Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Gil Vicente FC
Vitoria		14.1%
64.6%		21.3%
+424
-131
+420
-140
0
4		-0.60305-0.58742-0.43666
Braga
AVS		59.5%
17.9%		22.6%
-244
+745
-245
+750
1
0		-0.38528-0.39109-0.51953
Benfica
Arouca		73.9%
9.4%		16.7%
-433
+1200
-475
+1200
2
0		-0.24372-0.24095-0.30297
Famalicao
Estoril		41.6%
30.5%		27.9%
+140
+235
+130
+235
1
2		-1.24403-1.25846-1.18882
Santa Clara
Sporting CP		5.0%
83.4%		11.6%
+1135
-400
+1225
-500
1
0		-2.54925-2.63443-3.00296
Boavista
Nacional		25.2%
48.7%		26.1%
+300
+104
+300
-105
0
0		-1.27837-1.28910-1.34350
Moreirense
Rio Ave		38.7%
31.5%		29.8%
+176
+176
+160
+190
2
3		-1.05168-1.11541-1.15594
Estrela
SC Farense		34.4%
35.2%		30.4%
+234
+142
+190
+150
0
1		-0.91342-0.96748-1.04529
Porto
Benfica		24.4%
50.5%		25.1%
+310
-105
+295
-105
1
4		-0.70162-0.71885-0.68397
Sporting CP
Braga		48.3%
25.9%		25.8%
-156
+426
-175
+460
4
2		-0.52427-0.50099-0.72842
Vitoria
Santa Clara		39.6%
31.5%		28.9%
+188
+179
+185
+185
0
1		-1.06427-1.09862-1.15515
Nacional
Estrela		23.9%
50.2%		25.9%
+235
+129
+240
+120
0
2		-0.86607-0.83884-0.68824
Rio Ave
Boavista		33.5%
36.4%		30.0%
+165
+195
+170
+180
2
0		-1.00111-1.04214-1.09228
Arouca
Famalicao		20.6%
54.7%		24.6%
+238
+133
+260
+115
0
0		-1.20651-1.22799-1.40238
SC Farense
Casa Pia AC		26.4%
45.6%		28.0%
+326
+105
+405
-125
1
1		-1.21702-1.25973-1.27182
AVS
Estoril		30.9%
40.0%		29.1%
+265
+116
+215
+150
0
0		-1.21359-1.14819-1.23498
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).