.556.85%43.15%
3.534.45%65.55%
4.517.86%82.14%
5.58.03%91.97%
6.53.17%96.83%
7.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.65%14.35%
1.557.78%42.22%
2.530.74%69.26%
3.513.24%86.76%
4.54.75%95.25%
5.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.02%35.98%
1.527.24%72.76%
2.58.44%91.56%
3.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.64%25.36%
1.539.85%60.15%
2.515.98%84.02%
3.55.06%94.94%
4.51.32%98.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
5.17%
5.28%
2.70%
0.92%
0.23%
1
10.03%
10.25%
5.24%
1.78%
0.46%
2
9.73%
9.95%
5.08%
1.73%
0.44%
3
6.30%
6.44%
3.29%
1.12%
0.29%
4
3.06%
3.12%
1.60%
0.54%
0.14%
5
1.19%
1.21%
0.62%
0.21%
0.05%
PSV Eindhoven
1-010.03%
2-09.73%
2-19.95%
3-06.30%
3-16.44%
3-23.29%
4-03.06%
4-13.12%
4-21.60%
4-30.54%
5-01.19%
5-11.21%
5-20.62%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-05.17%
1-110.25%
2-25.08%
3-31.12%
4-40.14%
NEC Nijmegen
0-15.28%
0-22.70%
1-25.24%
0-30.92%
1-31.78%
2-31.73%
0-40.23%
1-40.46%
2-40.44%
3-40.29%

Correct Score - First Half

PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
25.36%
12.00%
2.84%
0.45%
1
22.79%
10.79%
2.55%
0.40%
2
10.24%
4.85%
1.15%
0.18%
3
3.07%
1.45%
0.34%
0.05%
4
0.69%
0.33%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
PSV Eindhoven
1-022.79%
2-010.24%
2-14.85%
3-03.07%
3-11.45%
3-20.34%
4-00.69%
4-10.33%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-025.36%
1-110.79%
2-21.15%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.00%
0-22.84%
1-22.55%
0-30.45%
1-30.40%
2-30.18%