Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Points | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams San Francisco 49ers | 46.7% 53.3% | +110 -127 +115 -120 | +2-108 -2-108 +2-110 -1½-110 | 9 24 | -0.61580-0.61667 | -0.62886 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 49.0% 51.0% | +115 -130 +115 -130 | +2-105 -2-108 +2-110 -2-110 | 41 31 | -0.79536-0.79536 | -0.71435 | |
| New England Patriots Green Bay Packers | 23.1% 76.9% | +370 -435 +415 -450 | +9½-108 -9½-108 +9½-110 -9½-110 | 24 27 | -0.23245-0.21295 | -0.26325 | |
| Denver Broncos Las Vegas Raiders | 48.1% 51.9% | +130 -138 +135 -140 | +2½+101 -2½-108 +3-110 -2½-110 | 23 32 | -0.55953-0.54782 | -0.65637 | |
| Arizona Cardinals Carolina Panthers | 47.7% 52.3% | -104 -115 +100 -113 | +1½-108 -1-105 +1-110 -1-110 | 26 16 | -0.71744-0.72321 | -0.74028 | |
| Cleveland Browns Atlanta Falcons | 58.7% 41.3% | -118 +105 -115 +100 | -1-108 +1-108 -1-110 +1-110 | 20 23 | -0.74651-0.72743 | -0.88431 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 10-6 (0.625) | 0 | -0.60816 | |
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 10-6 (0.625) | 0 | -0.60641 | |
| DRatings | 16 | 10-6 (0.625) | 0 | -0.65165 | -0.04349 -0.04523 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 10/03/22| Regular Season | Postseason | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Make Playoffs | Make Div. Rd. | Win Div. Rd. | Conf. Champ | Win Super Bowl |
| 1 | Buffalo Bills (3-1-0) | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 91.3% | 74.0% | 49.2% | 31.1% | 18.1% |
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs (3-1-0) | 11.6 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 88.3% | 64.4% | 41.0% | 23.3% | 12.6% |
| 3 | Green Bay Packers (3-1-0) | 11.2 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 83.1% | 52.4% | 30.1% | 17.3% | 8.9% |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2-0) | 10.8 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 83.2% | 53.6% | 30.2% | 16.2% | 8.1% |
| 5 | Philadelphia Eagles (4-0-0) | 11.9 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 86.8% | 60.4% | 34.2% | 16.9% | 7.9% |
| 6 | Minnesota Vikings (3-1-0) | 10.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 72.1% | 44.0% | 21.7% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| 7 | Dallas Cowboys (3-1-0) | 10.6 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 73.5% | 43.7% | 22.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% |
| 8 | Los Angeles Rams (2-2-0) | 9.5 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 57.3% | 35.8% | 17.3% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| 9 | San Francisco 49ers (2-2-0) | 9.6 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 58.7% | 36.8% | 17.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| 10 | Miami Dolphins (3-1-0) | 10.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 77.1% | 40.8% | 18.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| 11 | Cincinnati Bengals (2-2-0) | 9.1 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 54.7% | 29.6% | 13.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| 12 | Baltimore Ravens (2-2-0) | 9.2 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 57.4% | 33.3% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| 13 | Tennessee Titans (2-2-0) | 8.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 55.0% | 30.5% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| 14 | Los Angeles Chargers (2-2-0) | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 46.3% | 19.7% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| 15 | Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) | 7.8 | 8.2 | 1.0 | 35.4% | 17.8% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| 16 | New England Patriots (1-3-0) | 7.4 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 25.7% | 14.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| 17 | Denver Broncos (2-2-0) | 8.4 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 41.5% | 18.5% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| 18 | New Orleans Saints (1-3-0) | 7.2 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| 19 | Arizona Cardinals (2-2-0) | 8.2 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 34.4% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 20 | Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2-0) | 8.1 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 42.0% | 22.0% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 21 | New York Giants (3-1-0) | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 45.3% | 17.1% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 22 | Las Vegas Raiders (1-3-0) | 7.1 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 22.9% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| 23 | Cleveland Browns (2-2-0) | 7.8 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 34.6% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 24 | Atlanta Falcons (2-2-0) | 7.2 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 25 | New York Jets (2-2-0) | 6.7 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 14.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 26 | Chicago Bears (2-2-0) | 7.3 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 20.7% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 27 | Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3-0) | 6.2 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 12.1% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 28 | Seattle Seahawks (2-2-0) | 6.9 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 15.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 29 | Washington Commanders (1-3-0) | 6.7 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 13.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 30 | Detroit Lions (1-3-0) | 5.8 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 31 | Carolina Panthers (1-3-0) | 6.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 32 | Houston Texans (0-3-1) | 3.5 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Predictions Methodology
The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.
Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.
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