Toronto at Buffalo

Updated

Toronto Maple Leafs

(32-36-14)
Rank29
P/G3.1
PA/G3.6
40.7%59.3%
Toronto WinBuffalo Win
2.66Projected Goals 3.67
2Final Score 3

Buffalo Sabres

(50-23-9)
Rank4
P/G4.0
PA/G3.4
Rank29
P/G3.1
PA/G3.6
Rank4
P/G4.0
PA/G3.4

Goalies

Joseph Woll

StartsRecordSV%GAA
3014-11-40.9043.13

Alex Lyon

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2918-8-30.9132.65

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 4-6 vs Anaheim DucksANA: Lukáš Dostál • TOR: Joseph Woll-106
L 1-3 at Montreal CanadiensTOR: Joseph Woll • MTL: Jakub Dobes+145
L 5-2 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Anthony Stolarz+185
L 2-6 at New York RangersTOR: Joseph Woll • NYR: Igor Shesterkin+115
L 3-4 at New Jersey DevilsTOR: Anthony Stolarz • NJD: Jacob Markström+108
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Washington CapitalsWSH: Charlie Lindgren • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-200
W 3-6 vs San Jose SharksSJS: Yaroslav Askarov • BUF: Alex Lyon-190
W 7-8 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Jonas Johansson • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen+104
W 2-3 vs Nashville PredatorsNSH: Juuse Saros • BUF: Alex Lyon-170
W 5-1 at Pittsburgh PenguinsBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • PIT: Stuart Skinner-108

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DChris TanevOut for Season
  • CAuston MatthewsOut for Season

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • LWTanner PearsonOut
  • CTyson KozakQuestionable
  • DMattias SamuelssonDoubtful
  • LWJordan GreenwayIR
  • GOColten EllisOut
  • RWAlex TuchUnknown
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+190+198+205+191+190+191+205+200.1
Buffalo-218-227-245-220-230-220-220-200.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+190+195+200+190+195+200+200+200.1
Buffalo-230-230-225-240-235-230-225-200.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 40.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 30.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +198 to +190
Buffalo ML moved from -235 to -245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 40.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toronto ML
Buffalo ML moved from -230 to -240

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-122+1½-119+1½-115+1½-127+1½-125+1½-127+1½-115+1½-116
Buffalo-1½+102-1½+105-1½-105-1½+107-1½+105-1½+107-1½+107-1½+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-120+1½-120+1½-125+1½-115+1½-120+1½-125+1½-115+1½-116
Buffalo-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-1½-105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-108o6½-110o6½-105o6½-115o6½-120o6½-115o6½-105o6½-106
Underu6½-108u6½-103u6½-115u6½-101u6½+100u6½-101u6½+100u6½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6½-120o6½-105o6½-120o6½-120o6½-120o6½-105o6½-106
Underu6½-110u6½+100u6½-115u6½+100u6½+100u6½+100u6½+100u6½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-108 to u6½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½+100 to u6½-115
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