Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 13, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Groningen
Zwolle 		45.0%
28.7%		26.3%
+130
+185

1.44
1.09		2.53
o3+100
u3-120

Games for Mar 12, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen		16.9%
61.2%		21.9%
+281
+110
+280
+100
3
3		-1.26023-1.30048-1.51841
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior		45.7%
28.0%		26.4%
-253
+649
-245
+600
1
2		-2.05315-1.99753-1.27450
Emmen
Vitesse		13.9%
67.7%		18.4%
+377
-129
+375
-135
1
2		-0.60939-0.60468-0.38951
Ajax
RKC Waalwijk		83.5%
5.3%		11.2%
-307
+738
-350
+825
4
1		-0.31023-0.29993-0.18079
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord		7.9%
79.0%		13.1%
+1169
-450
+1125
-485
1
1		-2.03309-2.01029-2.03141
Excelsior
Ajax		2.9%
89.3%		7.8%
+2685
-1273
+2400
-1600
1
7		-0.11484-0.11189-0.11345
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar		29.9%
44.6%		25.5%
+180
+146
+170
+140
3
1		-1.06158-1.04557-1.20785
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven		8.4%
78.1%		13.4%
+854
-327
+700
-310
1
6		-0.30587-0.33170-0.24705
Groningen
Twente		14.2%
65.7%		20.2%
+730
-241
+700
-260
0
3		-0.37791-0.37545-0.42051
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam		25.9%
47.6%		26.4%
+215
+141
+200
+140
0
2		-0.91444-0.92712-0.74148
Vitesse
Cambuur		38.1%
36.4%		25.4%
+153
+185
+150
+170
3
0		-0.95184-0.96333-0.96435
Heerenveen
Go Ahead Eagles		37.5%
34.8%		27.7%
+171
+177
+160
+175
1
1		-1.21133-1.24396-1.28284
RKC Waalwijk
Fortuna Sittard		24.7%
51.1%		24.2%
+184
+137
+185
+130
0
0		-1.36363-1.38266-1.42047
Volendam
Emmen		16.3%
62.6%		21.1%
+279
-105
+285
-115
1
1		-1.38517-1.41075-1.55746
Fortuna Sittard
Vitesse		14.9%
66.3%		18.8%
+410
-152
+375
-145
2
1		-1.65292-1.60624-1.90300
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		59.4%
19.3%		21.3%
-153
+413
-170
+420
1
0		-0.54223-0.51316-0.52010
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.