Excelsior at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

Excelsior

4.9%10.3%84.9%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.64Projected Goals 3.06
1Final Score 5

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Zwolle
L 2-0 vs Groningen
W 0-1 vs NAC Breda
W 2-1 at Ajax
L 2-1 vs Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 2-1 at Utrecht
W 3-4 vs Heracles Almelo
W 2-0 at Heerenveen
W 0-3 vs Volendam
W 1-0 at NAC Breda

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+1200-+1100+1300+1300+1300+1300+1371.6
PSV Eindhoven-850--700-625-625-625-625-455.9
Draw+950-+825+750+750+750+825+793.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior-----+1371.6
PSV Eindhoven------455.9
Draw-----+793.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +1350 to +1250
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -588 to -625

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4-112-o4-105o4-107o4-107o4-107o4-105o4+103
Underu4-108-u4-115u4-113u4-113u4-113u4-113u4-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4+103
Under-----u4-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.47%
Exactly 216.91%
Exactly 419.31%
Exactly 68.82%
Exactly 82.16%
Exactly 100.33%
 
Exactly 19.14%
Exactly 320.86%
Exactly 514.30%
Exactly 74.66%
Exactly 90.89%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 052.70%
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 210.81%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 04.68%
Exactly 114.33%
Exactly 221.94%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.14%
Exactly 510.49%
Exactly 65.35%
Exactly 72.34%
Exactly 80.90%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.02%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 46.48%
Exactly 60.63%
 
Exactly 130.88%
Exactly 315.12%
Exactly 52.22%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 074.34%
Exactly 122.05%
Exactly 23.27%
Exactly 30.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 024.23%
Exactly 134.35%
Exactly 224.34%
Exactly 311.50%
Exactly 44.08%
Exactly 51.16%
Exactly 60.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals1.10%
Wins by 3+ goals0.18%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals66.93%
Wins by 3+ goals45.69%
Wins by 4+ goals26.84%
Wins by 5+ goals13.63%
Wins by 6+ goals6.02%
Wins by 7+ goals2.30%
Wins by 8+ goals0.74%
Wins by 9+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal3.72%
Wins by 2 goals0.92%
Wins by 3 goals0.16%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal17.82%
Wins by 2 goals21.24%
Wins by 3 goals18.85%
Wins by 4 goals13.21%
Wins by 5 goals7.61%
Wins by 6 goals3.72%
Wins by 7 goals1.57%
Wins by 8 goals0.58%
Wins by 9 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.53%2.47%
1.588.40%11.60%
2.571.49%28.51%
3.550.62%49.38%
4.531.31%68.69%
5.517.02%82.98%
6.58.20%91.80%
7.53.53%96.47%
8.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.30%52.70%
1.513.54%86.46%
2.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.32%4.68%
1.580.98%19.02%
2.559.04%40.96%
3.536.65%63.35%
4.519.51%80.49%
5.59.02%90.98%
6.53.67%96.33%
7.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.98%18.02%
1.551.11%48.89%
2.524.65%75.35%
3.59.53%90.47%
4.53.05%96.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
2.47%
7.55%
11.56%
11.80%
9.03%
5.53%
1
1.58%
4.84%
7.41%
7.56%
5.78%
3.54%
2
0.51%
1.55%
2.37%
2.42%
1.85%
1.13%
3
0.11%
0.33%
0.51%
0.52%
0.40%
0.24%
Excelsior
1-01.58%
2-00.51%
2-11.55%
3-00.11%
3-10.33%
3-20.51%
Draw
0-02.47%
1-14.84%
2-22.37%
3-30.52%
PSV Eindhoven
0-17.55%
0-211.56%
1-27.41%
0-311.80%
1-37.56%
2-32.42%
0-49.03%
1-45.78%
2-41.85%
3-40.40%
0-55.53%
1-53.54%
2-51.13%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Score0123456
0
18.02%
25.53%
18.10%
8.55%
3.03%
0.86%
0.20%
1
5.34%
7.57%
5.37%
2.54%
0.90%
0.25%
0.06%
2
0.79%
1.12%
0.80%
0.38%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-05.34%
2-00.79%
2-11.12%
Draw
0-018.02%
1-17.57%
2-20.80%
PSV Eindhoven
0-125.53%
0-218.10%
1-25.37%
0-38.55%
1-32.54%
2-30.38%
0-43.03%
1-40.90%
2-40.13%
0-50.86%
1-50.25%
0-60.20%