Buffalo at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3
39.2%60.8%
Buffalo WinTampa Bay Win
23.3Projected Points 26.5
27Final Score 33
Rank3
P/G30.0
PA/G21.0
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3
Rank3
P/G30.0
PA/G21.0

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.712268.02610

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.312314.03410

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 14-10 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen-144
W 31-6 at New Orleans SaintsBUF: Josh Allen • NO: Trevor Siemian-270
L 41-15 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Carson Wentz • BUF: Josh Allen-290
W 45-17 at New York JetsBUF: Josh Allen • NYJ: Mike White-745
L 6-9 at Jacksonville JaguarsBUF: Josh Allen • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-1200
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 30-17 at Atlanta FalconsTB: Tom Brady • ATL: Matt Ryan-515
W 38-31 at Indianapolis ColtsTB: Tom Brady • IND: Carson Wentz-140
W 10-30 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • TB: Tom Brady-500
L 19-29 at Washington Football TeamTB: Tom Brady • WAS: Taylor Heinicke-430
L 27-36 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Tom Brady • NO: Jameis Winston-185

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • FBReggie GilliamProbable
  • GJon FelicianoProbable
  • LBA.J. KleinOut
  • DTStar LotuleleiOut
  • CBTre'Davious WhiteOut for Season
  • DEEfe ObadaProbable
  • WREmmanuel SandersProbable
  • TETommy SweeneyOut

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • GAaron StinnieIR
  • WRJaelon DardenProbable
  • WRAntonio BrownOut
  • LSZach TrinerProbable
  • CBJamel DeanProbable
  • SJordan WhiteheadOut
  • DEWilliam GholstonProbable
  • RBRonald Jones IIProbable
  • SMike EdwardsOut
  • CBRichard ShermanProbable
  • CRyan JensenProbable
W 7 mph
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)79°78°75°72°
Humidity69%73%78%83%
Precipitation2%1%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindW 7 mphWNW 7 mphNW 7 mphNNW 7 mph
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+145+145+140+145+150+145+150+142.0
Tampa Bay-165-165-165-165-170-165-165-142.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+155+150+146+150+160+145+160+142.0
Tampa Bay-175-170-165-170-180-165-165-142.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+3½-110+3-105+3½-130+3½-120+3½-119+3½-120+3½-119+3-104
Tampa Bay-3½-110-3-115-3½+110-3½+100-3½+101-3½+100-3½+110-3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+3½-110+3½-110+3-105+3+100+3½-110+3½-120+3½-110+3-104
Tampa Bay-3½-110-3½-110-3-115-3-120-3½-110-3½+100-3-115-3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +3½-115 to +3½-125
Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3½-105 to -3½-115

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Buffalo: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 30.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +3½-110 to +3+100
Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3½+105 to -3-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo53-110o53-110o53½-115o53-110o53-109o53-110o53-109o52½-106
Underu53-110u53-110u53½-105u53-110u53-109u53-110u53½-105u52½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo53½-110o53-110o53-110o53-110o53-110o53-110o53-110o52½-106
Underu53½-110u53-110u53-110u53-110u53-110u53-110u53-110u52½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o53½-110 to o53½-115
The Under moved from u53-110 to u53-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o52½-110 to o53½-110
The Under moved from u53½-110 to u53-110