Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Volendam
NEC Nijmegen		7.0%
78.7%		14.3%
+850
-355

0
3		-0.28675-0.23965
Feyenoord
NAC Breda		59.8%
20.4%		19.8%
-115
+295

3
3		-1.40450-1.61813
Telstar
Fortuna Sittard		28.3%
44.6%		27.0%
+195
+137

4
1		-1.11252-1.26280
Twente
Go Ahead Eagles		45.6%
28.5%		25.8%
-139
+350

4
1		-0.57259-0.78452
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam		14.4%
66.3%		19.3%
+325
-132

1
1		-1.45805-1.64709
Heerenveen
Excelsior		41.4%
31.4%		27.2%
+131
+190

2
1		-0.87082-0.88162
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven		14.4%
67.4%		18.2%
+575
-238

1
2		-0.39266-0.39453
Ajax
Groningen		40.5%
32.7%		26.8%
+134
+190

1
3		-1.09943-1.11856
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
+118
+240

0
0		-1.28017-1.42591
Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior		34.0%
37.7%		28.3%
+200
+140

1
0		-1.13370-1.07860
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht		29.7%
44.7%		25.6%
+224
+134

0
2		-0.87981-0.80517
Feyenoord
Twente		37.8%
36.4%		25.8%
+230
+105

0
2		-0.75788-1.01159
Groningen
Volendam		52.7%
22.0%		25.3%
-104
+260

2
3		-1.33041-1.51376
Ajax
Zwolle		62.8%
17.0%		20.2%
-116
+290

0
0		-1.42883-1.60013
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen		10.0%
73.8%		16.2%
+575
-233

3
2		-1.94715-2.30379
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles Almelo		72.5%
11.3%		16.1%
-345
+750

3
1		-0.29479-0.32091
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.