Heracles Almelo at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

Heracles Almelo

3.0%6.9%90.1%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.64Projected Goals 3.66
1Final Score 4

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 2-1 at Willem II
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord
L 1-4 at Groningen
W 0-1 vs AZ Alkmaar
T 0-0 at RKC Waalwijk
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 3-2 at Feyenoord
W 1-4 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 3-1 at Twente
W 0-5 vs Almere City
W 3-1 at Groningen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+1700+2336+2000+2000+2063+2000+2336+2161.5
PSV Eindhoven-1111-1223-1300-2000-1452-2000-1223-764.7
Draw+810+1242+1100+1200+1179+1200+1242+1300.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo-----+2161.5
PSV Eindhoven------764.7
Draw-----+1300.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +2100 to +2000
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -1157 to -1223

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-114o4½-104o4½-112o4½-110o4½-110o4½-110o4½-104o4½+100
Underu3½-106u4½-113u4½-108u4½-110u4½-110u4½-110u4½-108u4½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4½+100
Under-----u4½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o4¼-120 to o4½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.36%
Exactly 212.57%
Exactly 419.33%
Exactly 611.90%
Exactly 83.92%
Exactly 100.80%
Exactly 120.11%
 
Exactly 15.85%
Exactly 318.00%
Exactly 516.61%
Exactly 77.30%
Exactly 91.87%
Exactly 110.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 053.16%
Exactly 133.59%
Exactly 210.61%
Exactly 32.24%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 02.56%
Exactly 19.39%
Exactly 217.20%
Exactly 321.01%
Exactly 419.25%
Exactly 514.11%
Exactly 68.62%
Exactly 74.51%
Exactly 82.07%
Exactly 90.84%
Exactly 100.31%
Exactly 110.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 013.68%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 48.93%
Exactly 61.18%
 
Exactly 127.21%
Exactly 317.95%
Exactly 53.55%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 074.63%
Exactly 121.84%
Exactly 23.19%
Exactly 30.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 018.33%
Exactly 131.10%
Exactly 226.38%
Exactly 314.92%
Exactly 46.33%
Exactly 52.15%
Exactly 60.61%
Exactly 70.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals0.64%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals76.59%
Wins by 3+ goals58.00%
Wins by 4+ goals38.66%
Wins by 5+ goals22.67%
Wins by 6+ goals11.75%
Wins by 7+ goals5.42%
Wins by 8+ goals2.23%
Wins by 9+ goals0.81%
Wins by 10+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal2.32%
Wins by 2 goals0.54%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal13.48%
Wins by 2 goals18.59%
Wins by 3 goals19.34%
Wins by 4 goals15.99%
Wins by 5 goals10.92%
Wins by 6 goals6.33%
Wins by 7 goals3.19%
Wins by 8 goals1.42%
Wins by 9 goals0.56%
Wins by 10 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.64%1.36%
1.592.79%7.21%
2.580.22%19.78%
3.562.22%37.78%
4.542.89%57.11%
5.526.27%73.73%
6.514.38%85.62%
7.57.08%92.92%
8.53.16%96.84%
9.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.84%53.16%
1.513.25%86.75%
2.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.44%2.56%
1.588.05%11.95%
2.570.85%29.15%
3.549.84%50.16%
4.530.59%69.41%
5.516.49%83.51%
6.57.87%92.13%
7.53.36%96.64%
8.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.32%13.68%
1.559.11%40.89%
2.532.04%67.96%
3.514.09%85.91%
4.55.17%94.83%
5.51.62%98.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
1.36%
4.99%
9.14%
11.17%
10.23%
7.50%
1
0.86%
3.15%
5.78%
7.06%
6.47%
4.74%
2
0.27%
1.00%
1.83%
2.23%
2.04%
1.50%
Heracles Almelo
1-00.86%
2-00.27%
2-11.00%
Draw
0-01.36%
1-13.15%
2-21.83%
3-30.47%
PSV Eindhoven
0-14.99%
0-29.14%
1-25.78%
0-311.17%
1-37.06%
2-32.23%
0-410.23%
1-46.47%
2-42.04%
3-40.43%
0-57.50%
1-54.74%
2-51.50%
3-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
Score01234567
0
13.68%
23.21%
19.69%
11.14%
4.72%
1.60%
0.45%
0.11%
1
4.00%
6.79%
5.76%
3.26%
1.38%
0.47%
0.13%
0.03%
2
0.59%
0.99%
0.84%
0.48%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-04.00%
2-00.59%
2-10.99%
Draw
0-013.68%
1-16.79%
2-20.84%
PSV Eindhoven
0-123.21%
0-219.69%
1-25.76%
0-311.14%
1-33.26%
2-30.48%
0-44.72%
1-41.38%
2-40.20%
0-51.60%
1-50.47%
0-60.45%
1-60.13%
0-70.11%
RKC Waalwijk at Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar at Twente