Go Ahead Eag at NAC Breda

Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

40.9%25.0%34.1%
Go Ahead Eag WinDrawNAC Breda Win
1.50Projected Goals 1.35
1Final Score 1

NAC Breda

Last 5 Games

Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Utrecht
L 2-3 at Feyenoord
W 0-1 vs Willem II
W 3-2 at NEC Nijmegen
W 2-3 vs PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
Money Line
L 1-3 at Ajax
T 1-1 vs Groningen
T 1-1 at Almere City
T 1-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 0-1 at Utrecht

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+125+115+115+112+110+112+115+123.1
NAC Breda+195+224+210+215+220+215+224+231.5
Draw+245+274+250+280+269+280+280+299.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag-----+123.1
NAC Breda-----+231.5
Draw-----+299.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +114 to +108
NAC Breda ML moved from +225 to +210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+118o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-116o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-104
Underu3-115u3-138u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-104u2¾-105u2¾-104u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.5%
 
No42.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.81%
Exactly 223.52%
Exactly 415.88%
Exactly 64.29%
Exactly 80.62%
 
Exactly 116.52%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 59.04%
Exactly 71.74%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 022.34%
Exactly 133.48%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 312.54%
Exactly 44.70%
Exactly 51.41%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 025.99%
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 310.60%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.77%
Exactly 223.25%
Exactly 43.36%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 310.21%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 049.96%
Exactly 134.67%
Exactly 212.03%
Exactly 32.78%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 053.58%
Exactly 133.43%
Exactly 210.43%
Exactly 32.17%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals19.83%
Wins by 3+ goals7.65%
Wins by 4+ goals2.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.58%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals15.19%
Wins by 3+ goals5.34%
Wins by 4+ goals1.51%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Go Ahead Eagles
NAC Breda
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal21.00%
Wins by 2 goals12.18%
Wins by 3 goals5.27%
Wins by 4 goals1.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.49%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal18.88%
Wins by 2 goals9.85%
Wins by 3 goals3.83%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.19%5.81%
1.577.67%22.33%
2.554.15%45.85%
3.531.84%68.16%
4.515.96%84.04%
5.56.92%93.08%
6.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.66%22.34%
1.544.18%55.82%
2.519.08%80.92%
3.56.55%93.45%
4.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.01%25.99%
1.539.00%61.00%
2.515.40%84.60%
3.54.80%95.20%
4.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.23%26.77%
1.537.95%62.05%
2.514.70%85.30%
3.54.49%95.51%
4.51.13%98.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eag
NAC Breda
Score012345
0
5.81%
7.82%
5.27%
2.37%
0.80%
0.22%
1
8.70%
11.73%
7.90%
3.55%
1.20%
0.32%
2
6.52%
8.79%
5.92%
2.66%
0.90%
0.24%
3
3.26%
4.39%
2.96%
1.33%
0.45%
0.12%
4
1.22%
1.64%
1.11%
0.50%
0.17%
0.05%
5
0.37%
0.49%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-08.70%
2-06.52%
2-18.79%
3-03.26%
3-14.39%
3-22.96%
4-01.22%
4-11.64%
4-21.11%
4-30.50%
5-00.37%
5-10.49%
5-20.33%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-05.81%
1-111.73%
2-25.92%
3-31.33%
4-40.17%
NAC Breda
0-17.82%
0-25.27%
1-27.90%
0-32.37%
1-33.55%
2-32.66%
0-40.80%
1-41.20%
2-40.90%
3-40.45%
0-50.22%
1-50.32%
2-50.24%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Go Ahead Eag
NAC Breda
Score01234
0
26.77%
16.70%
5.21%
1.08%
0.17%
1
18.58%
11.59%
3.62%
0.75%
0.12%
2
6.45%
4.02%
1.25%
0.26%
0.04%
3
1.49%
0.93%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.26%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-018.58%
2-06.45%
2-14.02%
3-01.49%
3-10.93%
3-20.29%
4-00.26%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-026.77%
1-111.59%
2-21.25%
NAC Breda
0-116.70%
0-25.21%
1-23.62%
0-31.08%
1-30.75%
2-30.26%
0-40.17%
1-40.12%