Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Points | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams Chicago Bears | 65.4% 34.6% | -210 +190 -200 +195 | -4-106 +4-104 -3½-110 +5-110 | 20 17 | -0.41146-0.41110 | -0.42491 | |
| Houston Texans New England Patriots | 41.4% 58.6% | +174 -180 +165 -175 | +3½-106 -3½+100 +3½-110 -3-115 | 16 28 | -0.44962-0.46561 | -0.53527 | |
| San Francisco 49ers Seattle Seahawks | 21.1% 78.9% | +260 -294 +260 -295 | +7+104 -7-110 +6½+105 -7+100 | 6 41 | -0.31647-0.31623 | -0.23713 | |
| Buffalo Bills Denver Broncos | 43.9% 56.1% | +111 -122 +108 -115 | +1½-103 -1½-108 +1½-105 -1-110 | 30 33 | -0.62187-0.64124 | -0.57725 | |
| Houston Texans Pittsburgh Steelers | 61.2% 38.8% | -145 +140 -150 +140 | -3+104 +3-115 -3+102 +3-110 | 30 6 | -0.53299-0.52736 | -0.49110 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers New England Patriots | 39.2% 60.8% | +178 -190 +175 -190 | +3½-104 -3½-105 +3½-105 -3½-105 | 3 16 | -0.43764-0.44150 | -0.49817 | |
| San Francisco 49ers Philadelphia Eagles | 39.2% 60.8% | +210 -235 +210 -240 | +5½-105 -5½-105 +6-110 -5½-105 | 23 19 | -1.15518-1.15948 | -0.93578 | |
| Buffalo Bills Jacksonville Jaguars | 42.7% 57.3% | +120 -125 +118 -125 | +1½+101 -2-105 +2½-110 -1½-110 | 27 24 | -0.79851-0.79350 | -0.85078 | |
| Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears | 45.9% 54.1% | -118 +110 -130 +115 | -1½-104 +1½-106 -2-105 +2-105 | 27 31 | -0.75927-0.79536 | -0.61437 | |
| Los Angeles Rams Carolina Panthers | 79.0% 21.0% | -490 +430 -550 +435 | -10-105 +10+100 -10-105 +10-105 | 34 31 | -0.20473-0.19960 | -0.23610 | |
| Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers | 64.9% 35.1% | -240 +203 -240 +215 | -4½-110 +4½-105 -4½-105 +4½-105 | 24 26 | -1.14385-1.17047 | -1.04643 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers Denver Broncos | 14.4% 85.6% | +875 -1300 +900 -1200 | +16½-115 -15½-110 +15½-105 -14½-110 | 3 19 | -0.10476-0.10285 | -0.15519 | |
| Arizona Cardinals Los Angeles Rams | 19.2% 80.8% | +836 -1100 +800 -1200 | +14½-111 -14-115 +14-105 -14-108 | 20 37 | -0.11025-0.11366 | -0.21361 | |
| Washington Commanders Philadelphia Eagles | 40.0% 60.0% | +160 -180 +160 -170 | +3½-114 -3½+100 +3½-110 -3½+100 | 24 17 | -0.98262-0.96964 | -0.91699 | |
| New York Jets Buffalo Bills | 11.3% 88.7% | +550 -600 +600 -700 | +13½-110 -13-103 +13½-110 -13-108 | 8 35 | -0.16509-0.15123 | -0.12014 | |
| Detroit Lions Chicago Bears | 43.1% 56.9% | +160 -161 +160 -165 | +3½-120 -3-109 +3½-120 -3-108 | 19 16 | -0.95698-0.96273 | -0.84158 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 5 | 5-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.46648 | |
| Sportsbooks | 5 | 5-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.47231 | |
| DRatings | 5 | 5-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.45313 | 0.01335 0.01918 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 01/12/26| Regular Season | Postseason | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Make Playoffs | WC Win | Div. Rd Win | Conf Champ | Win Super Bowl |
| 1 | Seattle Seahawks (14-3-0) | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 67.4% | 45.1% | 26.4% |
| 2 | Denver Broncos (14-3-0) | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 60.4% | 35.7% | 17.1% |
| 3 | Los Angeles Rams (12-5-0) | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 63.1% | 29.7% | 16.3% |
| 4 | Houston Texans (12-5-0) | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 49.5% | 25.2% | 12.6% |
| 5 | New England Patriots (14-3-0) | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 50.5% | 22.0% | 8.9% |
| 6 | Buffalo Bills (12-5-0) | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 39.6% | 17.0% | 7.3% |
| 7 | San Francisco 49ers (12-5-0) | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 32.6% | 13.9% | 7.0% |
| 8 | Chicago Bears (11-6-0) | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 36.9% | 11.3% | 4.4% |
| 9 | Philadelphia Eagles (11-6-0) | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 10 | Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4-0) | 13.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11 | Los Angeles Chargers (11-6-0) | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12 | Carolina Panthers (8-9-0) | 8.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13 | Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7-0) | 10.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 14 | Green Bay Packers (9-7-1) | 9.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 15 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9-0) | 8.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 16 | Arizona Cardinals (3-14-0) | 3.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 17 | Tennessee Titans (3-14-0) | 3.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 18 | Indianapolis Colts (8-9-0) | 8.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 19 | Washington Commanders (5-12-0) | 4.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 20 | New Orleans Saints (6-11-0) | 6.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21 | Minnesota Vikings (9-8-0) | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 22 | Cincinnati Bengals (6-11-0) | 6.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 23 | Las Vegas Raiders (3-14-0) | 3.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 24 | Kansas City Chiefs (6-11-0) | 6.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 25 | Atlanta Falcons (8-9-0) | 8.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 26 | New York Jets (3-14-0) | 3.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Detroit Lions (9-8-0) | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | New York Giants (4-13-0) | 5.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | Baltimore Ravens (8-9-0) | 8.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | Cleveland Browns (5-12-0) | 5.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 31 | Dallas Cowboys (7-9-1) | 7.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 32 | Miami Dolphins (7-10-0) | 7.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Predictions Methodology
The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.
Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.
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