Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Points | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Jets San Francisco 49ers | 34.7% 65.3% | +175 -190 +184 -185 | +3½-105 -3½-108 +4-108 -3½-110 | 19 32 | -0.44150-0.43337 | -0.42557 | |
| Los Angeles Rams Detroit Lions | 30.4% 69.6% | +210 -235 +216 -245 | +5½-110 -5-108 +5½-108 -5½-108 | 20 26 | -0.37834-0.36855 | -0.36292 | |
| Dallas Cowboys Cleveland Browns | 49.3% 50.7% | +110 -120 +120 -130 | +2-108 -1½-105 +2-108 -2-108 | 33 17 | -0.76336-0.80802 | -0.70751 | |
| Washington Commanders Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 34.0% 66.0% | +190 -195 +190 -195 | +4-105 -4-108 +4-108 -4-108 | 20 37 | -0.41980-0.41980 | -0.41491 | |
| Denver Broncos Seattle Seahawks | 30.2% 69.8% | +250 -280 +255 -280 | +6½-105 -6½-108 +6½+100 -6½-108 | 20 26 | -0.32768-0.32375 | -0.35905 | |
| Las Vegas Raiders Los Angeles Chargers | 38.5% 61.5% | +135 -150 +135 -140 | +3-108 -3+100 +3-110 -3+100 | 10 22 | -0.53604-0.54782 | -0.48592 | |
| Houston Texans Indianapolis Colts | 57.2% 42.8% | -155 +140 -160 +143 | -3-105 +3-108 -3-105 +3-110 | 29 27 | -0.52206-0.51206 | -0.55814 | |
| Arizona Cardinals Buffalo Bills | 21.5% 78.5% | +247 -280 +260 -290 | +6½-105 -6½-108 +6½+100 -6½-110 | 28 34 | -0.33010-0.31741 | -0.24264 | |
| Tennessee Titans Chicago Bears | 36.6% 63.4% | +175 -195 +192 -200 | +4-103 -4-110 +4½-108 -4-110 | 17 24 | -0.43833-0.41456 | -0.45519 | |
| New England Patriots Cincinnati Bengals | 20.4% 79.6% | +325 -370 +335 -354 | +7½-108 -7½+100 +8-110 -7½-106 | 16 10 | -1.46920-1.47973 | -1.59116 | |
| Carolina Panthers New Orleans Saints | 31.1% 68.9% | +165 -185 +170 -185 | +3½-107 -3½-105 +3½-108 -3½-108 | 10 47 | -0.45828-0.45144 | -0.37308 | |
| Minnesota Vikings New York Giants | 54.2% 45.8% | -115 +100 -102 +100 | -1-108 +1-108 +1-110 +1-110 | 28 6 | -0.66000-0.68824 | -0.61253 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers Atlanta Falcons | 38.4% 61.6% | +170 -191 +184 -190 | +4-108 -4-105 +4-105 -4-108 | 18 10 | -1.01963-1.05105 | -0.95664 | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars Miami Dolphins | 40.6% 59.4% | +164 -175 +173 -175 | +3½-108 -3½-108 +3½-108 -3½-105 | 17 20 | -0.46703-0.45465 | -0.52141 | |
| Green Bay Packers Philadelphia Eagles | 45.0% 55.0% | +105 -120 +110 -115 | +1-108 -1-108 +2-110 -1-110 | 29 34 | -0.63885-0.63673 | -0.59766 | |
| Baltimore Ravens Kansas City Chiefs | 43.5% 56.5% | +130 -145 +130 -142 | +2½+105 -2½-110 +2½+105 -2½-110 | 20 27 | -0.55080-0.55443 | -0.57125 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 13-3 (0.812) | 0 | -0.58881 | |
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 13-3 (0.812) | 0 | -0.59135 | |
| DRatings | 16 | 13-3 (0.812) | 0 | -0.57722 | 0.01159 0.01413 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 08/29/24| Regular Season | Postseason | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Make Playoffs | Win Div | Win Conf | Conf Champ | Win Super Bowl |
| 1 | San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0) | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 77.6% | 54.1% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 12.6% |
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0) | 11.1 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 77.9% | 64.5% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 11.6% |
| 3 | Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0) | 11.2 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 77.7% | 49.9% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 10.9% |
| 4 | Detroit Lions (0-0-0) | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 63.2% | 42.9% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 6.4% |
| 5 | Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0) | 10.1 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 66.0% | 44.0% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 6.1% |
| 6 | Buffalo Bills (0-0-0) | 9.8 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 61.0% | 38.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 6.0% |
| 7 | Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0) | 9.9 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 65.1% | 40.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| 8 | Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0) | 9.7 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 59.7% | 25.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| 9 | Green Bay Packers (0-0-0) | 9.2 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 54.2% | 29.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| 10 | New York Jets (0-0-0) | 9.3 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 54.1% | 30.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| 11 | Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0) | 9.2 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 52.1% | 24.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| 12 | Houston Texans (0-0-0) | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 51.1% | 33.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| 13 | Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0) | 8.4 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 39.6% | 13.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| 14 | Miami Dolphins (0-0-0) | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 47.8% | 27.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| 15 | Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0) | 8.9 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 47.7% | 31.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| 16 | Cleveland Browns (0-0-0) | 8.3 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 37.0% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| 17 | Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0) | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 53.1% | 35.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| 18 | New Orleans Saints (0-0-0) | 8.6 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 45.3% | 31.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| 19 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0) | 8.4 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 44.9% | 27.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| 20 | Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0) | 8.3 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 38.4% | 19.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| 21 | Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0) | 8.2 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 38.8% | 14.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| 22 | Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0) | 8.3 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 41.3% | 24.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| 23 | Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0) | 7.6 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 30.9% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| 24 | Chicago Bears (0-0-0) | 8.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 35.7% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 25 | Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0) | 7.3 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 25.8% | 11.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| 26 | Tennessee Titans (0-0-0) | 6.7 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 19.7% | 10.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 27 | New York Giants (0-0-0) | 6.9 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 22.3% | 8.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 28 | Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0) | 6.9 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 22.7% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 29 | Washington Commanders (0-0-0) | 6.4 | 10.6 | 0.0 | 15.7% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 30 | Carolina Panthers (0-0-0) | 5.9 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 12.4% | 5.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 31 | Denver Broncos (0-0-0) | 6.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 11.8% | 4.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 32 | New England Patriots (0-0-0) | 5.4 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 9.4% | 3.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Predictions Methodology
The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.
Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.
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