NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 18, 2025

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Rams (11-3)
Seattle Seahawks (11-3)		Matthew Stafford
Sam Darnold		49.6%
50.4%
-105
-106
-108
-105
-1+100
+1-112
+0-108
+1-110
21.4
21.6		43.0
o43½-114
u44-110
o44-110
u44½-110
Games for Dec 17, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos		20.5%
79.5%
+360
-400
+375
-450
+7½-113
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-110
3
28		-0.24038-0.22897-0.22958
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins		41.5%
58.5%
+135
-150
+145
-150
+2½+102
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
21
27		-0.53604-0.51896-0.53553
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys		69.9%
30.1%
-330
+278
-320
+285
-6½-105
+6½-105
-6½-105
+6½-105
40
40		-0.82870-0.83141-0.77954
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs		66.9%
33.1%
-140
+125
-145
+130
-2½-113
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+100
20
37		-0.83833-0.85918-1.10488
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders		51.1%
48.9%
+125
-140
+125
-135
+2½-105
-2½-105
+2½-108
-1½-110
25
24		-0.83833-0.82968-0.67213
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams		32.9%
67.1%
+165
-185
+170
-185
+3½-113
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3½+100
20
27		-0.45828-0.45144-0.39952
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers		33.1%
66.9%
+145
-165
+145
-160
+3-108
-3-108
+3-108
-3-105
26
21		-0.92644-0.91937-1.10449
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants		72.6%
27.4%
-260
+225
-260
+260
-5½-108
+5½-108
-6+100
+6-110
18
21		-1.20815-1.28093-1.29397
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans		24.9%
75.1%
+320
-370
+335
-375
+7+102
-7-115
+7+105
-7-115
0
26		-0.26425-0.25556-0.28686
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions		17.1%
82.9%
+446
-550
+475
-600
+10-104
-10-105
+10½-110
-10-108
10
34		-0.19594-0.18473-0.18772
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons		49.8%
50.2%
+145
-145
+140
-145
+2½+102
-2½-118
+3-110
-2½-110
27
34		-0.52452-0.53299-0.68961
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots		35.0%
65.0%
+205
-230
+215
-240
+5½-107
-5½-108
+5½-110
-5-108
13
42		-0.38554-0.37138-0.43121
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills		5.9%
94.1%
+875
-1100
+950
-1100
+14½-113
-14-115
+14½-110
-14-108
19
31		-0.10605-0.09885-0.06102
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		65.9%
34.1%
-180
+170
-185
+180
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½-108
+3½-108
31
25		-0.45497-0.43838-0.41771
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers		60.9%
39.1%
-140
+130
-150
+130
-2½-110
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+102
21
24		-0.85085-0.86710-0.93930
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals		49.9%
50.1%
-120
+102
-120
+110
-1-108
+1-106
-1-104
+1½-110
23
20		-0.64584-0.62755-0.69425
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.56735 
Sportsbooks1610-6 (0.625)0-0.56626 
DRatings1611-5 (0.688)0-0.55132
0.01603
0.01495

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/15/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWC WinDiv. Rd WinConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Los Angeles Rams (11-3-0)13.23.80.099.9%83.8%54.2%35.3%21.0%
2Denver Broncos (12-2-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%56.1%34.9%17.6%
3Seattle Seahawks (11-3-0)12.84.20.0100.0%75.0%42.6%24.3%13.8%
4Houston Texans (9-5-0)11.06.00.085.7%46.2%23.3%11.6%5.9%
5New England Patriots (11-3-0)13.04.00.099.9%60.9%30.2%13.2%5.7%
6Buffalo Bills (10-4-0)12.24.80.099.5%53.8%26.3%12.9%5.7%
7Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4-0)11.75.30.097.4%52.7%26.2%12.2%5.6%
8Green Bay Packers (9-4-1)10.85.21.081.2%46.2%21.7%9.4%4.7%
9Philadelphia Eagles (9-5-0)10.96.10.099.6%53.8%26.7%10.2%4.4%
10San Francisco 49ers (10-4-0)11.55.50.095.1%47.9%18.7%8.4%4.0%
11Los Angeles Chargers (10-4-0)11.45.60.095.9%40.6%16.6%7.0%3.1%
12Chicago Bears (10-4-0)11.45.60.088.1%37.8%16.4%5.5%2.4%
13Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6-0)9.67.40.078.1%37.7%13.2%4.8%1.8%
14Detroit Lions (8-6-0)9.77.30.034.7%17.4%6.9%3.0%1.4%
15Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7-0)8.78.30.062.1%25.8%9.1%2.7%1.0%
16Indianapolis Colts (8-6-0)9.47.60.021.4%9.2%3.9%1.8%0.8%
17Baltimore Ravens (7-7-0)8.38.70.022.1%10.9%4.1%1.7%0.6%
18Carolina Panthers (7-7-0)8.18.90.037.5%11.8%3.6%1.0%0.4%
19Minnesota Vikings (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.5%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
20Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1)7.58.51.00.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Atlanta Falcons (5-9-0)6.310.70.00.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Kansas City Chiefs (6-8-0)7.99.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Jets (3-11-0)3.813.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (3-11-0)4.112.90.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-0)5.511.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Tennessee Titans (2-12-0)2.814.20.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Washington Commanders (4-10-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New York Giants (2-12-0)4.312.70.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Cleveland Browns (3-11-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (2-12-0)2.914.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New Orleans Saints (4-10-0)5.611.40.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Miami Dolphins (6-8-0)7.49.60.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

Related Blog Posts

Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes

We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.

Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks

Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.

2025-2026 NFL Season Preview

Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations.

The Predictive Power of Prediction Markets

Discover how prediction markets deliver accurate forecasts.

Creating a Ratings Model with Bradley-Terry

Modeling with the Bradley-Terry model in Python

All Blog Posts