NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 11, 2023

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tennessee Titans (4-8)
Miami Dolphins (9-3)
Will Levis
Tua Tagovailoa
16.9%
83.1%
+640
-745
+600
-800
+13½-110
-13-108
+13½-110
-13-110
14.3
27.6
41.9
o46½-105
u46½-110
o45½-110
u46½-110
Green Bay Packers (6-6)
New York Giants (4-8)
Jordan Love
Tommy DeVito
64.6%
35.4%
-290
+260
-290
+260
-6½-108
+6½-105
-6½-110
+7-115
21.3
17.3
38.6
o36½-108
u37-110
o36½-110
u36½-110

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New England Patriots
Pittsburgh Steelers
26.9%
73.1%
+215
-240
+230
-260
+5½-110
-5-108
+5½-110
-5-110
21
18
-1.17047-1.21885-1.31323
Cincinnati Bengals
Jacksonville Jaguars
23.8%
76.2%
+445
-520
+450
-525
+10-108
-10-107
+10-110
-10-110
34
31
-1.71758-1.72631-1.43515
Kansas City Chiefs
Green Bay Packers
69.3%
30.7%
-260
+220
-250
+220
-5½-108
+6-113
-5½-110
+6-110
19
27
-1.19730-1.18958-1.18091
Cleveland Browns
Los Angeles Rams
33.9%
66.1%
+167
-185
+170
-180
+3½-110
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3½-110
19
36
-0.45552-0.45497-0.41340
San Francisco 49ers
Philadelphia Eagles
53.7%
46.3%
-155
+140
-150
+146
-2½-118
+3-105
-3-110
+3-110
42
19
-0.52206-0.51730-0.62105
Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
25.7%
74.3%
+171
-190
+180
-190
+3+112
-4-105
+3½-105
-3½-110
18
21
-0.44674-0.43510-0.29701
Denver Broncos
Houston Texans
42.7%
57.3%
+150
-165
+160
-165
+3+103
-3½+100
+3+100
-3-110
17
22
-0.49617-0.48102-0.55706
Miami Dolphins
Washington Commanders
76.6%
23.4%
-400
+350
-380
+350
-8½-108
+8+100
-8-110
+9-110
45
15
-0.24512-0.24741-0.26653
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
50.6%
49.4%
-120
+110
-120
+110
-1-110
+1½-108
-1-110
+2-110
31
28
-0.62755-0.62755-0.68205
Arizona Cardinals
Pittsburgh Steelers
21.6%
78.4%
+240
-270
+240
-270
+6-105
-6-108
+6½-110
-6-110
24
10
-1.24733-1.24733-1.53192
Atlanta Falcons
New York Jets
51.5%
48.5%
-130
+115
-130
+115
-1½-110
+2-108
-2-110
+2-110
13
8
-0.60042-0.60042-0.66306
Detroit Lions
New Orleans Saints
62.2%
37.8%
-180
+170
-185
+175
-3½-108
+3½-108
-4-110
+4-110
33
28
-0.45497-0.44482-0.47510
Los Angeles Chargers
New England Patriots
65.1%
34.9%
-210
+190
-210
+195
-4-110
+4½-108
-4-110
+4½-110
6
0
-0.41146-0.40573-0.42954
Seattle Seahawks
Dallas Cowboys
21.7%
78.3%
+385
-475
+400
-470
+9½-107
-9½-108
+9½-105
-9½-110
35
41
-0.22282-0.21717-0.24515
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
34.8%
65.2%
+140
-160
+141
-155
+3-108
-3-108
+3-105
-3-105
12
10
-0.90701-0.90214-1.05601
Baltimore Ravens
Los Angeles Chargers
64.2%
35.8%
-160
+150
-165
+150
-3-107
+3+100
-3-110
+3-101
20
10
-0.50078-0.49617-0.44318
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.73790 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.73818 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.75892
-0.02102
-0.02074

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/04/23
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfWin Super Bowl
1San Francisco 49ers (9-3-0)12.74.30.099.9%98.2%23.4%19.4%
2Baltimore Ravens (9-3-0)12.05.00.097.5%84.2%35.5%15.3%
3Dallas Cowboys (9-3-0)12.24.80.099.9%30.2%16.4%11.7%
4Miami Dolphins (9-3-0)12.14.90.099.3%98.5%36.5%10.1%
5Detroit Lions (9-3-0)12.24.80.099.4%94.7%13.9%9.0%
6Kansas City Chiefs (8-4-0)11.45.60.095.8%92.7%13.6%8.4%
7Philadelphia Eagles (10-2-0)13.23.80.099.9%69.8%46.3%8.2%
8Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4-0)11.25.80.091.9%67.1%11.5%6.8%
9Cincinnati Bengals (6-6-0)8.88.20.033.9%2.2%0.0%1.4%
10Indianapolis Colts (7-5-0)9.67.40.054.0%12.7%0.8%1.3%
11Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5-0)9.57.50.051.6%7.1%0.3%1.2%
12Houston Texans (7-5-0)10.07.00.064.8%20.2%1.3%1.2%
13Cleveland Browns (7-5-0)9.87.20.059.3%6.5%0.5%1.0%
14Green Bay Packers (6-6-0)9.17.90.065.1%3.2%0.0%0.8%
15Los Angeles Rams (6-6-0)8.68.40.047.3%1.1%0.0%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-6-0)8.28.80.033.8%0.7%0.0%0.7%
17New Orleans Saints (5-7-0)7.79.30.031.8%22.5%0.0%0.5%
18Denver Broncos (6-6-0)8.68.40.024.5%4.9%0.0%0.5%
19Atlanta Falcons (6-6-0)8.88.20.064.7%58.4%0.0%0.5%
20Minnesota Vikings (6-6-0)8.09.00.030.2%2.1%0.0%0.4%
21Los Angeles Chargers (5-7-0)7.59.50.08.1%1.5%0.0%0.3%
22Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7-0)7.49.60.025.1%19.1%0.0%0.3%
23Buffalo Bills (6-6-0)8.38.70.015.7%1.5%0.0%0.2%
24Las Vegas Raiders (5-7-0)7.010.00.03.3%0.9%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-8-0)5.811.20.01.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26New York Giants (4-8-0)5.511.50.01.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Tennessee Titans (4-8-0)5.711.30.00.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New York Jets (4-8-0)5.811.20.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Carolina Panthers (1-11-0)2.414.60.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New England Patriots (2-10-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Washington Commanders (4-9-0)5.111.90.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Arizona Cardinals (3-10-0)4.512.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.