Chaves at Estrela

Updated

Chaves

22.4%25.7%51.9%
Chaves WinDrawEstrela Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.54
1Final Score 1

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Boavista+180
L 0-1 at Moreirense+380
T 1-1 vs SC Farense+135
T 1-1 at Braga+850
T 0-0 vs Rio Ave+215
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-2 at Porto+1400
W 0-3 vs Portimonense-105
L 0-1 at Estoril+290
L 4-1 vs Benfica+1050
L 0-3 at Vitoria+510

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+275-+310+315+326+315+326+335.4
Estrela+100--105-104-107-104-104+105.8
Draw+225-+225+235+244+235+244+251.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+270----+330+330+335.4
Estrela+105-----110-110+105.8
Draw+240----+240+240+251.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Estrela: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +333 to +326
Estrela ML moved from +110 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Estrela: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +270 to +260
Estrela ML moved from +100 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108-o2¼-105o2¼-115o2¼-113o2¼-115o2¼-105o2¼-104
Underu2½-112-u2¼-115u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.65%
Exactly 225.91%
Exactly 412.93%
Exactly 62.58%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.17%
Exactly 321.14%
Exactly 56.33%
Exactly 70.90%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 040.18%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.70%
Exactly 35.08%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 021.53%
Exactly 133.06%
Exactly 225.39%
Exactly 313.00%
Exactly 44.99%
Exactly 51.53%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.20%
Exactly 220.67%
Exactly 42.21%
 
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 37.81%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 065.56%
Exactly 127.68%
Exactly 25.84%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 049.11%
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 212.42%
Exactly 32.94%
Exactly 40.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals7.49%
Wins by 3+ goals1.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals26.75%
Wins by 3+ goals10.88%
Wins by 4+ goals3.55%
Wins by 5+ goals0.92%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal14.86%
Wins by 2 goals5.60%
Wins by 3 goals1.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal25.03%
Wins by 2 goals15.88%
Wins by 3 goals7.33%
Wins by 4 goals2.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.76%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.35%8.65%
1.570.18%29.82%
2.544.27%55.73%
3.523.13%76.87%
4.510.19%89.81%
5.53.86%96.14%
6.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.82%40.18%
1.523.18%76.82%
2.56.48%93.52%
3.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.47%21.53%
1.545.41%54.59%
2.520.02%79.98%
3.57.02%92.98%
4.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.80%32.20%
1.531.31%68.69%
2.510.64%89.36%
3.52.83%97.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Estrela
Score012345
0
8.65%
13.29%
10.20%
5.22%
2.00%
0.62%
1
7.89%
12.11%
9.30%
4.76%
1.83%
0.56%
2
3.60%
5.52%
4.24%
2.17%
0.83%
0.26%
3
1.09%
1.68%
1.29%
0.66%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.25%
0.38%
0.29%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Chaves
1-07.89%
2-03.60%
2-15.52%
3-01.09%
3-11.68%
3-21.29%
4-00.25%
4-10.38%
4-20.29%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.65%
1-112.11%
2-24.24%
3-30.66%
Estrela
0-113.29%
0-210.20%
1-29.30%
0-35.22%
1-34.76%
2-32.17%
0-42.00%
1-41.83%
2-40.83%
3-40.25%
0-50.62%
1-50.56%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Estrela
Score01234
0
32.20%
22.90%
8.14%
1.93%
0.34%
1
13.59%
9.67%
3.44%
0.81%
0.14%
2
2.87%
2.04%
0.73%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.40%
0.29%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Chaves
1-013.59%
2-02.87%
2-12.04%
3-00.40%
3-10.29%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-032.20%
1-19.67%
2-20.73%
Estrela
0-122.90%
0-28.14%
1-23.44%
0-31.93%
1-30.81%
2-30.17%
0-40.34%
1-40.14%
Moreirense at SC Farense
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