PSV Eindhoven at NAC Breda

Updated

PSV Eindhoven

78.8%12.6%8.6%
PSV Eindhoven WinDrawWin
3.05Projected Goals 0.96
1Final Score 0

NAC Breda

Last 5 Games

PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 5-1 at AZ Alkmaar
W 2-5 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 3-2 at Feyenoord
W 1-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles
W 4-0 at Zwolle
NAC Breda
Money Line
L 1-2 at Volendam
W 0-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles
T 3-3 at Heerenveen
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
L 2-1 vs Groningen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven-335--345-385-357-385-357-277.7
NAC Breda+675-+675+720+660+720+720+785.4
Draw+500-+525+500+490+510+525+558.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven------277.7
NAC Breda-----+785.4
Draw-----+558.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -345 to -357
NAC Breda ML moved from +660 to +650

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-112-o3¾+100o3¾+100o3½-115o3¾+100o3½-115o3¾+109
Underu3½-108-u3¾-120u3¾-120u3½-105u3¾-120u3¾-120u3¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾+109
Under-----u3¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.9%
 
No41.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.82%
Exactly 214.59%
Exactly 419.54%
Exactly 610.46%
Exactly 83.00%
Exactly 100.54%
 
Exactly 17.28%
Exactly 319.50%
Exactly 515.66%
Exactly 75.99%
Exactly 91.34%
Exactly 110.20%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 04.76%
Exactly 114.49%
Exactly 222.06%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 417.05%
Exactly 510.39%
Exactly 65.27%
Exactly 72.29%
Exactly 80.87%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 038.18%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.70%
Exactly 35.68%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.63%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 47.73%
Exactly 60.89%
 
Exactly 129.01%
Exactly 316.65%
Exactly 52.87%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 024.41%
Exactly 134.42%
Exactly 224.27%
Exactly 311.41%
Exactly 44.02%
Exactly 51.13%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 064.03%
Exactly 128.55%
Exactly 26.36%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals59.93%
Wins by 3+ goals39.59%
Wins by 4+ goals22.60%
Wins by 5+ goals11.19%
Wins by 6+ goals4.83%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals2.67%
Wins by 3+ goals0.64%

Exact Winning Margin

PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
6
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal18.73%
Wins by 2 goals20.34%
Wins by 3 goals16.99%
Wins by 4 goals11.40%
Wins by 5 goals6.36%
Wins by 6 goals3.03%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal5.92%
Wins by 2 goals2.03%
Wins by 3 goals0.53%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.18%1.82%
1.590.90%9.10%
2.576.31%23.69%
3.556.81%43.19%
4.537.28%62.72%
5.521.62%78.38%
6.511.15%88.85%
7.55.16%94.84%
8.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.24%4.76%
1.580.75%19.25%
2.558.69%41.31%
3.536.29%63.71%
4.519.24%80.76%
5.58.86%91.14%
6.53.58%96.42%
7.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.82%38.18%
1.525.06%74.94%
2.57.36%92.64%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.37%15.63%
1.555.36%44.64%
2.528.44%71.56%
3.511.78%88.22%
4.54.06%95.94%
5.51.19%98.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
Score0123
0
1.82%
1.75%
0.84%
0.27%
1
5.53%
5.33%
2.56%
0.82%
2
8.42%
8.11%
3.90%
1.25%
3
8.55%
8.23%
3.96%
1.27%
4
6.51%
6.27%
3.02%
0.97%
5
3.97%
3.82%
1.84%
0.59%
6
2.01%
1.94%
0.93%
0.30%
PSV Eindhoven
1-05.53%
2-08.42%
2-18.11%
3-08.55%
3-18.23%
3-23.96%
4-06.51%
4-16.27%
4-23.02%
4-30.97%
5-03.97%
5-13.82%
5-21.84%
5-30.59%
5-40.14%
6-02.01%
6-11.94%
6-20.93%
6-30.30%
Draw
0-01.82%
1-15.33%
2-23.90%
3-31.27%
4-40.23%
NAC Breda
0-11.75%
0-20.84%
1-22.56%
0-30.27%
1-30.82%
2-31.25%

Correct Score - First Half

PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
Score0123
0
15.63%
6.97%
1.55%
0.23%
1
22.04%
9.83%
2.19%
0.33%
2
15.54%
6.93%
1.54%
0.23%
3
7.30%
3.26%
0.73%
0.11%
4
2.57%
1.15%
0.26%
0.04%
5
0.73%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
6
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
PSV Eindhoven
1-022.04%
2-015.54%
2-16.93%
3-07.30%
3-13.26%
3-20.73%
4-02.57%
4-11.15%
4-20.26%
5-00.73%
5-10.32%
6-00.17%
Draw
0-015.63%
1-19.83%
2-21.54%
3-30.11%
NAC Breda
0-16.97%
0-21.55%
1-22.19%
0-30.23%
1-30.33%
2-30.23%