NAC Breda at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

NAC Breda

8.5%12.9%78.6%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.90Projected Goals 2.95
1Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles
L 1-3 at Ajax
T 1-1 vs Groningen
T 1-1 at Almere City
T 1-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 0-1 at Heracles Almelo
L 1-0 vs Feyenoord
T 2-2 vs RKC Waalwijk
T 3-3 at NEC Nijmegen
T 2-2 at Ajax

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+648+509+460+450+492+450+509+488.3
AZ Alkmaar-236-191-195-190-204-190-190-158.1
Draw+391+357+330+330+354+330+357+359.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+488.3
AZ Alkmaar------158.1
Draw-----+359.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 20.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +460 to +440
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -185 to -195

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3-109o3-110o2¾-144o3-112o2¾-144o3-109o2¾-132
Underu2½+115u3-108u3-110u2¾+124u3-108u2¾+124u3-108u2¾+132
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-132
Under-----u2¾+132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.4%
 
No43.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.12%
Exactly 215.76%
Exactly 419.48%
Exactly 69.63%
Exactly 82.55%
Exactly 100.42%
 
Exactly 18.18%
Exactly 320.23%
Exactly 515.01%
Exactly 75.30%
Exactly 91.09%
Exactly 110.15%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 040.44%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.57%
Exactly 35.00%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 05.25%
Exactly 115.48%
Exactly 222.80%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 416.50%
Exactly 59.72%
Exactly 64.77%
Exactly 72.01%
Exactly 80.74%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.81%
Exactly 226.73%
Exactly 47.08%
Exactly 60.75%
 
Exactly 129.97%
Exactly 315.89%
Exactly 52.53%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 065.76%
Exactly 127.56%
Exactly 25.78%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 025.56%
Exactly 134.87%
Exactly 223.78%
Exactly 310.82%
Exactly 43.69%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals2.54%
Wins by 3+ goals0.59%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals59.26%
Wins by 3+ goals38.56%
Wins by 4+ goals21.59%
Wins by 5+ goals10.46%
Wins by 6+ goals4.41%
Wins by 7+ goals1.61%
Wins by 8+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal5.92%
Wins by 2 goals1.95%
Wins by 3 goals0.48%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal19.26%
Wins by 2 goals20.70%
Wins by 3 goals16.97%
Wins by 4 goals11.13%
Wins by 5 goals6.05%
Wins by 6 goals2.80%
Wins by 7 goals1.12%
Wins by 8 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.88%2.12%
1.589.69%10.31%
2.573.94%26.06%
3.553.71%46.29%
4.534.22%65.78%
5.519.22%80.78%
6.59.58%90.42%
7.54.28%95.72%
8.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.56%40.44%
1.522.95%77.05%
2.56.37%93.63%
3.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.75%5.25%
1.579.27%20.73%
2.556.47%43.53%
3.534.08%65.92%
4.517.58%82.42%
5.57.86%92.14%
6.53.09%96.91%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.19%16.81%
1.553.22%46.78%
2.526.49%73.51%
3.510.61%89.39%
4.53.52%96.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
Score0123456
0
2.12%
6.26%
9.22%
9.06%
6.67%
3.93%
1.93%
1
1.92%
5.67%
8.35%
8.20%
6.04%
3.56%
1.75%
2
0.87%
2.57%
3.78%
3.71%
2.73%
1.61%
0.79%
3
0.26%
0.77%
1.14%
1.12%
0.83%
0.49%
0.24%
NAC Breda
1-01.92%
2-00.87%
2-12.57%
3-00.26%
3-10.77%
3-21.14%
Draw
0-02.12%
1-15.67%
2-23.78%
3-31.12%
4-40.19%
AZ Alkmaar
0-16.26%
0-29.22%
1-28.35%
0-39.06%
1-38.20%
2-33.71%
0-46.67%
1-46.04%
2-42.73%
3-40.83%
0-53.93%
1-53.56%
2-51.61%
3-50.49%
4-50.11%
0-61.93%
1-61.75%
2-60.79%
3-60.24%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
Score0123456
0
16.81%
22.93%
15.64%
7.11%
2.43%
0.66%
0.15%
1
7.05%
9.61%
6.56%
2.98%
1.02%
0.28%
0.06%
2
1.48%
2.01%
1.37%
0.62%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.21%
0.28%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
NAC Breda
1-07.05%
2-01.48%
2-12.01%
3-00.21%
3-10.28%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-016.81%
1-19.61%
2-21.37%
AZ Alkmaar
0-122.93%
0-215.64%
1-26.56%
0-37.11%
1-32.98%
2-30.62%
0-42.43%
1-41.02%
2-40.21%
0-50.66%
1-50.28%
0-60.15%
Heracles Almelo at Groningen
PSV Eindhoven at Twente