Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 3, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.
Games for Apr 28, 2024
Games for May 4, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Feyenoord
Go Ahead Eagles		70.3%
12.3%		17.5%
-171
+482
-180
+450
3
1		-0.48517-0.49004-0.35297
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		64.8%
15.8%		19.4%
-266
+725
-280
+670
8
0		-0.34596-0.35436-0.43416
Excelsior
Ajax		7.7%
77.9%		14.4%
+700
-262
+700
-320
2
2		-1.74531-1.85790-1.93940
Almere City
Twente		7.1%
79.0%		13.9%
+900
-333
+1200
-400
1
3		-0.31035-0.27273-0.23625
Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen		18.5%
59.1%		22.4%
+459
-167
+450
-180
2
2		-1.53377-1.54113-1.49714
Twente
Ajax		33.3%
39.7%		27.0%
+195
+182
+180
+150
1
2		-1.01253-0.96627-0.92309
Go Ahead Eagles
Utrecht		20.1%
57.7%		22.2%
+380
-138
+390
-145
1
2		-0.57950-0.57552-0.55000
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard		66.9%
14.4%		18.7%
-278
+730
-300
+725
1
0		-0.34274-0.33935-0.40202
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo		40.1%
32.6%		27.3%
+155
+172
+145
+170
2
0		-0.96572-0.94727-0.91352
Sparta Rotterdam
Almere City		33.5%
38.2%		28.3%
+150
+186
+150
+180
3
2		-0.95104-0.96627-1.09416
RKC Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar		7.8%
78.5%		13.7%
+822
-294
+810
-335
2
3		-0.32454-0.31230-0.24193
Vitesse
PSV Eindhoven		3.7%
88.3%		8.0%
+2803
-1387
+3150
-2400
0
6		-0.10882-0.09272-0.12398
Volendam
Excelsior		13.6%
65.6%		20.7%
+375
-138
+345
-140
0
4		-0.56927-0.58684-0.42108
Utrecht
Heerenveen		25.8%
49.5%		24.6%
+200
+151
+170
+160
3
2		-1.12083-1.04120-1.35429
RKC Waalwijk
Volendam		51.2%
23.6%		25.1%
+103
+251
-105
+255
2
3		-1.28899-1.31602-1.44270
Almere City
Go Ahead Eagles		24.1%
50.6%		25.3%
+413
-143
+380
-150
1
1		-1.42483-1.46192-1.37476
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.41556 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42220 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.39356
0.02200
0.02864

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.