Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 14 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/19/2025 02:45 PM	Feyenoord Heracles Almelo	70.0% 12.5%	17.5%	-267 +680	7 0	-0.35184	-0.35615
10/19/2025 12:30 PM	Fortuna Sittard Excelsior	30.2% 42.8%	26.9%	+255 +112	0 1	-0.77479	-0.84814
10/19/2025 12:30 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Groningen	28.4% 45.0%	26.6%	+350 -127	2 0	-1.54150	-1.25846
10/19/2025 10:15 AM	Heerenveen Telstar	36.2% 35.1%	28.7%	+125 +206	3 2	-0.85022	-1.01608
10/18/2025 07:00 PM	Zwolle NAC Breda	25.7% 51.7%	22.6%	+355 -125	2 2	-1.38450	-1.48620
10/18/2025 07:00 PM	AZ Alkmaar Ajax	27.0% 48.7%	24.3%	+232 +112	2 0	-1.23210	-1.30978
10/18/2025 04:45 PM	Volendam Utrecht	6.9% 79.7%	13.4%	+717 -250	1 3	-0.35513	-0.22679
10/18/2025 04:45 PM	Go Ahead Eagles PSV Eindhoven	9.5% 75.9%	14.6%	+856 -391	1 2	-0.26143	-0.27615
10/18/2025 02:30 PM	Twente NEC Nijmegen	27.2% 46.7%	26.1%	+159 +167	3 3	-1.34869	-1.34304
10/05/2025 06:00 PM	NEC Nijmegen Go Ahead Eagles	23.7% 51.4%	24.8%	+153 +157	1 1	-1.40478	-1.39408
10/05/2025 02:45 PM	Telstar AZ Alkmaar	8.9% 75.3%	15.8%	+696 -271	1 2	-0.35354	-0.28332
10/05/2025 12:30 PM	Utrecht Feyenoord	9.7% 75.3%	15.1%	+575 -211	2 3	-0.42440	-0.28429
10/05/2025 10:15 AM	Heracles Almelo Twente	8.2% 77.7%	14.1%	+855 -320	1 2	-0.30994	-0.25226
10/04/2025 07:00 PM	Excelsior Heerenveen	16.6% 62.1%	21.3%	+377 -143	1 2	-0.56688	-0.47694
10/04/2025 06:00 PM	PSV Eindhoven Zwolle	71.7% 11.9%	16.5%	-222 +502	4 0	-0.41081	-0.33315
10/04/2025 04:45 PM	Volendam Fortuna Sittard	14.7% 65.1%	20.2%	+325 -122	0 1	-0.63595	-0.42965

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.