Porto at Arouca

Updated

Porto

61.7%22.5%15.8%
Porto WinDrawWin
1.81Projected Goals 0.78
2Final Score 3

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Rio Ave-500
W 3-1 at SC Farense-335
W 0-5 vs Moreirense-275
W 0-2 vs Braga-130
T 1-1 at Boavista-250
Arouca
Money Line
W 2-1 at Portimonense+100
W 0-5 vs FC Vizela-120
W 2-1 at Estoril+185
L 1-2 at Vitoria+360
L 3-0 vs Benfica+675

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-210-228-240-250-241-250-228-212.3
Arouca+600+657+600+740+728+740+740+782.6
Draw+300+370+350+360+366+360+370+383.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-210-----245-245-212.3
Arouca+600----+675+675+782.6
Draw+335----+375+375+383.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -235 to -241
Arouca ML moved from +700 to +690

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -235 to -245
Arouca ML moved from +675 to +650

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+100o3+108o2¾-122o2¾-120o2¾-119o2¾-120o2¾-119o2¾-109
Underu2¾-120u3-126u2¾+102u2¾+100u2¾+101u2¾+100u3-126u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-109
Under-----u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.49%
Exactly 225.15%
Exactly 414.08%
Exactly 63.15%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.41%
Exactly 321.73%
Exactly 57.30%
Exactly 71.17%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 016.40%
Exactly 129.65%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 316.15%
Exactly 47.30%
Exactly 52.64%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 045.65%
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 214.03%
Exactly 33.67%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.12%
Exactly 221.69%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 38.67%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 043.30%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.17%
Exactly 34.23%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 069.56%
Exactly 125.25%
Exactly 24.58%
Exactly 30.55%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals35.97%
Wins by 3+ goals16.83%
Wins by 4+ goals6.44%
Wins by 5+ goals2.05%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals4.62%
Wins by 3+ goals1.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Porto
Wins by 1 goal25.68%
Wins by 2 goals19.14%
Wins by 3 goals10.39%
Wins by 4 goals4.40%
Wins by 5 goals1.52%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal11.14%
Wins by 2 goals3.60%
Wins by 3 goals0.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.51%7.49%
1.573.10%26.90%
2.547.95%52.05%
3.526.22%73.78%
4.512.14%87.86%
5.54.84%95.16%
6.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.60%16.40%
1.553.94%46.06%
2.527.14%72.86%
3.510.99%89.01%
4.53.70%96.30%
5.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.35%45.65%
1.518.55%81.45%
2.54.52%95.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.88%30.12%
1.533.74%66.26%
2.512.05%87.95%
3.53.38%96.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Arouca
Score01234
0
7.49%
5.87%
2.30%
0.60%
0.12%
1
13.54%
10.61%
4.16%
1.09%
0.21%
2
12.24%
9.59%
3.76%
0.98%
0.19%
3
7.37%
5.78%
2.27%
0.59%
0.12%
4
3.33%
2.61%
1.02%
0.27%
0.05%
5
1.20%
0.94%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
Porto
1-013.54%
2-012.24%
2-19.59%
3-07.37%
3-15.78%
3-22.27%
4-03.33%
4-12.61%
4-21.02%
4-30.27%
5-01.20%
5-10.94%
5-20.37%
Draw
0-07.49%
1-110.61%
2-23.76%
3-30.59%
Arouca
0-15.87%
0-22.30%
1-24.16%
0-30.60%
1-31.09%
2-30.98%
0-40.12%
1-40.21%
2-40.19%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Arouca
Score0123
0
30.12%
10.93%
1.98%
0.24%
1
25.21%
9.15%
1.66%
0.20%
2
10.55%
3.83%
0.70%
0.08%
3
2.94%
1.07%
0.19%
0.02%
4
0.62%
0.22%
0.04%
0.00%
5
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Porto
1-025.21%
2-010.55%
2-13.83%
3-02.94%
3-11.07%
3-20.19%
4-00.62%
4-10.22%
5-00.10%
Draw
0-030.12%
1-19.15%
2-20.70%
Arouca
0-110.93%
0-21.98%
1-21.66%
0-30.24%
1-30.20%
Benfica at Vitória
FC Vizela at Gil Vicente FC