Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
+105
+260

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+102
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar		10.7%
73.0%		16.3%
+542
-182

2
1		-1.89845-2.23820
Willem II
RKC Waalwijk		38.6%
34.3%		27.1%
+209
+135

0
2		-0.89431-1.06863
Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard		25.7%
49.9%		24.3%
+241
+115

4
1		-1.26674-1.35697
Heerenveen
Groningen		29.0%
44.7%		26.2%
+241
+132

0
1		-0.88153-0.80459
NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven		2.8%
91.3%		5.9%
+1658
-760

2
3		-0.16284-0.09138
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo		46.7%
28.1%		25.2%
-119
+329

1
1		-1.37781-1.38031
RKC Waalwijk
Sparta Rotterdam		15.4%
64.4%		20.2%
+594
-208

1
1		-1.56222-1.60033
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen		18.3%
59.7%		21.9%
+401
-144

1
4		-0.56696-0.51534
Heracles Almelo
Almere City		25.8%
48.5%		25.7%
+250
+126

2
0		-1.29266-1.35658
Ajax
Heerenveen		61.6%
17.8%		20.5%
-159
+437

2
0		-0.52707-0.48433
Twente
NAC Breda		55.0%
23.1%		21.9%
-131
+380

1
2		-1.60584-1.46698
Groningen
Go Ahead Eagles		21.7%
54.3%		24.0%
+503
-180

1
2		-0.47668-0.61015
Feyenoord
Willem II		66.4%
14.6%		19.0%
-239
+663

1
1		-1.63020-1.66021
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht		38.5%
34.8%		26.7%
+168
+168

0
0		-1.26125-1.32069
PSV Eindhoven
Zwolle		83.7%
5.7%		10.7%
-425
+1034

1
3		-2.46770-2.86910
Heerenveen
NAC Breda		30.3%
45.9%		23.9%
+246
+122

4
2		-1.27683-1.19481
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.