Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Feyenoord
RKC Waalwijk
76.2%
9.0%
14.8%
-426
+1103
-480
+1125
3
2
-0.24810-0.24001-0.27149
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
19.9%
59.4%
20.7%
+391
-130
+315
-115
2
0
-1.62969-1.47534-1.61415
NEC Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eagles
24.6%
50.4%
25.0%
+274
+102
+275
-105
0
5
-0.73886-0.72054-0.68603
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
15.0%
66.1%
18.8%
+693
-286
+700
-300
1
6
-0.33600-0.33543-0.41355
Utrecht
Ajax
11.5%
71.6%
16.9%
+722
-235
+625
-225
2
2
-1.69467-1.56394-1.77857
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
58.6%
18.9%
22.5%
-122
+343
-140
+370
2
1
-0.62609-0.58709-0.53438
Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar
6.8%
80.3%
12.8%
+662
-247
+700
-300
0
1
-0.37943-0.33837-0.21882
Go Ahead Eagles
Twente
9.2%
75.5%
15.2%
+390
-141
+465
-175
2
3
-0.56913-0.49949-0.28053
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
64.1%
16.4%
19.4%
-209
+536
-200
+515
5
2
-0.42601-0.45567-0.44424
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle
42.6%
30.7%
26.8%
+159
+176
+155
+175
0
1
-1.05443-1.06031-1.18228
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
6.2%
82.1%
11.6%
+1100
-380
+950
-380
1
1
-1.85880-1.84396-2.15193
Willem II
Groningen
24.9%
49.8%
25.3%
+310
+104
+285
+110
0
2
-0.74851-0.79396-0.69770
Almere City
NAC Breda
23.2%
54.1%
22.7%
+485
-161
+390
-135
0
1
-0.52022-0.60550-0.61519
RKC Waalwijk
Heerenveen
13.7%
67.3%
19.1%
+415
-157
+380
-150
1
1
-1.48651-1.46192-1.65705
Zwolle
Ajax
4.1%
86.7%
9.2%
+2000
-796
+1900
-875
0
2
-0.15579-0.15957-0.14306
NAC Breda
Willem II
26.4%
50.6%
23.0%
+230
+145
+245
+130
2
2
-1.17564-1.16632-1.46963
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.