Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Ajax
Groningen 		40.5%
32.7%		26.8%
+144
+166

1.34
1.17		2.51
o2¾-118
u2¾-102

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven 		14.4%
67.4%		18.2%
+625
-305

0.97
2.32		3.29
o3½-115
u3½-105

Heerenveen
Excelsior 		41.4%
31.4%		27.2%
+129
+180

1.33
1.12		2.45
o2¾-122
u2¾+102

Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior		34.0%
37.7%		28.3%
+200
+140

1
0		-1.13370-1.07860
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht		29.7%
44.7%		25.6%
+224
+134

0
2		-0.87981-0.80517
Feyenoord
Twente		37.8%
36.4%		25.8%
+230
+105

0
2		-0.75788-1.01159
Groningen
Volendam		52.7%
22.0%		25.3%
-104
+260

2
3		-1.33041-1.51376
Ajax
Zwolle		62.8%
17.0%		20.2%
-116
+290

0
0		-1.42883-1.60013
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen		10.0%
73.8%		16.2%
+575
-233

3
2		-1.94715-2.30379
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles Almelo		72.5%
11.3%		16.1%
-345
+750

3
1		-0.29479-0.32091
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen		25.0%
51.4%		23.5%
+270
+101

1
2		-0.72861-0.66489
NAC Breda
Telstar		36.3%
38.3%		25.4%
+165
+160

0
3		-0.99450-0.96053
Telstar
Feyenoord		5.7%
82.5%		11.8%
+1100
-476

1
2		-0.22871-0.19243
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar		22.6%
55.6%		21.8%
+260
+104

1
3		-0.75769-0.58686
Heracles Almelo
Go Ahead Eagles		18.8%
59.4%		21.8%
+290
-107

0
4		-0.70609-0.52061
Zwolle
Utrecht		9.8%
75.3%		14.9%
+425
-154

1
1		-1.47850-1.90314
Groningen
Twente		15.1%
63.7%		21.2%
+475
-189

1
2		-0.45819-0.45037
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax		20.6%
56.8%		22.7%
+310
-125

1
1		-1.45342-1.48497
Volendam
NAC Breda		15.8%
65.0%		19.1%
+425
-152

0
1		-0.54242-0.43003
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.