Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 13, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Groningen
Zwolle 		45.0%
28.7%		26.3%
+137
+185

1.44
1.09		2.53
o2¾-125
u2¾+105

Games for Mar 12, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk		47.2%
27.6%		25.3%
+145
+206
+130
+200
1
2		-1.14376-1.14721-1.28848
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo		29.3%
46.5%		24.2%
+229
+125
+215
+115
1
0		-1.20795-1.19892-1.22751
Vitesse
Cambuur		26.7%
49.4%		23.9%
+110
+242
+105
+240
6
1		-0.76988-0.76873-1.32144
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven		23.4%
58.2%		18.3%
+475
-177
+440
-180
1
4		-0.47321-0.49088-0.54098
Zwolle
Groningen		22.3%
57.6%		20.2%
+395
+103
+400
-130
1
1		-1.24500-1.30247-1.60048
Willem II
Ajax		5.3%
91.7%		3.0%
+3276
-1667
+3000
-1500
0
5		-0.09176-0.11626-0.08672
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar		13.0%
78.3%		8.7%
+1300
-468
+1060
-435
1
2		-0.22196-0.25871-0.24504
Heracles Almelo
Feyenoord		16.6%
70.6%		12.8%
+851
-295
+900
-335
1
2		-0.32201-0.30876-0.34811
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse		44.2%
30.6%		25.2%
+145
+202
+135
+195
0
0		-1.27543-1.30177-1.37860
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		56.1%
24.5%		19.3%
-226
+613
-210
+525
1
1		-1.65365-1.60495-1.64403
Heracles Almelo
Utrecht		20.8%
62.4%		16.8%
+386
-133
+360
-140
0
1		-0.58938-0.58848-0.47231
Feyenoord
Twente		47.2%
29.1%		23.7%
-117
+346
-130
+355
0
0		-1.37093-1.37212-1.43961
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam		80.3%
11.8%		8.0%
-500
+1509
-650
+1600
1
0		-0.20169-0.19236-0.21974
Go Ahead Eagles
Willem II		35.7%
36.3%		28.0%
+279
+107
+295
-110
1
0		-1.35681-1.42341-1.02898
RKC Waalwijk
Zwolle		27.5%
49.7%		22.8%
+290
+109
+290
+100
0
0		-1.26698-1.27307-1.47718
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard		36.3%
35.2%		28.5%
+179
+170
+165
+170
4
1		-1.04871-1.02407-1.01244
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.