Miami at Atlanta

Updated

Miami Dolphins

(7-10)
Rank24
P/G20.4
PA/G24.9
20.4%79.6%
Miami WinAtlanta Win
16.1Projected Points 27.2
34Final Score 10

Atlanta Falcons

(8-9)
Rank19
P/G20.8
PA/G23.6
Rank24
P/G20.4
PA/G24.9
Rank19
P/G20.8
PA/G23.6

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.87188.01110

Michael Penix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
61.06235.053

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 6-31 at Cleveland BrownsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • CLE: Dillon Gabriel+125
L 29-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+175
L 24-27 at Carolina PanthersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • CAR: Bryce Young-115
W 21-27 vs New York JetsNYJ: Justin Fields • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-150
L 21-31 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+600
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 10-20 at San Francisco 49ersATL: Michael Penix • SF: Brock Purdy-110
W 14-24 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • ATL: Michael Penix+175
W 27-34 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Marcus Mariota • ATL: Michael Penix-145
L 0-30 at Carolina PanthersATL: Michael Penix • CAR: Bryce Young-235
W 22-6 at Minnesota VikingsATL: Michael Penix • MIN: J.J. McCarthy+160

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • SDante Trader Jr.Probable
  • TEDarren WallerIR
  • TEJulian HillOut
  • OLAaron BrewerProbable
  • QBTua TagovailoaProbable

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • WRDarnell MooneyProbable
  • WRDrake LondonOut
  • LBDivine DeabloIR
  • TJake MatthewsProbable
  • QBMichael Penix Jr.Out
  • DLZach HarrisonOut
  • RBTyler AllgeierProbable
  • TJack NelsonProbable
  • TEFeleipe FranksProbable
  • CBMike Ford Jr.Probable
  • SJordan FullerProbable
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
John Hussey
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+295+275+255+263+300+263+300+277.6
Atlanta-370-345-310-325-380-325-310-277.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+295+270+265+300+320+285+320+277.6
Atlanta-360-330-320-380-405-345-320-277.6

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+7½-115+7-118+6½+100+7-120+7-115+7-120+6½+100+7-109
Atlanta-7½-105-7+102-6½-120-7+100-7-105-7+100-6½-113-7+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+7½-110+7-110+7-120+7-120+7-110+7-116+7-110+7-109
Atlanta-7½-110-7-110-7+100-7+100-7-110-7+100-7+100-7+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Miami: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +6-105 to +6-115
Atlanta Spread moved from -7½-105 to -7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Miami: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +7-110 to +6½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from -7½+100 to -7½-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-105o44-108o44-115o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-108o44+100
Underu45½-115u44-108u44-105u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-105u44+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44½-110o44-110o44-110o44+100
Underu45½-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44½-110u44-110u44½-110u44+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43½-120 to o44-115
The Under moved from u44½-115 to u43½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u44-110
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