Go Ahead Eag at NAC Breda

Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

51.9%22.7%25.4%
Go Ahead Eag WinDrawNAC Breda Win
1.85Projected Goals 1.24
0Final Score 1

NAC Breda

Last 5 Games

Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Excelsior
L 1-2 at PSV Eindhoven
T 1-1 vs NEC Nijmegen
L 2-4 at Telstar
W 2-0 at Zwolle
NAC Breda
Money Line
T 3-3 at Heerenveen
T 2-2 vs Zwolle
L 2-1 vs Groningen
L 1-2 at Ajax
W 1-2 vs Heracles Almelo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+180+210+210+205+205+205+210+220.6
NAC Breda+135+125+118+119+119+119+125+130.2
Draw+255+267+255+275+275+275+275+294.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag-----+220.6
NAC Breda-----+130.2
Draw-----+294.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 50.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +205 to +195
NAC Breda ML moved from +125 to +119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3+109o3+105o3+109o3+105o3+109o3+109o3+118
Underu3-118u3-128u3-125u3-129u3-125u3-129u3-125u3-118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+118
Under-----u3-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.9%
 
No40.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.54%
Exactly 221.71%
Exactly 417.29%
Exactly 65.51%
Exactly 80.94%
 
Exactly 114.05%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.69%
Exactly 72.43%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 015.64%
Exactly 129.02%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 316.65%
Exactly 47.72%
Exactly 52.86%
Exactly 60.89%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 029.04%
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 39.15%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.90%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 44.18%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 311.68%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 042.36%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 215.63%
Exactly 34.47%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 056.41%
Exactly 132.29%
Exactly 29.24%
Exactly 31.76%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals29.23%
Wins by 3+ goals13.43%
Wins by 4+ goals5.10%
Wins by 5+ goals1.61%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals10.34%
Wins by 3+ goals3.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Go Ahead Eagles
NAC Breda
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal22.58%
Wins by 2 goals15.80%
Wins by 3 goals8.33%
Wins by 4 goals3.49%
Wins by 5 goals1.20%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal15.05%
Wins by 2 goals7.02%
Wins by 3 goals2.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.46%4.54%
1.581.41%18.59%
2.559.70%40.30%
3.537.33%62.67%
4.520.03%79.97%
5.59.34%90.66%
6.53.83%96.17%
7.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.36%15.64%
1.555.34%44.66%
2.528.42%71.58%
3.511.77%88.23%
4.54.05%95.95%
5.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.96%29.04%
1.535.05%64.95%
2.512.85%87.15%
3.53.70%96.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.10%23.90%
1.541.90%58.10%
2.517.41%82.59%
3.55.73%94.27%
4.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eag
NAC Breda
Score012345
0
4.54%
5.62%
3.47%
1.43%
0.44%
0.11%
1
8.43%
10.42%
6.44%
2.65%
0.82%
0.20%
2
7.82%
9.67%
5.98%
2.46%
0.76%
0.19%
3
4.83%
5.98%
3.70%
1.52%
0.47%
0.12%
4
2.24%
2.77%
1.71%
0.71%
0.22%
0.05%
5
0.83%
1.03%
0.64%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-08.43%
2-07.82%
2-19.67%
3-04.83%
3-15.98%
3-23.70%
4-02.24%
4-12.77%
4-21.71%
4-30.71%
5-00.83%
5-11.03%
5-20.64%
5-30.26%
Draw
0-04.54%
1-110.42%
2-25.98%
3-31.52%
4-40.22%
NAC Breda
0-15.62%
0-23.47%
1-26.44%
0-31.43%
1-32.65%
2-32.46%
0-40.44%
1-40.82%
2-40.76%
3-40.47%
0-50.11%
1-50.20%
2-50.19%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Go Ahead Eag
NAC Breda
Score01234
0
23.90%
13.68%
3.92%
0.75%
0.11%
1
20.53%
11.75%
3.36%
0.64%
0.09%
2
8.82%
5.05%
1.44%
0.28%
0.04%
3
2.52%
1.44%
0.41%
0.08%
0.01%
4
0.54%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-020.53%
2-08.82%
2-15.05%
3-02.52%
3-11.44%
3-20.41%
4-00.54%
4-10.31%
Draw
0-023.90%
1-111.75%
2-21.44%
NAC Breda
0-113.68%
0-23.92%
1-23.36%
0-30.75%
1-30.64%
2-30.28%
0-40.11%