Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 13, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Groningen
Zwolle 		40.0%
33.2%		26.7%
+140
+190

1.34
1.19		2.53
o2¾-123
u2¾+105

Games for Mar 12, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sparta Rotterdam
VVV-Venlo		37.5%
36.8%		25.7%
-104
+292
-110
+300
1
0		-0.50456-0.48665-0.98136
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse		45.3%
29.8%		24.9%
+114
+235
+110
+235
1
2		-0.94212-0.95368-1.21039
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard		62.9%
21.5%		15.6%
-200
+525
-220
+525
3
1		-0.24182-0.23542-0.46305
Groningen
Ajax		14.9%
72.0%		13.1%
+1700
-714
+1100
-425
1
3		-0.06142-0.09798-0.32907
Utrecht
RKC Waalwijk		58.9%
22.4%		18.7%
-189
+554
-200
+475
2
1		-0.34698-0.29627-0.52926
ADO Den Haag
Heerenveen		19.2%
65.5%		15.3%
+464
-169
+500
-170
0
3		-0.24859-0.23485-0.42292
Willem II
Twente		30.8%
45.0%		24.2%
+307
-109
+375
-145
1
1		-0.76235-0.82113-0.71090
VVV-Venlo
Feyenoord		18.9%
67.0%		14.1%
+1238
-476
+1100
-475
0
6		-0.08658-0.09610-0.40013
Sparta Rotterdam
Emmen		51.1%
27.4%		21.5%
+142
+202
+135
+200
1
1		-0.69926-0.70058-0.74106
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar		29.6%
46.0%		24.4%
+248
-104
+240
+100
2
4		-0.44704-0.46262-0.77683
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven		51.0%
27.3%		21.8%
+101
+235
+105
+220
1
1		-0.72542-0.71773-0.74740
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen		25.3%
52.4%		22.3%
+222
+128
+320
-115
0
1		-0.53536-0.36821-0.64663
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam		33.2%
42.1%		24.8%
+351
-128
+375
-145
2
0		-1.22302-1.29269-1.10404
Twente
Heracles Almelo		34.1%
39.3%		26.6%
+160
+181
+160
+170
2
2		-2.84697-4.66280-1.32291
VVV-Venlo
Vitesse		22.4%
60.0%		17.6%
+600
-217
+575
-225
1
4		-0.18954-0.19391-0.51006
RKC Waalwijk
ADO Den Haag		35.5%
36.4%		28.1%
-112
+320
-120
+325
0
0		-2.35398-2.77644-1.26798
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.