Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Twente
Groningen		34.0%
38.2%		27.8%
+138
+212

1
1		-1.27884-1.27927
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam		38.3%
34.7%		27.1%
-135
+340

1
0		-0.58960-0.96011
Excelsior
Telstar		22.4%
51.3%		26.3%
+233
+119

2
2		-1.34508-1.33465
Volendam
Feyenoord		2.8%
89.9%		7.3%
+1907
-769

1
3		-0.15642-0.10674
Go Ahead Eagles
NAC Breda		51.9%
25.4%		22.7%
+210
+125

0
1		-0.84409-1.36991
Heerenveen
Ajax		13.1%
69.3%		17.6%
+466
-175

1
1		-1.58143-1.73852
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven		4.2%
87.2%		8.7%
+1559
-706

2
5		-0.17050-0.13722
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles		10.2%
72.8%		16.9%
+231
+114

0
2		-0.78629-0.31686
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar		17.3%
62.1%		20.6%
+471
-185

1
4		-0.46848-0.47692
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord		28.5%
47.2%		24.3%
+179
+135

3
2		-1.06499-1.25400
Ajax
Twente		32.0%
42.0%		25.9%
+182
+147

3
2		-1.07479-1.13890
NEC Nijmegen
Zwolle		53.8%
22.3%		23.9%
-113
+293

2
2		-1.40344-1.43142
Heracles Almelo
Volendam		44.4%
28.9%		26.8%
+255
+107

0
3		-0.75177-1.24233
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam		13.8%
65.7%		20.5%
+320
-120

0
1		-0.62757-0.41966
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard		40.5%
32.3%		27.2%
+148
+203

2
1		-0.94747-0.90429
NAC Breda
Heerenveen		15.4%
66.6%		17.9%
+475
-157

3
3		-1.46499-1.72020
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.