AZ Alkmaar at Ajax

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

27.0%24.3%48.7%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawAjax Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.66
2Final Score 0

Ajax

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Telstar
L 1-2 at NEC Nijmegen
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
T 3-3 vs Feyenoord
W 2-1 at Heracles Almelo
Ajax
Money Line
T 3-3 at Sparta Rotterdam
W 1-2 vs NAC Breda
T 2-2 at PSV Eindhoven
W 1-3 vs Zwolle
T 1-1 at Volendam

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+259+232+225+185+185+185+232+208.5
Ajax-104+109+106+112+112+112+112+129.5
Draw+297+284+265+285+285+285+285+316.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-----+208.5
Ajax-----+129.5
Draw-----+316.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +192 to +185
Ajax ML moved from +100 to -101

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3-116o3-115o3-111o3-111o3-111o3-111o3-101
Underu3+100u3-102u3-105u3-109u3-109u3-109u3-102u3+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-101
Under-----u3+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.9%
 
No44.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.90%
Exactly 223.63%
Exactly 415.77%
Exactly 64.21%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.71%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.92%
Exactly 71.70%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 030.98%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.27%
Exactly 38.31%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 019.06%
Exactly 131.59%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 314.47%
Exactly 46.00%
Exactly 51.99%
Exactly 60.55%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.98%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 43.31%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 310.11%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 058.12%
Exactly 131.54%
Exactly 28.56%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 046.42%
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 213.67%
Exactly 33.50%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals10.76%
Wins by 3+ goals3.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals25.75%
Wins by 3+ goals10.94%
Wins by 4+ goals3.81%
Wins by 5+ goals1.10%
Wins by 6+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal16.20%
Wins by 2 goals7.41%
Wins by 3 goals2.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.92%
Wins by 2 goals14.82%
Wins by 3 goals7.13%
Wins by 4 goals2.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.84%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.10%5.90%
1.577.39%22.61%
2.553.76%46.24%
3.531.46%68.54%
4.515.70%84.30%
5.56.77%93.23%
6.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.02%30.98%
1.532.72%67.28%
2.511.45%88.55%
3.53.14%96.86%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.94%19.06%
1.549.35%50.65%
2.523.16%76.84%
3.58.69%91.31%
4.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.02%26.98%
1.537.67%62.33%
2.514.52%85.48%
3.54.41%95.59%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Score012345
0
5.90%
9.79%
8.11%
4.48%
1.86%
0.62%
1
6.92%
11.47%
9.51%
5.25%
2.18%
0.72%
2
4.05%
6.72%
5.57%
3.08%
1.28%
0.42%
3
1.58%
2.63%
2.18%
1.20%
0.50%
0.17%
4
0.46%
0.77%
0.64%
0.35%
0.15%
0.05%
5
0.11%
0.18%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-06.92%
2-04.05%
2-16.72%
3-01.58%
3-12.63%
3-22.18%
4-00.46%
4-10.77%
4-20.64%
4-30.35%
5-00.11%
5-10.18%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-05.90%
1-111.47%
2-25.57%
3-31.20%
4-40.15%
Ajax
0-19.79%
0-28.11%
1-29.51%
0-34.48%
1-35.25%
2-33.08%
0-41.86%
1-42.18%
2-41.28%
3-40.50%
0-50.62%
1-50.72%
2-50.42%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Score01234
0
26.98%
20.71%
7.95%
2.03%
0.39%
1
14.64%
11.24%
4.31%
1.10%
0.21%
2
3.97%
3.05%
1.17%
0.30%
0.06%
3
0.72%
0.55%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-014.64%
2-03.97%
2-13.05%
3-00.72%
3-10.55%
3-20.21%
Draw
0-026.98%
1-111.24%
2-21.17%
Ajax
0-120.71%
0-27.95%
1-24.31%
0-32.03%
1-31.10%
2-30.30%
0-40.39%
1-40.21%