Heracles Almelo at Willem II

Updated

Heracles Almelo

30.0%25.9%44.1%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawWillem II Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.46
2Final Score 1

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord
L 1-4 at Groningen
W 0-1 vs AZ Alkmaar
T 0-0 at RKC Waalwijk
W 1-2 vs Twente
Willem II
Money Line
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard
L 2-1 vs Ajax
L 1-3 at Heerenveen
L 2-0 vs Almere City

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+165+168+160+156+153+156+168+169.7
Willem II+145+169+160+165+171+165+171+179.2
Draw+240+238+220+250+238+250+250+268.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo-----+169.7
Willem II-----+179.2
Draw-----+268.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Willem II: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +171 to +161
Willem II ML moved from +170 to +163

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-119o2½-118o2¾-105o2¾-101o2¾-105o2½-118o2¾+104
Underu2½+100u2½+101u2½-102u2¾-115u2¾-121u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-113 to u2¼+102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.29%
Exactly 225.00%
Exactly 414.28%
Exactly 63.26%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.09%
Exactly 321.82%
Exactly 57.48%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 031.44%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.05%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 023.19%
Exactly 133.89%
Exactly 224.76%
Exactly 312.06%
Exactly 44.41%
Exactly 51.29%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.75%
Exactly 221.86%
Exactly 42.68%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 38.84%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 058.52%
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 28.40%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 050.83%
Exactly 134.39%
Exactly 211.64%
Exactly 32.62%
Exactly 40.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals12.05%
Wins by 3+ goals3.77%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals21.44%
Wins by 3+ goals8.23%
Wins by 4+ goals2.54%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal17.89%
Wins by 2 goals8.28%
Wins by 3 goals2.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal22.59%
Wins by 2 goals13.21%
Wins by 3 goals5.69%
Wins by 4 goals1.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.71%7.29%
1.573.62%26.38%
2.548.62%51.38%
3.526.80%73.20%
4.512.52%87.48%
5.55.04%94.96%
6.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.56%31.44%
1.532.18%67.82%
2.511.13%88.87%
3.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.81%23.19%
1.542.91%57.09%
2.518.15%81.85%
3.56.09%93.91%
4.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.25%29.75%
1.534.18%65.82%
2.512.32%87.68%
3.53.48%96.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
Score012345
0
7.29%
10.66%
7.79%
3.79%
1.39%
0.40%
1
8.44%
12.33%
9.01%
4.39%
1.60%
0.47%
2
4.88%
7.13%
5.21%
2.54%
0.93%
0.27%
3
1.88%
2.75%
2.01%
0.98%
0.36%
0.10%
4
0.54%
0.80%
0.58%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.13%
0.18%
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-08.44%
2-04.88%
2-17.13%
3-01.88%
3-12.75%
3-22.01%
4-00.54%
4-10.80%
4-20.58%
4-30.28%
5-00.13%
5-10.18%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-07.29%
1-112.33%
2-25.21%
3-30.98%
4-40.10%
Willem II
0-110.66%
0-27.79%
1-29.01%
0-33.79%
1-34.39%
2-32.54%
0-41.39%
1-41.60%
2-40.93%
3-40.36%
0-50.40%
1-50.47%
2-50.27%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
Score01234
0
29.75%
20.13%
6.81%
1.54%
0.26%
1
15.94%
10.78%
3.65%
0.82%
0.14%
2
4.27%
2.89%
0.98%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.76%
0.52%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-015.94%
2-04.27%
2-12.89%
3-00.76%
3-10.52%
3-20.17%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-029.75%
1-110.78%
2-20.98%
Willem II
0-120.13%
0-26.81%
1-23.65%
0-31.54%
1-30.82%
2-30.22%
0-40.26%
1-40.14%
AZ Alkmaar at Go Ahead Eag
Heerenveen at RKC Waalwijk