NAC Breda at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

NAC Breda

4.3%8.0%87.8%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.81Projected Goals 3.68
2Final Score 2

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
L 4-3 vs NEC Nijmegen
T 0-0 at Groningen
L 1-0 vs Telstar
T 1-1 vs Utrecht
L 0-1 at Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 2-1 at Fortuna Sittard
W 1-5 vs Excelsior
W 2-1 at Utrecht
W 3-4 vs Heracles Almelo
W 2-0 at Heerenveen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+1000-+625+675+640+675+675+700.3
PSV Eindhoven-500--285-270-270-270-270-240.9
Draw+600-+430+475+475+475+475+493.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+700.3
PSV Eindhoven------240.9
Draw-----+493.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +660 to +640
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -290 to -300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105-o3¼-102o3-132o3-132o3-132o3-132o3-121
Underu3½-115-u3¼-118u3+112u3+112u3+112u3¼-118u3+121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-121
Under-----u3+121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.12%
Exactly 211.28%
Exactly 418.99%
Exactly 612.79%
Exactly 84.61%
Exactly 101.04%
Exactly 120.16%
 
Exactly 15.02%
Exactly 316.90%
Exactly 517.07%
Exactly 78.21%
Exactly 92.30%
Exactly 110.42%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 044.43%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 214.62%
Exactly 33.95%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 02.51%
Exactly 19.26%
Exactly 217.06%
Exactly 320.94%
Exactly 419.28%
Exactly 514.20%
Exactly 68.72%
Exactly 74.59%
Exactly 82.11%
Exactly 90.86%
Exactly 100.32%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 012.48%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 49.75%
Exactly 61.41%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.97%
Exactly 318.74%
Exactly 54.06%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 068.69%
Exactly 125.80%
Exactly 24.84%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 018.17%
Exactly 130.99%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 315.02%
Exactly 46.40%
Exactly 52.18%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals1.13%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals73.52%
Wins by 3+ goals54.94%
Wins by 4+ goals36.23%
Wins by 5+ goals21.07%
Wins by 6+ goals10.85%
Wins by 7+ goals4.98%
Wins by 8+ goals2.04%
Wins by 9+ goals0.74%
Wins by 10+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal3.13%
Wins by 2 goals0.90%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal14.21%
Wins by 2 goals18.58%
Wins by 3 goals18.71%
Wins by 4 goals15.16%
Wins by 5 goals10.21%
Wins by 6 goals5.87%
Wins by 7 goals2.94%
Wins by 8 goals1.30%
Wins by 9 goals0.51%
Wins by 10 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.88%1.12%
1.593.86%6.14%
2.582.58%17.42%
3.565.67%34.33%
4.546.68%53.32%
5.529.61%70.39%
6.516.82%83.18%
7.58.61%91.39%
8.54.00%96.00%
9.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.57%44.43%
1.519.52%80.48%
2.54.90%95.10%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.49%2.51%
1.588.22%11.78%
2.571.17%28.83%
3.550.23%49.77%
4.530.95%69.05%
5.516.75%83.25%
6.58.03%91.97%
7.53.45%96.55%
8.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.52%12.48%
1.561.54%38.46%
2.534.52%65.48%
3.515.77%84.23%
4.56.02%93.98%
5.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven
Score0123456
0
1.12%
4.12%
7.58%
9.30%
8.57%
6.31%
3.87%
1
0.91%
3.34%
6.15%
7.55%
6.95%
5.12%
3.14%
2
0.37%
1.35%
2.49%
3.06%
2.82%
2.08%
1.27%
NAC Breda
1-00.91%
2-00.37%
2-11.35%
Draw
0-01.12%
1-13.34%
2-22.49%
3-30.83%
4-40.15%
PSV Eindhoven
0-14.12%
0-27.58%
1-26.15%
0-39.30%
1-37.55%
2-33.06%
0-48.57%
1-46.95%
2-42.82%
3-40.76%
0-56.31%
1-55.12%
2-52.08%
3-50.56%
4-50.11%
0-63.87%
1-63.14%
2-61.27%
3-60.34%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven
Score01234567
0
12.48%
21.29%
18.15%
10.32%
4.40%
1.50%
0.43%
0.10%
1
4.69%
7.99%
6.82%
3.87%
1.65%
0.56%
0.16%
0.04%
2
0.88%
1.50%
1.28%
0.73%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.19%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
NAC Breda
1-04.69%
2-00.88%
2-11.50%
3-00.11%
3-10.19%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-012.48%
1-17.99%
2-21.28%
PSV Eindhoven
0-121.29%
0-218.15%
1-26.82%
0-310.32%
1-33.87%
2-30.73%
0-44.40%
1-41.65%
2-40.31%
0-51.50%
1-50.56%
2-50.11%
0-60.43%
1-60.16%
0-70.10%