Atlanta at Buffalo

Updated
Rank26
P/G18.4
PA/G27.0
18.5%81.5%
WinBuffalo Win
17.8Projected Points 30.2
15Final Score 29
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3
Rank26
P/G18.4
PA/G27.0
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3

Quarterbacks

Matt Ryan

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.915237.01911

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.015270.03412

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 16-20 vs Detroit LionsDET: Tim Boyle • ATL: Matt Ryan-340
L 13-31 at San Francisco 49ersATL: Matt Ryan • SF: Jimmy Garoppolo+330
W 29-21 at Carolina PanthersATL: Matt Ryan • CAR: Cam Newton+125
L 30-17 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • ATL: Matt Ryan+425
W 21-14 at Jacksonville JaguarsATL: Matt Ryan • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-120
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 33-21 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-105
W 14-31 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Cam Newton • BUF: Josh Allen-850
L 27-33 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersBUF: Josh Allen • TB: Tom Brady+160
L 14-10 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen-144
W 31-6 at New Orleans SaintsBUF: Josh Allen • NO: Trevor Siemian-270

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • LBBrandon CopelandQuestionable
  • LBEmmanuel EllerbeeIR
  • SJaylinn HawkinsQuestionable
  • SErik HarrisIR
  • WRTajae SharpeQuestionable
  • CBFabian MoreauDoubtful
  • TJason SpriggsQuestionable
  • TEHayden HurstQuestionable
  • DTTyeler DavisonProbable
  • SRichie GrantQuestionable
  • DLJonathan BullardQuestionable
  • QBFeleipe FranksQuestionable
  • DTMarlon DavidsonQuestionable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • WREmmanuel SandersOut
  • WRGabriel DavisProbable
  • TCody FordProbable
  • DEA.J. EpenesaProbable
  • WRCole BeasleyProbable
  • CBCam LewisProbable
  • DTEd OliverProbable
  • LBA.J. KleinOut
  • GJon FelicianoProbable
  • DTStar LotuleleiProbable
NNW 10 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)25°24°24°23°
Humidity90%88%86%84%
Precipitation10%9%8%5%
ConditionFoggyFoggyOvercastOvercast
WindNNW 10 mphNNW 10 mphNNW 10 mphNNW 9 mph
Land Clark
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+475+635+650+640+690+640+690+651.4
Buffalo-650-970-1100-900-890-900-890-651.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+575+650+750+700+650+650+750+651.4
Buffalo-850-1000-1050-1100-1000-1000-1000-651.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+13½-110+14½-123+14½-115+14-105+14-109+14-105+14½-115+14+104
Buffalo-13½-110-14½+103-14½-105-14-115-14-109-14-115-14½+103-14-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+14-110+14-110+14-110+14-110+14-110+14-110+14-110+14+104
Buffalo-14-110-14-110-14-110-14-110-14-110-14-110-14-110-14-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +15-115 to +14½-123
Buffalo Spread moved from -14½-110 to -15-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +14½-110 to +14-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -14-110 to -14½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110o46-110o46-110o46½-110o46-109o46½-110o46-109o46½+102
Underu44½-110u46-110u46-110u46½-110u46-109u46½-110u46½-110u46½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110o46-110o46½-110o46-110o45½-110o46-110o45½-110o46½+102
Underu44½-110u46-110u46½-110u46-110u45½-110u46-110u46½-110u46½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-115 to o46-110
The Under moved from u46-106 to u46-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46-110 to o46½-110
The Under moved from u45-110 to u44½-110