Volendam at Ajax

Updated

Volendam

2.0%6.1%91.9%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.44Projected Goals 3.56
1Final Score 1

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Volendam
Money Line
L 0-2 at Excelsior+170
W 1-2 vs RKC Waalwijk+150
W 3-0 at Cambuur+275
L 4-0 vs Utrecht+255
L 2-0 vs Feyenoord+600
Ajax
Money Line
T 1-1 at Feyenoord+170
T 0-0 vs Twente-205
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen-225
T 3-3 at Emmen-380
T 2-2 vs Vitesse-700

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Volendam+2200+1926+1800+1600+2546+1600+2546+2633.3
Ajax-1500-904-1000-820-980-820-820-722.5
Draw+1100+1008+900+900+1039+900+1039+1076.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Volendam+1700----+1900+1900+2633.3
Ajax-875-----950-950-722.5
Draw+925----+950+950+1076.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Volendam: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Volendam: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Volendam: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Volendam ML moved from +2000 to +1926
Ajax ML moved from -895 to -904

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Volendam: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Volendam: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Volendam: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Volendam ML moved from +1500 to +1425
Ajax ML moved from -800 to -950

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4¾-112o4½+112o4¼-108o4¼-104o4-130o4¼-104o4-130o4-122
Underu4¾-108u4½-132u4¼-112u4¼-116u4+115u4¼-116u4½-132u4+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4-122
Under-----u4+122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u4½+113 to u4½-126

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes34.9%
 
No65.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.82%
Exactly 214.62%
Exactly 419.54%
Exactly 610.44%
Exactly 82.99%
Exactly 100.53%
 
Exactly 17.30%
Exactly 319.52%
Exactly 515.65%
Exactly 75.97%
Exactly 91.33%
Exactly 110.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Volendam
Exactly 064.09%
Exactly 128.51%
Exactly 26.34%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 02.85%
Exactly 110.13%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 321.39%
Exactly 419.03%
Exactly 513.55%
Exactly 68.04%
Exactly 74.09%
Exactly 81.82%
Exactly 90.72%
Exactly 100.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.66%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 47.71%
Exactly 60.88%
 
Exactly 129.04%
Exactly 316.63%
Exactly 52.86%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Volendam
Exactly 081.38%
Exactly 116.76%
Exactly 21.73%
Exactly 30.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 019.24%
Exactly 131.71%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 314.35%
Exactly 45.91%
Exactly 51.95%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Volendam
Wins by 2+ goals0.33%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals78.64%
Wins by 3+ goals59.64%
Wins by 4+ goals39.57%
Wins by 5+ goals22.96%
Wins by 6+ goals11.71%
Wins by 7+ goals5.27%
Wins by 8+ goals2.08%
Wins by 9+ goals0.70%
Wins by 10+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Volendam
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Volendam
Wins by 1 goal1.65%
Wins by 2 goals0.29%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal13.18%
Wins by 2 goals18.99%
Wins by 3 goals20.07%
Wins by 4 goals16.61%
Wins by 5 goals11.25%
Wins by 6 goals6.44%
Wins by 7 goals3.19%
Wins by 8 goals1.39%
Wins by 9 goals0.53%
Wins by 10 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.18%1.82%
1.590.87%9.13%
2.576.25%23.75%
3.556.74%43.26%
4.537.20%62.80%
5.521.55%78.45%
6.511.11%88.89%
7.55.14%94.86%
8.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Volendam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.535.91%64.09%
1.57.40%92.60%
2.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.15%2.85%
1.587.03%12.97%
2.569.00%31.00%
3.547.61%52.39%
4.528.58%71.42%
5.515.03%84.97%
6.57.00%93.00%
7.52.91%97.09%
8.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.34%15.66%
1.555.30%44.70%
2.528.39%71.61%
3.511.75%88.25%
4.54.04%95.96%
5.51.19%98.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Volendam
Ajax
Score012345
0
1.82%
6.49%
11.55%
13.71%
12.20%
8.68%
1
0.81%
2.89%
5.14%
6.10%
5.43%
3.86%
2
0.18%
0.64%
1.14%
1.36%
1.21%
0.86%
Volendam
1-00.81%
2-00.18%
2-10.64%
Draw
0-01.82%
1-12.89%
2-21.14%
3-30.20%
Ajax
0-16.49%
0-211.55%
1-25.14%
0-313.71%
1-36.10%
2-31.36%
0-412.20%
1-45.43%
2-41.21%
3-40.18%
0-58.68%
1-53.86%
2-50.86%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Volendam
Ajax
Score01234567
0
15.66%
25.81%
21.27%
11.68%
4.81%
1.59%
0.44%
0.10%
1
3.23%
5.32%
4.38%
2.41%
0.99%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
2
0.33%
0.55%
0.45%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Volendam
1-03.23%
2-00.33%
2-10.55%
Draw
0-015.66%
1-15.32%
2-20.45%
Ajax
0-125.81%
0-221.27%
1-24.38%
0-311.68%
1-32.41%
2-30.25%
0-44.81%
1-40.99%
2-40.10%
0-51.59%
1-50.33%
0-60.44%
0-70.10%