Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
+101
+270

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+104
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heerenveen
Telstar		36.2%
35.1%		28.7%
+125
+206

3
2		-0.85022-1.01608
Zwolle
NAC Breda		25.7%
51.7%		22.6%
+355
-125

2
2		-1.38450-1.48620
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax		27.0%
48.7%		24.3%
+232
+112

2
0		-1.23210-1.30978
Volendam
Utrecht		6.9%
79.7%		13.4%
+717
-250

1
3		-0.35513-0.22679
Go Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven		9.5%
75.9%		14.6%
+856
-391

1
2		-0.26143-0.27615
Twente
NEC Nijmegen		27.2%
46.7%		26.1%
+159
+167

3
3		-1.34869-1.34304
NEC Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eagles		23.7%
51.4%		24.8%
+153
+157

1
1		-1.40478-1.39408
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar		8.9%
75.3%		15.8%
+696
-271

1
2		-0.35354-0.28332
Utrecht
Feyenoord		9.7%
75.3%		15.1%
+575
-211

2
3		-0.42440-0.28429
Heracles Almelo
Twente		8.2%
77.7%		14.1%
+855
-320

1
2		-0.30994-0.25226
Excelsior
Heerenveen		16.6%
62.1%		21.3%
+377
-143

1
2		-0.56688-0.47694
PSV Eindhoven
Zwolle		71.7%
11.9%		16.5%
-222
+502

4
0		-0.41081-0.33315
Volendam
Fortuna Sittard		14.7%
65.1%		20.2%
+325
-122

0
1		-0.63595-0.42965
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam		36.0%
37.0%		26.9%
-135
+344

3
3		-1.47220-1.31219
Groningen
NAC Breda		48.9%
27.3%		23.8%
+169
+166

2
1		-1.02719-0.71474
Go Ahead Eagles
Telstar		43.8%
28.8%		27.4%
+132
+192

2
4		-1.11097-1.24552
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.