Excelsior at Twente

Updated

Excelsior

11.9%18.3%69.7%
WinDrawTwente Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.20
0Final Score 4

Twente

Last Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 6-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+825
W 1-3 vs Vitesse+265
W 2-0 at Cambuur+275
Twente
Money Line
L 0-1 at Volendam-150
W 0-3 vs Fortuna Sittard-220
W 1-0 at NEC Nijmegen+115
W 2-1 at Feyenoord+500
W 0-3 vs Groningen-220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+457+924+800+975+891+975+975+1006.2
Twente-170-347-375-365-414-365-347-312.9
Draw+334+503+500+480+526+480+526+558.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+950----+1075+1075+1006.2
Twente-375-----425-425-312.9
Draw+500----+540+540+558.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 30.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 10.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +985 to +975
Twente ML moved from -400 to -420

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 30.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 40.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +950 to +900
Twente ML moved from -390 to -425

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½-107o3½-102o3½+100-o3½+100o3½+100o3½+107
Underu3+107u3½-111u3½-118u3½-120-u3½-120u3½-111u3½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+107
Under-----u3½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.03%
Exactly 222.49%
Exactly 416.74%
Exactly 64.98%
Exactly 80.80%
 
Exactly 115.05%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.01%
Exactly 72.13%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 045.57%
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 214.07%
Exactly 33.69%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 011.05%
Exactly 124.34%
Exactly 226.81%
Exactly 319.68%
Exactly 410.84%
Exactly 54.78%
Exactly 61.75%
Exactly 70.55%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.06%
Exactly 224.00%
Exactly 43.83%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 311.07%
Exactly 51.06%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 069.50%
Exactly 125.29%
Exactly 24.60%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 036.06%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.76%
Exactly 36.38%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals3.40%
Wins by 3+ goals0.73%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals45.77%
Wins by 3+ goals24.79%
Wins by 4+ goals11.20%
Wins by 5+ goals4.28%
Wins by 6+ goals1.39%
Wins by 7+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Twente
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal8.53%
Wins by 2 goals2.67%
Wins by 3 goals0.61%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal23.90%
Wins by 2 goals20.98%
Wins by 3 goals13.59%
Wins by 4 goals6.92%
Wins by 5 goals2.89%
Wins by 6 goals1.02%
Wins by 7 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.97%5.03%
1.579.92%20.08%
2.557.43%42.57%
3.535.02%64.98%
4.518.29%81.71%
5.58.28%91.72%
6.53.29%96.71%
7.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.43%45.57%
1.518.61%81.39%
2.54.54%95.46%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.95%11.05%
1.564.61%35.39%
2.537.81%62.19%
3.518.12%81.88%
4.57.28%92.72%
5.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.94%25.06%
1.540.26%59.74%
2.516.26%83.74%
3.55.19%94.81%
4.51.36%98.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Twente
Score012345
0
5.03%
11.09%
12.22%
8.97%
4.94%
2.18%
1
3.96%
8.72%
9.60%
7.05%
3.88%
1.71%
2
1.55%
3.43%
3.77%
2.77%
1.53%
0.67%
3
0.41%
0.90%
0.99%
0.73%
0.40%
0.18%
Excelsior
1-03.96%
2-01.55%
2-13.43%
3-00.41%
3-10.90%
3-20.99%
Draw
0-05.03%
1-18.72%
2-23.77%
3-30.73%
Twente
0-111.09%
0-212.22%
1-29.60%
0-38.97%
1-37.05%
2-32.77%
0-44.94%
1-43.88%
2-41.53%
3-40.40%
0-52.18%
1-51.71%
2-50.67%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Twente
Score012345
0
25.06%
25.56%
13.04%
4.43%
1.13%
0.23%
1
9.12%
9.30%
4.74%
1.61%
0.41%
0.08%
2
1.66%
1.69%
0.86%
0.29%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.20%
0.21%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-09.12%
2-01.66%
2-11.69%
3-00.20%
3-10.21%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-025.06%
1-19.30%
2-20.86%
Twente
0-125.56%
0-213.04%
1-24.74%
0-34.43%
1-31.61%
2-30.29%
0-41.13%
1-40.41%
0-50.23%