Arouca at Casa Pia AC

Updated

Arouca

37.0%29.9%33.0%
Arouca WinDrawCasa Pia AC Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.01
0Final Score 1

Casa Pia AC

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Porto+675
W 2-1 at Portimonense+100
W 0-5 vs FC Vizela-120
W 2-1 at Estoril+185
L 1-2 at Vitoria+360
Casa Pia AC
Money Line
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+290
T 0-0 vs Boavista+105
L 0-8 at Sporting CP+1600
L 3-1 vs SC Farense+120
L 2-0 vs Famalicao+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+180+162+155+163+161+163+163+176.2
Casa Pia AC+165+196+195+195+198+195+198+209.8
Draw+200+212+195+202+209+202+212+217.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+150----+160+160+176.2
Casa Pia AC+200----+195+195+209.8
Draw+215----+205+205+217.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +145 to +130
Casa Pia AC ML moved from +200 to +191

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +140 to +130
Casa Pia AC ML moved from +210 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2-130o2-125o2-115o2-123o2-115o2-115o2-104
Underu2¼-112u2+110u2+105u2-105u2+103u2-105u2+110u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.2%
 
No57.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.27%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 49.91%
Exactly 61.45%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.74%
Exactly 318.89%
Exactly 54.16%
Exactly 70.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 033.67%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.95%
Exactly 37.24%
Exactly 41.97%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 036.43%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.57%
Exactly 36.25%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.85%
Exactly 217.86%
Exactly 41.40%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 060.41%
Exactly 130.45%
Exactly 27.67%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 062.66%
Exactly 129.29%
Exactly 26.85%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals14.79%
Wins by 3+ goals4.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals12.38%
Wins by 3+ goals3.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Casa Pia AC
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal22.17%
Wins by 2 goals10.32%
Wins by 3 goals3.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal20.56%
Wins by 2 goals8.88%
Wins by 3 goals2.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.73%12.27%
1.561.99%38.01%
2.534.99%65.01%
3.516.10%83.90%
4.56.20%93.80%
5.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.33%33.67%
1.529.68%70.32%
2.59.73%90.27%
3.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.57%36.43%
1.526.78%73.22%
2.58.21%91.79%
3.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.15%37.85%
1.525.38%74.62%
2.57.51%92.49%
3.51.73%98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Casa Pia AC
Score012345
0
12.27%
12.39%
6.25%
2.10%
0.53%
0.11%
1
13.35%
13.48%
6.81%
2.29%
0.58%
0.12%
2
7.27%
7.34%
3.70%
1.25%
0.31%
0.06%
3
2.64%
2.66%
1.34%
0.45%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.72%
0.72%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-013.35%
2-07.27%
2-17.34%
3-02.64%
3-12.66%
3-21.34%
4-00.72%
4-10.72%
4-20.37%
4-30.12%
5-00.16%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-012.27%
1-113.48%
2-23.70%
3-30.45%
Casa Pia AC
0-112.39%
0-26.25%
1-26.81%
0-32.10%
1-32.29%
2-31.25%
0-40.53%
1-40.58%
2-40.31%
3-40.11%
0-50.11%
1-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Casa Pia AC
Score0123
0
37.85%
17.70%
4.14%
0.64%
1
19.08%
8.92%
2.08%
0.32%
2
4.81%
2.25%
0.53%
0.08%
3
0.81%
0.38%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-019.08%
2-04.81%
2-12.25%
3-00.81%
3-10.38%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-037.85%
1-18.92%
2-20.53%
Casa Pia AC
0-117.70%
0-24.14%
1-22.08%
0-30.64%
1-30.32%
Estrela at Porto
FC Vizela at Benfica