Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Points | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks Washington Football Team | 50.9% 49.1% | -127 +110 -126 +115 | -1½-107 +2-110 -1½-110 +2-110 | 15 17 | -0.77699-0.78785 | -0.71158 | |
| Cleveland Browns Baltimore Ravens | 37.5% 62.5% | +140 -155 +141 -155 | +3-110 -3-106 +3-110 -3+100 | 10 16 | -0.52206-0.52037 | -0.47053 | |
| Los Angeles Rams Green Bay Packers | 58.7% 41.3% | -125 +108 -118 +110 | -1½-110 +0+105 -1½-110 +2-110 | 28 36 | -0.76804-0.75927 | -0.88382 | |
| Minnesota Vikings San Francisco 49ers | 40.7% 59.3% | +175 -190 +176 -190 | +4½-110 -4-109 +4-110 -4-110 | 26 34 | -0.44150-0.44020 | -0.52197 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers Denver Broncos | 45.4% 54.6% | -150 +135 -145 +130 | -2½-115 +3-115 -2½-110 +3-115 | 13 28 | -0.87962-0.85918 | -0.60598 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals | 41.2% 58.8% | +158 -174 +160 -170 | +3½-115 -3½-102 +3½-110 -3½-105 | 10 41 | -0.47646-0.47678 | -0.53156 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 8-7 (0.533) | 0 | -0.68142 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 8-7 (0.533) | 0 | -0.68080 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.66826 | 0.01315 0.01254 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 11/29/21| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Conf. Champ. | Win Super Bowl |
| 1 | Arizona Cardinals (9-2-0) | 13.1 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 91.9% | 29.1% | 15.7% |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3-0) | 12.2 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 98.6% | 26.1% | 15.1% |
| 3 | Green Bay Packers (9-3-0) | 12.4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 98.7% | 18.3% | 9.6% |
| 4 | Kansas City Chiefs (7-4-0) | 10.7 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 86.1% | 63.0% | 17.8% | 9.1% |
| 5 | Baltimore Ravens (8-3-0) | 11.4 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 94.2% | 73.0% | 18.8% | 9.0% |
| 6 | New England Patriots (8-4-0) | 10.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 91.9% | 55.4% | 18.2% | 8.8% |
| 7 | Buffalo Bills (7-4-0) | 10.7 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 86.3% | 44.6% | 16.0% | 7.8% |
| 8 | Tennessee Titans (8-4-0) | 11.2 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 97.5% | 93.3% | 13.3% | 5.6% |
| 9 | Dallas Cowboys (7-4-0) | 10.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 91.8% | 86.2% | 10.9% | 5.5% |
| 10 | Los Angeles Rams (7-4-0) | 10.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 91.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| 11 | Cincinnati Bengals (7-4-0) | 10.1 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 70.0% | 24.4% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| 12 | San Francisco 49ers (6-5-0) | 9.3 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 70.6% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| 13 | Los Angeles Chargers (6-5-0) | 9.3 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 50.4% | 15.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| 14 | Denver Broncos (6-5-0) | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 36.6% | 14.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 15 | Cleveland Browns (6-6-0) | 8.4 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 17.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 16 | Minnesota Vikings (5-6-0) | 8.4 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 40.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 17 | New Orleans Saints (5-6-0) | 8.2 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 36.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| 18 | Indianapolis Colts (6-6-0) | 8.8 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 31.9% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 19 | Las Vegas Raiders (6-5-0) | 8.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 28.2% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 20 | Washington Football Team (5-6-0) | 7.6 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 20.6% | 8.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 21 | Philadelphia Eagles (5-7-0) | 7.7 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 19.2% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 22 | Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1) | 7.4 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 23 | Atlanta Falcons (5-6-0) | 7.5 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 14.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 24 | Carolina Panthers (5-7-0) | 6.9 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 5.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 25 | New York Giants (4-7-0) | 6.6 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 26 | Miami Dolphins (5-7-0) | 7.3 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Seattle Seahawks (3-8-0) | 6.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | Chicago Bears (4-7-0) | 6.2 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | Detroit Lions (0-10-1) | 1.0 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | Houston Texans (2-9-0) | 3.9 | 13.1 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 31 | Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0) | 3.8 | 13.2 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 32 | New York Jets (3-8-0) | 5.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Predictions Methodology
The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.
Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.
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