NAC Breda at Heerenveen

Updated

NAC Breda

15.4%17.9%66.6%
WinDrawHeerenveen Win
1.09Projected Goals 2.42
3Final Score 3

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
L 2-1 vs Groningen
L 1-2 at Ajax
W 1-2 vs Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 at Twente
Heerenveen
Money Line
W 3-2 at Telstar
W 1-2 vs Excelsior
T 2-2 at Utrecht
W 2-3 vs NEC Nijmegen
L 0-1 at Feyenoord

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+380+416+475+425+425+425+475+468.8
Heerenveen-141-157-186-180-180-180-157-145.9
Draw+305+324+315+300+300+300+324+333.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+468.8
Heerenveen------145.9
Draw-----+333.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 30.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +470 to +425
Heerenveen ML moved from -179 to -185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3-116o3-118o3-111o3-111o3-111o3-111o3-101
Underu3-127u3-102u3-102u3-109u3-109u3-109u3-102u3+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-101
Under-----u3+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.4%
 
No39.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.00%
Exactly 218.46%
Exactly 418.89%
Exactly 67.74%
Exactly 81.70%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.53%
Exactly 321.56%
Exactly 513.25%
Exactly 73.87%
Exactly 90.66%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 033.67%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.95%
Exactly 37.24%
Exactly 41.97%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 08.92%
Exactly 121.56%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 320.99%
Exactly 412.68%
Exactly 56.13%
Exactly 62.47%
Exactly 70.85%
Exactly 80.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.73%
Exactly 225.99%
Exactly 45.70%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.02%
Exactly 314.06%
Exactly 51.85%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 060.41%
Exactly 130.45%
Exactly 27.67%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 032.67%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 37.62%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals5.43%
Wins by 3+ goals1.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals44.51%
Wins by 3+ goals25.02%
Wins by 4+ goals11.89%
Wins by 5+ goals4.82%
Wins by 6+ goals1.66%
Wins by 7+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Heerenveen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal9.93%
Wins by 2 goals3.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal22.05%
Wins by 2 goals19.49%
Wins by 3 goals13.13%
Wins by 4 goals7.07%
Wins by 5 goals3.16%
Wins by 6 goals1.19%
Wins by 7 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.00%3.00%
1.586.46%13.54%
2.568.01%31.99%
3.546.45%53.55%
4.527.55%72.45%
5.514.31%85.69%
6.56.57%93.43%
7.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.33%33.67%
1.529.68%70.32%
2.59.73%90.27%
3.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.08%8.92%
1.569.51%30.49%
2.543.46%56.54%
3.522.47%77.53%
4.59.79%90.21%
5.53.67%96.33%
6.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.27%19.73%
1.548.24%51.76%
2.522.26%77.74%
3.58.20%91.80%
4.52.50%97.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Heerenveen
Score0123456
0
3.00%
7.26%
8.77%
7.07%
4.27%
2.06%
0.83%
1
3.27%
7.90%
9.55%
7.69%
4.65%
2.25%
0.90%
2
1.78%
4.30%
5.20%
4.19%
2.53%
1.22%
0.49%
3
0.65%
1.56%
1.89%
1.52%
0.92%
0.44%
0.18%
4
0.18%
0.42%
0.51%
0.41%
0.25%
0.12%
0.05%
NAC Breda
1-03.27%
2-01.78%
2-14.30%
3-00.65%
3-11.56%
3-21.89%
4-00.18%
4-10.42%
4-20.51%
4-30.41%
Draw
0-03.00%
1-17.90%
2-25.20%
3-31.52%
4-40.25%
Heerenveen
0-17.26%
0-28.77%
1-29.55%
0-37.07%
1-37.69%
2-34.19%
0-44.27%
1-44.65%
2-42.53%
3-40.92%
0-52.06%
1-52.25%
2-51.22%
3-50.44%
4-50.12%
0-60.83%
1-60.90%
2-60.49%
3-60.18%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
19.73%
22.08%
12.35%
4.61%
1.29%
0.29%
1
9.95%
11.13%
6.23%
2.32%
0.65%
0.15%
2
2.51%
2.80%
1.57%
0.59%
0.16%
0.04%
3
0.42%
0.47%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
NAC Breda
1-09.95%
2-02.51%
2-12.80%
3-00.42%
3-10.47%
3-20.26%
Draw
0-019.73%
1-111.13%
2-21.57%
Heerenveen
0-122.08%
0-212.35%
1-26.23%
0-34.61%
1-32.32%
2-30.59%
0-41.29%
1-40.65%
2-40.16%
0-50.29%
1-50.15%
Feyenoord at Heracles Almelo
Groningen at Fortuna Sittard