AZ Alkmaar at Twente

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

28.9%25.6%45.5%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawTwente Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.50
3Final Score 2

Twente

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Groningen
W 3-0 at Go Ahead Eagles
T 1-1 vs NAC Breda
L 0-1 at Heracles Almelo
L 1-0 vs Feyenoord
Twente
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Utrecht
W 2-0 at Sparta Rotterdam
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven
T 1-1 at Zwolle
T 1-1 vs Fortuna Sittard

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+181+172+165+176+173+170+173+186.9
Twente+121+163+155+139+153+139+163+154.0
Draw+270+243+225+265+236+265+265+287.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-----+186.9
Twente-----+154.0
Draw-----+287.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Twente: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Twente: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +176 to +170
Twente ML moved from +145 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2½-111o2½-115o2¾+105o2½-105o2¾+105o2½-105o2¾+114
Underu2¾-110u2½-106u2½-105u2¾-125u2½-115u2¾-125u2¾-125u2¾-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+114
Under-----u2¾-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-114 to u2½-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.07%
Exactly 224.81%
Exactly 414.51%
Exactly 63.39%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.73%
Exactly 321.91%
Exactly 57.69%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 031.81%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 022.23%
Exactly 133.43%
Exactly 225.13%
Exactly 312.60%
Exactly 44.74%
Exactly 51.42%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.33%
Exactly 222.06%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 39.02%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 058.84%
Exactly 131.20%
Exactly 28.27%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 049.84%
Exactly 134.70%
Exactly 212.08%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals11.40%
Wins by 3+ goals3.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals22.55%
Wins by 3+ goals8.86%
Wins by 4+ goals2.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.70%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Twente
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal17.39%
Wins by 2 goals7.94%
Wins by 3 goals2.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal22.83%
Wins by 2 goals13.70%
Wins by 3 goals6.06%
Wins by 4 goals2.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.58%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.93%7.07%
1.574.20%25.80%
2.549.39%50.61%
3.527.47%72.53%
4.512.96%87.04%
5.55.27%94.73%
6.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.19%31.81%
1.531.76%68.24%
2.510.89%89.11%
3.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.77%22.23%
1.544.35%55.65%
2.519.21%80.79%
3.56.61%93.39%
4.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.67%29.33%
1.534.70%65.30%
2.512.63%87.37%
3.53.61%96.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Twente
Score012345
0
7.07%
10.63%
8.00%
4.01%
1.51%
0.45%
1
8.10%
12.18%
9.16%
4.59%
1.73%
0.52%
2
4.64%
6.97%
5.24%
2.63%
0.99%
0.30%
3
1.77%
2.66%
2.00%
1.00%
0.38%
0.11%
4
0.51%
0.76%
0.57%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.12%
0.17%
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-08.10%
2-04.64%
2-16.97%
3-01.77%
3-12.66%
3-22.00%
4-00.51%
4-10.76%
4-20.57%
4-30.29%
5-00.12%
5-10.17%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-07.07%
1-112.18%
2-25.24%
3-31.00%
4-40.11%
Twente
0-110.63%
0-28.00%
1-29.16%
0-34.01%
1-34.59%
2-32.63%
0-41.51%
1-41.73%
2-40.99%
3-40.38%
0-50.45%
1-50.52%
2-50.30%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Twente
Score01234
0
29.33%
20.42%
7.11%
1.65%
0.29%
1
15.55%
10.83%
3.77%
0.88%
0.15%
2
4.12%
2.87%
1.00%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.73%
0.51%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-015.55%
2-04.12%
2-12.87%
3-00.73%
3-10.51%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-029.33%
1-110.83%
2-21.00%
Twente
0-120.42%
0-27.11%
1-23.77%
0-31.65%
1-30.88%
2-30.23%
0-40.29%
1-40.15%