NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Wild
Buffalo Sabres
45.3%
54.7%
+113
-119
+108
-117
+1½-225
-1½+220
+1½-230
-1½+200
5
4
-0.76891-0.75211-0.79208
Anaheim Ducks
Los Angeles Kings
42.3%
57.7%
+131
-140
+128
-138
+1½-189
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
2
-0.85334-0.84244-0.86076
Nashville Predators
Colorado Avalanche
27.2%
72.8%
+240
-275
+260
-290
+1½+105
-1½-109
+1½+110
-1½-130
7
3
-1.25085-1.30206-1.30221
Tampa Bay Lightning
St. Louis Blues
62.7%
37.3%
-195
+184
-180
+175
-1½+136
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
2
3
-1.05685-1.01807-0.98746
Florida Panthers
Carolina Hurricanes
41.1%
58.9%
+154
-170
+160
-172
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
9
-0.48568-0.47514-0.52960
San Jose Sharks
Detroit Red Wings
35.4%
64.6%
+147
-160
+150
-155
+1½-150
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
4
-0.50556-0.50566-0.43765
Toronto Maple Leafs
Vegas Golden Knights
44.3%
55.7%
+111
-122
+120
-125
+1½-225
-1½+196
+1½-200
-1½+195
5
6
-0.62187-0.59784-0.58562
Dallas Stars
Utah Mammoth
47.1%
52.9%
+112
-122
+113
-122
+1½-240
-1½+215
+1½-230
-1½+200
1
2
-0.61967-0.61750-0.63601
New York Islanders
Edmonton Oilers
43.5%
56.5%
+150
-156
+150
-150
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+160
1
0
-0.92563-0.91629-0.83347
Calgary Flames
Chicago Blackhawks
51.5%
48.5%
+106
-115
+107
-109
+1½-250
-1½+220
+1½-250
-1½+215
3
1
-0.74282-0.73216-0.66314
Winnipeg Jets
Minnesota Wild
41.7%
58.3%
+115
-120
+120
-127
+1½-215
-1½+192
+1½-200
-1½+195
6
2
-0.77596-0.80236-0.87462
Seattle Kraken
Boston Bruins
39.7%
60.3%
+150
-161
+151
-166
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
4
-0.49984-0.49372-0.50625
Montreal Canadiens
Buffalo Sabres
50.8%
49.2%
-121
+110
-120
+113
-1½+200
+1½-230
-1½+205
+1½-230
3
5
-0.76535-0.77096-0.70970
San Jose Sharks
Washington Capitals
36.2%
63.8%
+145
-159
+150
-165
+1½-168
-1½+154
+1½-155
-1½+150
3
2
-0.91792-0.93869-1.01733
Vancouver Canucks
Columbus Blue Jackets
39.0%
61.0%
+145
-152
+141
-155
+1½-165
-1½+154
+1½-165
-1½+155
1
4
-0.51683-0.52037-0.49441
Philadelphia Flyers
Pittsburgh Penguins
44.5%
55.5%
+152
-165
+150
-160
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
6
-0.49307-0.50078-0.58794
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.64623 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.66532 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.56817
0.07806
0.09715

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/13/26
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st RdWin 2nd RdConf. ChampStanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (53-22-7, 113 pts)53.022.07.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%82.8%
2Vegas Golden Knights (39-26-17, 95 pts)39.026.017.095.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%17.2%
3Colorado Avalanche (55-16-11, 121 pts)55.016.011.0121.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 106 pts)48.024.010.0106.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.023.09.0109.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Minnesota Wild (46-24-12, 104 pts)46.024.012.0104.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia Flyers (43-27-12, 98 pts)43.027.012.098.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Anaheim Ducks (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Dallas Stars (50-20-12, 112 pts)50.020.012.0112.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Boston Bruins (45-27-10, 100 pts)45.027.010.0100.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ottawa Senators (44-27-11, 99 pts)44.027.011.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Pittsburgh Penguins (41-25-16, 98 pts)41.025.016.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Washington Capitals (43-30-9, 95 pts)43.030.09.095.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Edmonton Oilers (41-30-11, 93 pts)41.030.011.093.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Utah Mammoth (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Columbus Blue Jackets (40-30-12, 92 pts)40.030.012.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-31-10, 92 pts)41.031.010.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19New York Islanders (43-34-5, 91 pts)43.034.05.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Los Angeles Kings (35-27-20, 90 pts)35.027.020.090.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New Jersey Devils (42-37-3, 87 pts)42.037.03.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22St. Louis Blues (37-33-12, 86 pts)37.033.012.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23San Jose Sharks (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Nashville Predators (38-34-10, 86 pts)38.034.010.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Florida Panthers (40-38-4, 84 pts)40.038.04.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Winnipeg Jets (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Seattle Kraken (34-37-11, 79 pts)34.037.011.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Toronto Maple Leafs (32-36-14, 78 pts)32.036.014.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Calgary Flames (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Rangers (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (29-39-14, 72 pts)29.039.014.072.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Vancouver Canucks (25-49-8, 58 pts)25.049.08.058.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.