Heerenveen at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Heerenveen

21.4%22.0%56.6%
Heerenveen WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.93
0Final Score 3

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 at NEC Nijmegen
W 0-3 vs Telstar
W 2-1 at Excelsior
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Fortuna Sittard
L 0-3 at Groningen
W 0-4 vs Heracles Almelo
L 1-2 at PSV Eindhoven
L 0-2 at Utrecht

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+335-+335+310+310+310+335+341.6
AZ Alkmaar-152--152-147-147-147-147-123.5
Draw+335-+330+320+320+320+330+352.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen-----+341.6
AZ Alkmaar------123.5
Draw-----+352.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +280 to +270
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -140 to -147

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-120-o3¼-118o3¼-114o3¼-120o3¼-114o3¼-114o3¼-104
Underu3¼+100-u3¼-102u3¼-106u3¼+100u3¼-106u3¼+100u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-104
Under-----u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¾-134 to u3¼+101

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.2%
 
No42.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.80%
Exactly 222.13%
Exactly 417.00%
Exactly 65.22%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.58%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.32%
Exactly 72.27%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 033.14%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.21%
Exactly 37.44%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 014.50%
Exactly 128.00%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.40%
Exactly 48.40%
Exactly 53.25%
Exactly 61.04%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.52%
Exactly 224.22%
Exactly 43.99%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 311.35%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 059.96%
Exactly 130.67%
Exactly 27.84%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 040.89%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.35%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals7.92%
Wins by 3+ goals2.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals33.14%
Wins by 3+ goals15.85%
Wins by 4+ goals6.27%
Wins by 5+ goals2.06%
Wins by 6+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal13.37%
Wins by 2 goals5.65%
Wins by 3 goals1.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.39%
Wins by 2 goals17.29%
Wins by 3 goals9.58%
Wins by 4 goals4.20%
Wins by 5 goals1.52%
Wins by 6 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.20%4.80%
1.580.61%19.39%
2.558.48%41.52%
3.536.08%63.92%
4.519.08%80.92%
5.58.76%91.24%
6.53.53%96.47%
7.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.86%33.14%
1.530.26%69.74%
2.510.05%89.95%
3.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.50%14.50%
1.557.51%42.49%
2.530.47%69.53%
3.513.07%86.93%
4.54.67%95.33%
5.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.48%24.52%
1.541.01%58.99%
2.516.79%83.21%
3.55.44%94.56%
4.51.45%98.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
4.80%
9.28%
8.96%
5.77%
2.78%
1.08%
1
5.31%
10.25%
9.89%
6.37%
3.08%
1.19%
2
2.93%
5.66%
5.46%
3.52%
1.70%
0.66%
3
1.08%
2.08%
2.01%
1.30%
0.63%
0.24%
4
0.30%
0.58%
0.56%
0.36%
0.17%
0.07%
Heerenveen
1-05.31%
2-02.93%
2-15.66%
3-01.08%
3-12.08%
3-22.01%
4-00.30%
4-10.58%
4-20.56%
4-30.36%
Draw
0-04.80%
1-110.25%
2-25.46%
3-31.30%
4-40.17%
AZ Alkmaar
0-19.28%
0-28.96%
1-29.89%
0-35.77%
1-36.37%
2-33.52%
0-42.78%
1-43.08%
2-41.70%
3-40.63%
0-51.08%
1-51.19%
2-50.66%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
24.52%
21.93%
9.80%
2.92%
0.65%
0.12%
1
12.54%
11.21%
5.01%
1.49%
0.33%
0.06%
2
3.21%
2.87%
1.28%
0.38%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.55%
0.49%
0.22%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-012.54%
2-03.21%
2-12.87%
3-00.55%
3-10.49%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-024.52%
1-111.21%
2-21.28%
AZ Alkmaar
0-121.93%
0-29.80%
1-25.01%
0-32.92%
1-31.49%
2-30.38%
0-40.65%
1-40.33%
0-50.12%
Feyenoord at NEC Nijmegen
Sparta R'dam at Telstar