NAC Breda at Ajax

Updated

NAC Breda

4.6%8.6%86.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.79Projected Goals 3.54
1Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 at Twente
L 1-0 vs AZ Alkmaar
L 0-3 at NEC Nijmegen
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 at PSV Eindhoven
W 1-3 vs Zwolle
T 1-1 at Volendam
W 0-2 vs Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 at Go Ahead Eagles

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+1050+915+875+840+905+840+915+917.5
Ajax-428-337-370-417-387-417-337-292.4
Draw+602+488+475+490+485+490+490+538.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+917.5
Ajax------292.4
Draw-----+538.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +943 to +915
Ajax ML moved from -400 to -417

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-112o3-128o3-125o3-121o3-124o3-121o3-121o3-110
Underu3½-104u3+109u3+105u3+101u3+102u3+101u3+109u3+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-110
Under-----u3+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.4%
 
No46.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.31%
Exactly 212.32%
Exactly 419.28%
Exactly 612.07%
Exactly 84.05%
Exactly 100.85%
Exactly 120.12%
 
Exactly 15.68%
Exactly 317.79%
Exactly 516.71%
Exactly 77.47%
Exactly 91.95%
Exactly 110.33%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 045.00%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 214.35%
Exactly 33.82%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 02.91%
Exactly 110.30%
Exactly 218.22%
Exactly 321.47%
Exactly 418.97%
Exactly 513.42%
Exactly 67.90%
Exactly 73.99%
Exactly 81.76%
Exactly 90.69%
Exactly 100.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 013.44%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 49.08%
Exactly 61.22%
 
Exactly 126.98%
Exactly 318.10%
Exactly 53.64%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 069.09%
Exactly 125.55%
Exactly 24.72%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 019.46%
Exactly 131.85%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 314.22%
Exactly 45.82%
Exactly 51.91%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals1.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.25%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals71.53%
Wins by 3+ goals52.32%
Wins by 4+ goals33.58%
Wins by 5+ goals18.92%
Wins by 6+ goals9.40%
Wins by 7+ goals4.13%
Wins by 8+ goals1.59%
Wins by 9+ goals0.51%
Wins by 10+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal3.41%
Wins by 2 goals0.98%
Wins by 3 goals0.21%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.10%
Wins by 2 goals19.21%
Wins by 3 goals18.74%
Wins by 4 goals14.66%
Wins by 5 goals9.52%
Wins by 6 goals5.27%
Wins by 7 goals2.54%
Wins by 8 goals1.08%
Wins by 9 goals0.40%
Wins by 10 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.69%1.31%
1.593.00%7.00%
2.580.69%19.31%
3.562.89%37.11%
4.543.61%56.39%
5.526.90%73.10%
6.514.83%85.17%
7.57.35%92.65%
8.53.31%96.69%
9.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.00%45.00%
1.519.07%80.93%
2.54.72%95.28%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.09%2.91%
1.586.78%13.22%
2.568.56%31.44%
3.547.10%52.90%
4.528.12%71.88%
5.514.71%85.29%
6.56.80%93.20%
7.52.81%97.19%
8.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.56%13.44%
1.559.58%40.42%
2.532.51%67.49%
3.514.41%85.59%
4.55.33%94.67%
5.51.68%98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Ajax
Score0123456
0
1.31%
4.64%
8.20%
9.66%
8.54%
6.04%
3.56%
1
1.05%
3.70%
6.55%
7.71%
6.82%
4.82%
2.84%
2
0.42%
1.48%
2.61%
3.08%
2.72%
1.92%
1.13%
3
0.11%
0.39%
0.70%
0.82%
0.72%
0.51%
0.30%
NAC Breda
1-01.05%
2-00.42%
2-11.48%
3-00.11%
3-10.39%
3-20.70%
Draw
0-01.31%
1-13.70%
2-22.61%
3-30.82%
4-40.14%
Ajax
0-14.64%
0-28.20%
1-26.55%
0-39.66%
1-37.71%
2-33.08%
0-48.54%
1-46.82%
2-42.72%
3-40.72%
0-56.04%
1-54.82%
2-51.92%
3-50.51%
4-50.10%
0-63.56%
1-62.84%
2-61.13%
3-60.30%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Ajax
Score0123456
0
13.44%
22.01%
18.01%
9.83%
4.02%
1.32%
0.36%
1
4.97%
8.14%
6.66%
3.63%
1.49%
0.49%
0.13%
2
0.92%
1.50%
1.23%
0.67%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.11%
0.19%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
NAC Breda
1-04.97%
2-00.92%
2-11.50%
3-00.11%
3-10.19%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-013.44%
1-18.14%
2-21.23%
Ajax
0-122.01%
0-218.01%
1-26.66%
0-39.83%
1-33.63%
2-30.67%
0-44.02%
1-41.49%
2-40.27%
0-51.32%
1-50.49%
0-60.36%
1-60.13%
Fortuna Sittard at Twente
Zwolle at Volendam