Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen		45.6%
29.1%		25.3%
+149
+160

1
3		-1.00370-1.23423
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam		15.2%
65.0%		19.7%
+310
-111

1
1		-1.30697-1.62303
Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles Almelo		43.7%
30.2%		26.0%
+160
+158

2
4		-0.99658-1.19584
Twente
Volendam		62.8%
16.0%		21.3%
-135
+355

1
1		-1.40064-1.54872
Excelsior
Ajax		9.6%
74.6%		15.8%
+725
-333

2
1		-2.17103-2.34800
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda		78.8%
8.6%		12.6%
-357
+720

1
0		-0.30817-0.23854
Feyenoord
Go Ahead Eagles		51.4%
24.6%		24.0%
-180
+525

1
2		-1.83152-1.40352
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar		42.9%
31.8%		25.3%
+114
+250

5
1		-0.75186-0.84618
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen		20.1%
55.9%		23.9%
+268
+102

0
2		-0.73948-0.58105
Ajax
Utrecht		36.9%
36.5%		26.6%
+149
+178

1
2		-1.05426-1.00816
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle		33.9%
39.1%		26.9%
+160
+165

0
1		-1.01280-0.93818
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard		40.0%
33.6%		26.4%
+131
+204

0
2		-1.14347-1.09005
NAC Breda
Volendam		35.0%
39.0%		26.0%
+147
+184

1
2		-1.07796-0.94289
Heracles Almelo
Excelsior		25.8%
48.5%		25.7%
+280
-109

2
1		-1.37152-1.35658
Telstar
Twente		10.8%
71.3%		18.0%
+732
-286

0
0		-1.75875-1.71708
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht		29.8%
43.7%		26.5%
+225
+122

0
1		-0.82910-0.82807
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.