Dallas at Buffalo

Updated

Dallas Stars

(52-21-9)
Rank5
P/G3.9
PA/G3.1
57.0%43.0%
Dallas WinBuffalo Win
3.58Projected Goals 2.83
2Final Score 1

Buffalo Sabres

(39-37-6)
Rank15
P/G3.0
PA/G3.0
Rank5
P/G3.9
PA/G3.1
Rank15
P/G3.0
PA/G3.0

Goalies

Jake Oettinger

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2716-9-20.9003.04

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2312-11-20.9092.61

Last 5 Games

Dallas Stars
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Washington CapitalsWSH: Charlie Lindgren • DAL: Jake Oettinger-225
W 3-4 vs Anaheim DucksANA: John Gibson • DAL: Jake Oettinger-324
W 5-4 at Detroit Red WingsDAL: Jake Oettinger • DET: Alex Lyon-142
L 2-3 at New York IslandersDAL: Scott Wedgewood • NYI: Ilya Sorokin+105
W 6-2 at New Jersey DevilsDAL: Scott Wedgewood • NJD: Nico Daws-125
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
W 5-2 at San Jose SharksBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • SJS: Kaapo Kähkönen-196
W 5-3 at Los Angeles KingsBUF: Devon Levi • LAK: Cam Talbot+170
L 2-4 at Anaheim DucksBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • ANA: John Gibson-160
L 3-1 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Jonas Johansson • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-103
W 0-3 vs Chicago BlackhawksCHI: Arvid Söderblom • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-252

Injuries

Dallas Stars

Status
  • GOJake OettingerUnknown

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • LWZemgus GirgensonsProbable
  • DErik JohnsonProbable
  • RWJack QuinnOut
  • DMattias SamuelssonOut for Season
  • GOUkko-Pekka LuukkonenUnknown
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dallas-145-157-163-154-150-154-150-143.7
Buffalo+129+141+137+137+130+137+141+143.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dallas-150-155-151--160-156-151-143.7
Buffalo+135+135+138-+140+138+140+143.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dallas: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dallas: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dallas: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dallas ML moved from -149 to -156
Buffalo ML moved from +140 to +133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dallas: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dallas: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dallas: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dallas ML moved from -150 to -160
Buffalo ML moved from +134 to +125

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dallas-1½+165--1½+153-1½+159-1½+160-1½+159-1½+160-1½+166
Buffalo+1½-190-+1½-177+1½-179+1½-180+1½-179+1½-177+1½-166
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dallas-1½+165-1½+155-1½+160--1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+166
Buffalo+1½-190+1½-175+1½-180-+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-166

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-106o6½-105o6½-117o6½-102o6½+100o6½-102o6½+100o6½+105
Underu6½-110u6½-111u6½-103u6½-114u6½-120u6½-114u6½-103u6½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6½-105o6½-110-o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+105
Underu6½-110u6½-115u6½-110-u6½-120u6½-120u6½-110u6½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½+105 to o6½-110
The Under moved from u6½-110 to u6½-120