Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 13, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Groningen
Zwolle 		40.0%
33.2%		26.7%
+137
+185

1.34
1.19		2.53
o2¾-125
u2¾+105

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
NEC Nijmegen
Twente		14.0%
75.0%		11.1%
+459
-145
+430
-155
2
1		-1.74337-1.71925-1.96733
Sparta Rotterdam
RKC Waalwijk		41.5%
32.3%		26.2%
+171
+173
+150
+180
0
1		-1.02672-1.07960-1.12874
Heerenveen
Utrecht		23.9%
56.6%		19.6%
+688
-253
+675
-270
1
2		-0.36487-0.36315-0.56985
Fortuna Sittard
Willem II		31.8%
43.7%		24.5%
+317
-110
+320
-120
1
1		-1.37310-1.37074-1.40507
Willem II
Twente		27.3%
50.8%		22.0%
+440
-144
+440
-150
1
1		-1.43004-1.37231-1.51476
Vitesse
NEC Nijmegen		66.0%
18.2%		15.8%
+155
+191
+140
+190
1
0		-0.95342-0.92553-0.41515
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam		32.1%
40.0%		27.9%
+205
+154
+205
+140
1
1		-1.23515-1.24039-1.27626
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar		19.5%
65.0%		15.5%
+285
+100
+255
-105
1
5		-0.69977-0.72128-0.43046
Cambuur
Fortuna Sittard		16.4%
70.5%		13.1%
+149
+184
+135
+190
0
1		-1.06822-1.11173-0.34988
Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven		13.7%
77.8%		8.5%
+2178
-714
+2100
-900
1
3		-0.15524-0.15483-0.25068
Heracles Almelo
Go Ahead Eagles		54.1%
24.1%		21.8%
+141
+210
+140
+190
2
4		-1.15677-1.11480-1.42093
Ajax
Heerenveen		73.7%
15.1%		11.2%
-435
+1101
-450
+1000
2
0		-0.23738-0.25132-0.30468
RKC Waalwijk
Feyenoord		13.3%
76.4%		10.3%
+1889
-575
+2000
-750
2
2		-2.19033-2.16013-2.27409
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven		15.6%
73.9%		10.5%
+1586
-515
+1300
-550
1
2		-0.19757-0.21671-0.30185
Feyenoord
Vitesse		34.9%
38.2%		26.9%
-105
+281
-110
+270
1
2		-1.36696-1.35759-0.96304
AZ Alkmaar
Cambuur		80.7%
10.8%		8.5%
-123
+328
-125
+300
3
1		-0.62083-0.64185-0.21474
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.