AZ Alkmaar at NAC Breda

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

63.9%18.9%17.2%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawWin
2.30Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 0

NAC Breda

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 2-2 at Volendam
W 1-4 vs Groningen
W 2-3 vs Twente
W 1-4 vs Heerenveen
T 1-1 vs Almere City
NAC Breda
Money Line
L 0-3 at NEC Nijmegen
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard
L 0-2 at Feyenoord
T 1-1 vs Willem II
L 0-3 at NEC Nijmegen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-172-139-139-132-146-132-132-118.3
NAC Breda+436+368+345+345+359+345+368+367.3
Draw+353+309+290+290+302+290+309+309.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar------118.3
NAC Breda-----+367.3
Draw-----+309.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -137 to -145
NAC Breda ML moved from +379 to +368

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o2½-139o2¾-108o2¾+100o2¾-107o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+109
Underu3-111u2½+118u2¾-112u2¾-120u2¾-113u2¾-120u2¾-112u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.6%
 
No39.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.27%
Exactly 219.12%
Exactly 418.65%
Exactly 67.28%
Exactly 81.52%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.18%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 512.76%
Exactly 73.56%
Exactly 90.58%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 010.00%
Exactly 123.03%
Exactly 226.51%
Exactly 320.35%
Exactly 411.71%
Exactly 55.39%
Exactly 62.07%
Exactly 70.68%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 032.66%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 37.63%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.51%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 45.38%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.50%
Exactly 313.59%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 034.44%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 059.57%
Exactly 130.86%
Exactly 27.99%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals41.42%
Wins by 3+ goals22.47%
Wins by 4+ goals10.27%
Wins by 5+ goals3.99%
Wins by 6+ goals1.32%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals6.22%
Wins by 3+ goals1.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
6
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal22.39%
Wins by 2 goals18.95%
Wins by 3 goals12.20%
Wins by 4 goals6.27%
Wins by 5 goals2.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.96%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal10.88%
Wins by 2 goals4.46%
Wins by 3 goals1.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.73%3.27%
1.585.56%14.44%
2.566.44%33.56%
3.544.63%55.37%
4.525.98%74.02%
5.513.22%86.78%
6.55.94%94.06%
7.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.00%10.00%
1.566.97%33.03%
2.540.46%59.54%
3.520.11%79.89%
4.58.40%91.60%
5.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.34%32.66%
1.530.79%69.21%
2.510.34%89.66%
3.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.49%20.51%
1.546.99%53.01%
2.521.25%78.75%
3.57.66%92.34%
4.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
Score01234
0
3.27%
3.66%
2.05%
0.76%
0.21%
1
7.52%
8.42%
4.71%
1.76%
0.49%
2
8.66%
9.69%
5.42%
2.02%
0.57%
3
6.64%
7.44%
4.16%
1.55%
0.43%
4
3.82%
4.28%
2.39%
0.89%
0.25%
5
1.76%
1.97%
1.10%
0.41%
0.12%
6
0.68%
0.76%
0.42%
0.16%
0.04%
AZ Alkmaar
1-07.52%
2-08.66%
2-19.69%
3-06.64%
3-17.44%
3-24.16%
4-03.82%
4-14.28%
4-22.39%
4-30.89%
5-01.76%
5-11.97%
5-21.10%
5-30.41%
5-40.12%
6-00.68%
6-10.76%
6-20.42%
6-30.16%
Draw
0-03.27%
1-18.42%
2-25.42%
3-31.55%
4-40.25%
NAC Breda
0-13.66%
0-22.05%
1-24.71%
0-30.76%
1-31.76%
2-32.02%
0-40.21%
1-40.49%
2-40.57%
3-40.43%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
Score0123
0
20.51%
10.63%
2.75%
0.48%
1
21.87%
11.33%
2.93%
0.51%
2
11.66%
6.04%
1.56%
0.27%
3
4.14%
2.15%
0.56%
0.10%
4
1.10%
0.57%
0.15%
0.03%
5
0.24%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-021.87%
2-011.66%
2-16.04%
3-04.14%
3-12.15%
3-20.56%
4-01.10%
4-10.57%
4-20.15%
5-00.24%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-020.51%
1-111.33%
2-21.56%
NAC Breda
0-110.63%
0-22.75%
1-22.93%
0-30.48%
1-30.51%
2-30.27%
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