Groningen at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Groningen

35.4%29.2%35.4%
Groningen WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-105
L 1-6 at Ajax+1500
T 2-2 vs Volendam-130
L 3-2 vs Cambuur-150
L 0-3 at Twente+620
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 4-1 at Volendam+145
L 1-0 vs Twente+235
L 1-0 vs Fortuna Sittard-115
L 2-3 at PSV Eindhoven+1300
W 0-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+185+250+245+245-+245+250+278.3
NEC Nijmegen+130+112+110+110-+110+112+113.8
Draw+255+255+235+252-+252+255+273.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+225----+255+255+278.3
NEC Nijmegen+120----+105+105+113.8
Draw+245----+255+255+273.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 40.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +230 to +220
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +123 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 40.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +245 to +235
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +115 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2½-116o2½-118o2½-107-o2½-107o2½-107o2½-103
Underu2¾-105u2½-102u2½-102u2½-113-u2½-113u2½-102u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.16%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 410.75%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.48%
Exactly 319.61%
Exactly 54.71%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 033.39%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 033.43%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.07%
Exactly 37.33%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.23%
Exactly 218.67%
Exactly 41.60%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.32%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 060.18%
Exactly 130.56%
Exactly 27.76%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 060.21%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 27.75%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals14.10%
Wins by 3+ goals4.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals14.07%
Wins by 3+ goals4.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal21.23%
Wins by 2 goals9.84%
Wins by 3 goals3.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal21.21%
Wins by 2 goals9.82%
Wins by 3 goals3.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.84%11.16%
1.564.36%35.64%
2.537.53%62.47%
3.517.92%82.08%
4.57.17%92.83%
5.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.61%33.39%
1.529.98%70.02%
2.59.89%90.11%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.57%33.43%
1.529.94%70.06%
2.59.87%90.13%
3.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.77%36.23%
1.526.98%73.02%
2.58.31%91.69%
3.51.99%98.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
11.16%
12.23%
6.70%
2.45%
0.67%
0.15%
1
12.24%
13.42%
7.35%
2.68%
0.74%
0.16%
2
6.71%
7.36%
4.03%
1.47%
0.40%
0.09%
3
2.45%
2.69%
1.47%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.67%
0.74%
0.40%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-012.24%
2-06.71%
2-17.36%
3-02.45%
3-12.69%
3-21.47%
4-00.67%
4-10.74%
4-20.40%
4-30.15%
5-00.15%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-011.16%
1-113.42%
2-24.03%
3-30.54%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.23%
0-26.70%
1-27.35%
0-32.45%
1-32.68%
2-31.47%
0-40.67%
1-40.74%
2-40.40%
3-40.15%
0-50.15%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
36.23%
18.38%
4.66%
0.79%
0.10%
1
18.40%
9.34%
2.37%
0.40%
0.05%
2
4.67%
2.37%
0.60%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.79%
0.40%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Groningen
1-018.40%
2-04.67%
2-12.37%
3-00.79%
3-10.40%
3-20.10%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-036.23%
1-19.34%
2-20.60%
NEC Nijmegen
0-118.38%
0-24.66%
1-22.37%
0-30.79%
1-30.40%
2-30.10%
0-40.10%