Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 15 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/01/2025 07:00 PM	Twente Groningen	45.3% 28.2%	26.5%	+101 +298	1 1	-1.27207	-1.32648
03/01/2025 05:45 PM	PSV Eindhoven Go Ahead Eagles	70.3% 12.6%	17.1%	-211 +516	2 3	-1.85726	-2.07513
03/01/2025 03:30 PM	NAC Breda Utrecht	13.1% 70.4%	16.5%	+484 -172	0 1	-0.49330	-0.35069
02/28/2025 07:00 PM	Fortuna Sittard RKC Waalwijk	39.4% 33.7%	26.9%	+240 +115	2 1	-1.26012	-0.93125
02/23/2025 03:45 PM	Fortuna Sittard AZ Alkmaar	10.2% 74.2%	15.6%	+1048 -345	0 1	-0.29166	-0.29869
02/23/2025 01:30 PM	Go Ahead Eagles Ajax	8.6% 77.4%	14.0%	+549 -204	0 2	-0.42771	-0.25634
02/23/2025 01:30 PM	NEC Nijmegen Twente	18.7% 58.7%	22.6%	+499 -187	0 2	-0.46781	-0.53326
02/22/2025 07:00 PM	Almere City Feyenoord	4.9% 84.4%	10.7%	+1158 -417	1 2	-0.25252	-0.16979
02/16/2025 03:45 PM	Heracles Almelo Ajax	5.4% 84.1%	10.6%	+772 -302	0 4	-0.31810	-0.17370
02/16/2025 01:30 PM	Heerenveen Zwolle	29.4% 45.2%	25.4%	+156 +178	1 1	-1.27988	-1.37219
02/16/2025 01:30 PM	RKC Waalwijk Twente	7.3% 79.3%	13.4%	+693 -287	0 2	-0.33827	-0.23237
02/16/2025 11:15 AM	Almere City NEC Nijmegen	12.1% 68.8%	19.1%	+491 -165	2 2	-1.43860	-1.65381
02/15/2025 08:00 PM	Groningen Willem II	26.5% 47.8%	25.7%	+202 +173	3 1	-1.14438	-1.32878
02/15/2025 05:45 PM	Feyenoord NAC Breda	66.0% 15.9%	18.2%	-173 +449	0 0	-1.53619	-1.70457
02/15/2025 03:30 PM	Utrecht PSV Eindhoven	5.9% 83.1%	10.9%	+695 -285	2 2	-1.78689	-2.21247
02/14/2025 07:00 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Go Ahead Eagles	24.8% 50.7%	24.5%	+230 +117	0 1	-0.81258	-0.67942

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.