NAC Breda at Groningen

Updated

NAC Breda

16.3%19.2%64.5%
WinDrawGroningen Win
1.03Projected Goals 2.24
0Final Score 0

Groningen

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Telstar
T 1-1 vs Utrecht
L 0-1 at Sparta Rotterdam
L 0-1 at Excelsior
L 1-0 vs PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
Money Line
T 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles
W 0-3 vs Volendam
W 2-0 at Excelsior
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
L 0-2 at NEC Nijmegen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+410-+420+395+395+395+420+419.9
Groningen-152--152-141-141-141-141-125.8
Draw+280-+270+280+280+280+280+299.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+419.9
Groningen------125.8
Draw-----+299.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Groningen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 10.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +400 to +390
No Steam Moves On Groningen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105-o2½-105o2½-102o2½-101o2½-102o2½-101o2½+107
Underu2¾-115-u2½-115u2½-118u2½-119u2½-118u2½-115u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.6%
 
No42.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.80%
Exactly 220.31%
Exactly 418.11%
Exactly 66.46%
Exactly 81.23%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.42%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 511.85%
Exactly 73.02%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 035.55%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.01%
Exactly 36.55%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 010.68%
Exactly 123.88%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 319.92%
Exactly 411.14%
Exactly 54.99%
Exactly 61.86%
Exactly 70.59%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.99%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.30%
Exactly 312.73%
Exactly 51.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 061.95%
Exactly 129.66%
Exactly 27.10%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 035.49%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.04%
Exactly 36.57%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals5.62%
Wins by 3+ goals1.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals41.58%
Wins by 3+ goals22.27%
Wins by 4+ goals10.01%
Wins by 5+ goals3.82%
Wins by 6+ goals1.24%
Wins by 7+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Groningen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal10.59%
Wins by 2 goals4.12%
Wins by 3 goals1.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal22.92%
Wins by 2 goals19.30%
Wins by 3 goals12.26%
Wins by 4 goals6.19%
Wins by 5 goals2.58%
Wins by 6 goals0.91%
Wins by 7 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.20%3.80%
1.583.79%16.21%
2.563.48%36.52%
3.541.33%58.67%
4.523.22%76.78%
5.511.37%88.63%
6.54.91%95.09%
7.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.45%35.55%
1.527.68%72.32%
2.58.67%91.33%
3.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.32%10.68%
1.565.44%34.56%
2.538.73%61.27%
3.518.80%81.20%
4.57.66%92.34%
5.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.01%21.99%
1.544.71%55.29%
2.519.48%80.52%
3.56.75%93.25%
4.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Groningen
Score012345
0
3.80%
8.49%
9.50%
7.08%
3.96%
1.77%
1
3.93%
8.78%
9.82%
7.33%
4.10%
1.83%
2
2.03%
4.54%
5.08%
3.79%
2.12%
0.95%
3
0.70%
1.57%
1.75%
1.31%
0.73%
0.33%
4
0.18%
0.40%
0.45%
0.34%
0.19%
0.08%
NAC Breda
1-03.93%
2-02.03%
2-14.54%
3-00.70%
3-11.57%
3-21.75%
4-00.18%
4-10.40%
4-20.45%
4-30.34%
Draw
0-03.80%
1-18.78%
2-25.08%
3-31.31%
4-40.19%
Groningen
0-18.49%
0-29.50%
1-29.82%
0-37.08%
1-37.33%
2-33.79%
0-43.96%
1-44.10%
2-42.12%
3-40.73%
0-51.77%
1-51.83%
2-50.95%
3-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Groningen
Score012345
0
21.99%
22.78%
11.80%
4.07%
1.05%
0.22%
1
10.53%
10.91%
5.65%
1.95%
0.51%
0.10%
2
2.52%
2.61%
1.35%
0.47%
0.12%
0.03%
3
0.40%
0.42%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
NAC Breda
1-010.53%
2-02.52%
2-12.61%
3-00.40%
3-10.42%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-021.99%
1-110.91%
2-21.35%
Groningen
0-122.78%
0-211.80%
1-25.65%
0-34.07%
1-31.95%
2-30.47%
0-41.05%
1-40.51%
2-40.12%
0-50.22%
1-50.10%
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