Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
+101
+270

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+104
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Twente
Excelsior		60.4%
17.4%		22.2%
-105
+282

0
1		-1.37737-1.74744
Telstar
PSV Eindhoven		3.1%
89.1%		7.8%
+1884
-909

2
0		-3.02660-3.47603
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen		37.3%
35.8%		26.9%
+222
+112

2
2		-1.40854-1.31394
Ajax
Volendam		68.0%
13.2%		18.8%
-313
+781

1
1		-1.82909-1.67222
Heracles Almelo
Groningen		25.0%
49.8%		25.2%
+430
-154

0
4		-0.53967-0.69816
Heracles Almelo
Ajax		29.8%
44.8%		25.4%
+1175
-439

0
2		-0.24398-0.80260
Excelsior
Utrecht		9.3%
74.9%		15.8%
+572
-213

1
4		-0.41380-0.28868
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen		11.8%
72.1%		16.1%
+429
-161

0
3		-0.51328-0.32714
Twente
Heerenveen		65.9%
14.8%		19.3%
+160
+175

2
1		-0.98195-0.41697
Volendam
Telstar		9.6%
72.4%		18.0%
+220
+116

2
2		-1.40198-1.71636
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven		3.3%
88.9%		7.8%
+1209
-503

2
4		-0.22015-0.11717
Sparta Rotterdam
Go Ahead Eagles		25.5%
49.7%		24.8%
+253
+102

3
0		-1.29609-1.36583
Fortuna Sittard
NAC Breda		50.6%
26.5%		22.9%
+213
+137

1
2		-0.89370-1.32803
AZ Alkmaar
Volendam		72.4%
10.6%		17.1%
-230
+564

2
2		-1.70948-1.76855
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam		33.0%
40.4%		26.6%
+172
+158

1
2		-0.98636-0.90738
PSV Eindhoven
Twente		58.3%
20.1%		21.6%
-169
+410

2
0		-0.50081-0.53959
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.