NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Rangers
Dallas Stars
38.7%
61.3%
+155
-173
+165
-170
+1½-159
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+155
0
2
-0.48170-0.46959-0.48898
Minnesota Wild
Nashville Predators
53.4%
46.6%
-103
-105
-112
+105
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+210
+1½-220
1
2
-0.68844-0.73382-0.76250
Edmonton Oilers
Los Angeles Kings
50.3%
49.7%
+109
-117
+108
-115
+1½-227
-1½+215
+1½-235
-1½+205
0
1
-0.63522-0.64124-0.69971
Washington Capitals
Pittsburgh Penguins
49.1%
50.9%
-145
+133
-135
+131
-1½+176
+1½-198
-1½+185
+1½-188
6
3
-0.54531-0.56165-0.71044
Ottawa Senators
New York Islanders
54.4%
45.6%
-127
+117
-130
+120
-1½+190
+1½-212
-1½+185
+1½-200
3
0
-0.60086-0.59012-0.60860
Tampa Bay Lightning
Boston Bruins
53.8%
46.2%
-107
+104
-110
+101
-1½+211
+1½-244
-1½+215
+1½-240
2
1
-0.66697-0.66771-0.62047
Vancouver Canucks
Los Angeles Kings
31.0%
69.0%
+245
-260
+250
-270
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
1
4
-0.33743-0.33041-0.37124
San Jose Sharks
Anaheim Ducks
38.9%
61.1%
+150
-164
+153
-165
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
1
6
-0.49707-0.49153-0.49192
Vegas Golden Knights
Seattle Kraken
58.2%
41.8%
-183
+165
-180
+165
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
3
4
-0.99826-0.99458-0.87261
Nashville Predators
Utah Mammoth
39.4%
60.6%
+148
-163
+150
-160
+1½-175
-1½+163
+1½-170
-1½+155
1
4
-0.50114-0.50078-0.50030
Calgary Flames
Colorado Avalanche
27.3%
72.7%
+275
-320
+280
-315
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
1
3
-0.30011-0.29765-0.31861
Minnesota Wild
Dallas Stars
44.8%
55.2%
+108
-119
+109
-115
+1½-232
-1½+210
+1½-230
-1½+205
4
5
-0.63380-0.63898-0.59502
Carolina Hurricanes
Chicago Blackhawks
63.5%
36.5%
-164
+155
-165
+165
-1½+143
+1½-149
-1½+140
+1½-150
7
2
-0.48937-0.47379-0.45393
Winnipeg Jets
St. Louis Blues
50.7%
49.3%
-106
+100
-105
-105
+1½-270
-1½+240
+1½-270
-1½+230
3
2
-0.67889-0.69315-0.67978
Columbus Blue Jackets
Buffalo Sabres
46.0%
54.0%
-106
-102
-105
+100
-1½+230
-1½+230
+1½-260
-1½+230
0
5
-0.70261-0.70528-0.61698
Florida Panthers
Ottawa Senators
31.8%
68.2%
+320
-370
+320
-370
+1½+126
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-140
1
5
-0.26425-0.26425-0.38328
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/14/26
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st RdWin 2nd RdConf. ChampStanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (53-22-7, 113 pts)53.022.07.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
2Vegas Golden Knights (39-26-17, 95 pts)39.026.017.095.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%
3Colorado Avalanche (55-16-11, 121 pts)55.016.011.0121.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 106 pts)48.024.010.0106.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.023.09.0109.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Minnesota Wild (46-24-12, 104 pts)46.024.012.0104.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia Flyers (43-27-12, 98 pts)43.027.012.098.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Anaheim Ducks (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Dallas Stars (50-20-12, 112 pts)50.020.012.0112.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Boston Bruins (45-27-10, 100 pts)45.027.010.0100.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ottawa Senators (44-27-11, 99 pts)44.027.011.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Pittsburgh Penguins (41-25-16, 98 pts)41.025.016.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Washington Capitals (43-30-9, 95 pts)43.030.09.095.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Edmonton Oilers (41-30-11, 93 pts)41.030.011.093.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Utah Mammoth (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Columbus Blue Jackets (40-30-12, 92 pts)40.030.012.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-31-10, 92 pts)41.031.010.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19New York Islanders (43-34-5, 91 pts)43.034.05.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Los Angeles Kings (35-27-20, 90 pts)35.027.020.090.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New Jersey Devils (42-37-3, 87 pts)42.037.03.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Nashville Predators (38-34-10, 86 pts)38.034.010.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23San Jose Sharks (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24St. Louis Blues (37-33-12, 86 pts)37.033.012.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Florida Panthers (40-38-4, 84 pts)40.038.04.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Winnipeg Jets (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Seattle Kraken (34-37-11, 79 pts)34.037.011.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Toronto Maple Leafs (32-36-14, 78 pts)32.036.014.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29New York Rangers (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Calgary Flames (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (29-39-14, 72 pts)29.039.014.072.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Vancouver Canucks (25-49-8, 58 pts)25.049.08.058.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.