## Estrela

**Win**

**Draw**

**Win**

## Porto

### Last 5 Games

### Money Line Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**3.1%**

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**4.8%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Estrela | +1400 | - | +1200 | +1400 | +1292 | +1400 | +1400 | +1475.1 |

Porto | -500 | - | -500 | -575 | -587 | -575 | -500 | -429.7 |

Draw | +500 | - | +525 | +660 | +596 | +660 | +660 | +698.1 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Estrela | +1200 | - | - | - | - | +1400 | +1400 | +1475.1 |

Porto | -475 | - | - | - | - | -550 | -550 | -429.7 |

Draw | +575 | - | - | - | - | +625 | +625 | +698.1 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Over/Under Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**3.8%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o2¾-120 | - | o3-115 | o3-118 | o3-116 | o3-118 | o3-115 | o3-107 |

Under | u2¾+100 | - | u3-105 | u3-102 | u3-104 | u3-102 | u3-102 | u3+107 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | - | - | - | - | - | o3-107 | ||

Under | - | - | - | - | - | u3+107 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Goal Props

Both Teams to Score | |
---|---|

Yes | 38.6% |

No | 61.4% |

#### Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 3.40% |

Exactly 2 | 19.44% |

Exactly 4 | 18.52% |

Exactly 6 | 7.06% |

Exactly 8 | 1.44% |

Exactly 10 | 0.18% |

Exactly 1 | 11.50% |

Exactly 3 | 21.91% |

Exactly 5 | 12.52% |

Exactly 7 | 3.41% |

Exactly 9 | 0.54% |

Exact Goals Scored - Estrela | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 59.07% |

Exactly 1 | 31.10% |

Exactly 2 | 8.19% |

Exactly 3 | 1.44% |

Exactly 4 | 0.19% |

Exact Goals Scored - Porto | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 5.76% |

Exactly 1 | 16.43% |

Exactly 2 | 23.46% |

Exactly 3 | 22.32% |

Exactly 4 | 15.93% |

Exactly 5 | 9.10% |

Exactly 6 | 4.33% |

Exactly 7 | 1.77% |

Exactly 8 | 0.63% |

Exactly 9 | 0.20% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 20.90% |

Exactly 2 | 25.61% |

Exactly 4 | 5.23% |

Exactly 6 | 0.43% |

Exactly 1 | 32.72% |

Exactly 3 | 13.36% |

Exactly 5 | 1.64% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 78.37% |

Exactly 1 | 19.10% |

Exactly 2 | 2.33% |

Exactly 3 | 0.19% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 26.67% |

Exactly 1 | 35.25% |

Exactly 2 | 23.29% |

Exactly 3 | 10.26% |

Exactly 4 | 3.39% |

Exactly 5 | 0.90% |

Exactly 6 | 0.20% |

### Alternate Props

#### Spread

Estrela | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 0.88% |

Porto | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 65.65% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 43.41% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 24.46% |

Wins by 5+ goals | 11.84% |

Wins by 6+ goals | 4.97% |

Wins by 7+ goals | 1.81% |

Wins by 8+ goals | 0.55% |

Wins by 9+ goals | 0.12% |

#### Exact Winning Margin

##### Estrela

##### Porto

Estrela | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 3.51% |

Wins by 2 goals | 0.75% |

Porto | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 19.08% |

Wins by 2 goals | 22.24% |

Wins by 3 goals | 18.95% |

Wins by 4 goals | 12.62% |

Wins by 5 goals | 6.87% |

Wins by 6 goals | 3.16% |

Wins by 7 goals | 1.26% |

Wins by 8 goals | 0.43% |

Wins by 9 goals | 0.12% |

#### Total Goals Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 96.60% | 3.40% |

1.5 | 85.10% | 14.90% |

2.5 | 65.66% | 34.34% |

3.5 | 43.76% | 56.24% |

4.5 | 25.23% | 74.77% |

5.5 | 12.71% | 87.29% |

6.5 | 5.65% | 94.35% |

7.5 | 2.24% | 97.76% |

#### Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 40.93% | 59.07% |

1.5 | 9.83% | 90.17% |

2.5 | 1.65% | 98.35% |

#### Total Goals Porto Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 94.24% | 5.76% |

1.5 | 77.81% | 22.19% |

2.5 | 54.35% | 45.65% |

3.5 | 32.03% | 67.97% |

4.5 | 16.10% | 83.90% |

5.5 | 7.00% | 93.00% |

6.5 | 2.67% | 97.33% |

#### Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 79.10% | 20.90% |

1.5 | 46.39% | 53.61% |

2.5 | 20.78% | 79.22% |

3.5 | 7.41% | 92.59% |

4.5 | 2.18% | 97.82% |

### Score Props

#### Correct Score

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 3.40% | 9.71% | 13.86% | 13.19% | 9.41% | 5.37% |

1 | 1.79% | 5.11% | 7.29% | 6.94% | 4.95% | 2.83% |

2 | 0.47% | 1.35% | 1.92% | 1.83% | 1.30% | 0.74% |

Estrela | |
---|---|

1-0 | 1.79% |

2-0 | 0.47% |

2-1 | 1.35% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 3.40% |

1-1 | 5.11% |

2-2 | 1.92% |

3-3 | 0.32% |

Porto | |
---|---|

0-1 | 9.71% |

0-2 | 13.86% |

1-2 | 7.29% |

0-3 | 13.19% |

1-3 | 6.94% |

2-3 | 1.83% |

0-4 | 9.41% |

1-4 | 4.95% |

2-4 | 1.30% |

3-4 | 0.23% |

0-5 | 5.37% |

1-5 | 2.83% |

2-5 | 0.74% |

3-5 | 0.13% |

#### Correct Score - First Half

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 20.90% | 27.62% | 18.26% | 8.04% | 2.66% | 0.70% | 0.15% |

1 | 5.09% | 6.73% | 4.45% | 1.96% | 0.65% | 0.17% | 0.04% |

2 | 0.62% | 0.82% | 0.54% | 0.24% | 0.08% | 0.02% | 0.00% |

Estrela | |
---|---|

1-0 | 5.09% |

2-0 | 0.62% |

2-1 | 0.82% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 20.90% |

1-1 | 6.73% |

2-2 | 0.54% |

Porto | |
---|---|

0-1 | 27.62% |

0-2 | 18.26% |

1-2 | 4.45% |

0-3 | 8.04% |

1-3 | 1.96% |

2-3 | 0.24% |

0-4 | 2.66% |

1-4 | 0.65% |

0-5 | 0.70% |

1-5 | 0.17% |

0-6 | 0.15% |