Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AVS
Alverca 		21.0%
52.4%		26.6%
+425
-141
+420
-150
0.81
1.47		2.28
o2½-112
u2¾-140

Sporting CP
Braga 		49.3%
25.2%		25.5%
+107
+280
+100
+280
1.54
1.03		2.57
o2½-108
u2¾-140

Casa Pia AC
Estoril 		17.4%
59.6%		22.9%
+355
-130
+355
-135
0.84
1.79		2.63
o2½-120
u2¾-125

Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
SC Farense		72.8%
9.6%		17.6%
-495
+1200
-560
+1200
5
0		-0.22282-0.21348-0.31748
Famalicao
Estrela		28.0%
45.3%		26.7%
+145
+215
+160
+190
3
0		-0.92614-1.00622-1.27275
Braga
Boavista		59.6%
18.0%		22.5%
-161
+440
-200
+510
1
0		-0.53149-0.45462-0.51777
Estoril
Vitoria		12.6%
67.0%		20.3%
+586
-181
+525
-185
0
1		-0.46692-0.48101-0.39979
Arouca
Moreirense		26.1%
45.9%		28.0%
+314
+104
+285
+115
1
3		-0.74714-0.81182-0.77960
Casa Pia AC
Benfica		4.2%
85.7%		10.1%
+1100
-396
+1125
-425
0
3		-0.26011-0.26120-0.15463
Sporting CP
Nacional		84.9%
4.5%		10.5%
-402
+1046
-420
+1000
6
1		-0.26096-0.26469-0.16318
SC Farense
Rio Ave		17.9%
56.9%		25.1%
+296
+112
+280
+100
0
1		-0.76293-0.74482-0.56340
AVS
Gil Vicente FC		50.0%
50.0%		0.0%
+228
+128
+230
+125
2
4		-0.86443-0.86022
Porto
Santa Clara		64.7%
14.4%		20.9%
-130
+377
-135
+330
2
0		-0.58913-0.60684-0.43553
Vitoria
Arouca		34.7%
35.0%		30.3%
+121
+243
+125
+220
1
0		-0.83211-0.86074-1.05814
Estrela
Braga		8.0%
76.9%		15.1%
+569
-225
+575
-225
1
1		-1.57489-1.60784-1.89353
Benfica
Famalicao		74.6%
9.7%		15.7%
-170
+499
-205
+525
0
2		-1.81622-1.88092-2.33811
Santa Clara
Estoril		31.5%
39.2%		29.4%
+193
+172
+215
+145
4
1		-1.10909-1.19448-1.15626
Gil Vicente FC
Porto		5.2%
82.5%		12.2%
+1068
-391
+1200
-480
0
3		-0.26570-0.23953-0.19203
Boavista
Casa Pia AC		22.8%
51.4%		25.8%
+343
-104
+315
-105
1
0		-1.51349-1.47351-1.47837
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55052 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.56136 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.54948
0.00104
0.01188

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).