Cincinnati at Buffalo

Updated
Rank4
P/G25.7
PA/G19.6
32.1%67.9%
Cincinnati WinBuffalo Win
21.7Projected Points 26.7
27Final Score 10
Rank2
P/G27.7
PA/G19.1
Rank4
P/G25.7
PA/G19.6
Rank2
P/G27.7
PA/G19.1

Quarterbacks

Joe Burrow

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.015284.03412

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.415269.03213

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Bengals
Money Line
W 17-24 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Tyler Huntley • CIN: Joe Burrow-410
W 16-27 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Anthony Brown • CIN: Joe Burrow-650
W 22-18 at New England PatriotsCIN: Joe Burrow • NE: Mac Jones-155
W 34-23 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersCIN: Joe Burrow • TB: Tom Brady-165
W 10-23 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Deshaun Watson • CIN: Joe Burrow-200
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 31-34 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Skylar Thompson • BUF: Josh Allen-1100
W 23-35 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen-400
W 35-13 at Chicago BearsBUF: Josh Allen • CHI: Justin Fields-380
W 29-32 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-350
W 12-20 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen-450

Injuries

Cincinnati Bengals

Status
  • CBTre FlowersOut
  • GAlex CappaOut
  • TJonah WilliamsOut
  • TLa'el CollinsIR

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • WRIsaiah McKenzieProbable
  • DTJordan PhillipsProbable
  • DTDaQuan JonesOut
  • SDamar HamlinOut
ESE 4 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)36°36°34°33°
Humidity86%89%92%93%
Precipitation31%47%48%41%
ConditionPossible Light SnowSnowSnowSnow
WindESE 4 mphSE 3 mphNE 3 mphNE 4 mph
Carl Cheffers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+165+220+210+230+200+230+230+211.8
Buffalo-190-270-250-270-240-270-240-211.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+184+220+232+220+220+220+232+211.8
Buffalo-210-260-270-260-260-260-260-211.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+3½-110+5½-108+5½-105+5½-109+5½-110+5½-109+5½-105+5½+100
Buffalo-3½-110-5½-108-5½-115-5½-111-5½-110-5½-111-5½-108-5½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cincinnati+4½-110+6-110+6-110+6-110+5½-110+6-110+6-110+5½+100
Buffalo-4½-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-5½-110-6-110-5½-110-5½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cincinnati: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cincinnati: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cincinnati: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cincinnati Spread moved from +6-109 to +5½-109
Buffalo Spread moved from -4-110 to -5-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cincinnati: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cincinnati: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cincinnati: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cincinnati Spread moved from +6-110 to +5½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -4½-110 to -5½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49½-110o48½-108o48½-110o48-112o48½-110o48-112o48½-108o48½+100
Underu49½-110u48½-108u48½-110u48-108u48½-110u48-108u48½-108u48½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49½-110o49-110o48½-110o48½-110o48½-110o48½-110o48-110o48½+100
Underu49½-110u49-110u48½-110u48½-110u48½-110u48½-110u49-110u48½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48-110 to o48-112
The Under moved from u48½-110 to u48-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o49-110
The Under moved from u48½-110 to u48-110