Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
PostponedGroningen
Ajax 		15.3%
64.7%		20.0%
+255
-102

0.91
2.09		3.00
o2¾-108
u2¾-105

Games for Nov 29, 2025
Games for Dec 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam		19.8%
57.8%		22.4%
+443
-145

0
4		-0.55963-0.54905
Ajax
Almere City		73.6%
10.1%		16.3%
-196
+566

1
0		-0.43702-0.30593
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen		53.7%
23.1%		23.3%
+117
+253

1
3		-1.29470-1.46729
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord		11.3%
71.5%		17.2%
+557
-207

0
0		-1.58265-1.76160
Twente
Groningen		45.3%
28.2%		26.5%
+101
+298

1
1		-1.27207-1.32648
PSV Eindhoven
Go Ahead Eagles		70.3%
12.6%		17.1%
-211
+516

2
3		-1.85726-2.07513
NAC Breda
Utrecht		13.1%
70.4%		16.5%
+484
-172

0
1		-0.49330-0.35069
Fortuna Sittard
RKC Waalwijk		39.4%
33.7%		26.9%
+240
+115

2
1		-1.26012-0.93125
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar		10.2%
74.2%		15.6%
+1048
-345

0
1		-0.29166-0.29869
Go Ahead Eagles
Ajax		8.6%
77.4%		14.0%
+549
-204

0
2		-0.42771-0.25634
NEC Nijmegen
Twente		18.7%
58.7%		22.6%
+499
-187

0
2		-0.46781-0.53326
Almere City
Feyenoord		4.9%
84.4%		10.7%
+1158
-417

1
2		-0.25252-0.16979
Heracles Almelo
Ajax		5.4%
84.1%		10.6%
+772
-302

0
4		-0.31810-0.17370
Heerenveen
Zwolle		29.4%
45.2%		25.4%
+156
+178

1
1		-1.27988-1.37219
RKC Waalwijk
Twente		7.3%
79.3%		13.4%
+693
-287

0
2		-0.33827-0.23237
Almere City
NEC Nijmegen		12.1%
68.8%		19.1%
+491
-165

2
2		-1.43860-1.65381
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.