Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 9, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Boavista
Estoril
22.8%
51.0%
26.2%
+500
-180
+520
-190
0.90
1.50
2.40
o2¼-113
u2¼-105

Gil Vicente FC
Braga
6.8%
79.4%
13.8%
+517
-183
+515
-185
0.62
2.58
3.20
o2½-115
u2¾-126

Estrela
Casa Pia AC
25.3%
47.7%
27.0%
+350
-118
+375
-120
0.95
1.41
2.36
o2¼+104
u2¼-122

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Porto
31.1%
41.0%
27.9%
+160
+188
+160
+185
1
1
-1.19333-1.19902-1.27658
Porto
Rio Ave
70.0%
11.0%
19.0%
-226
+644
-295
+775
2
2
-1.58890-1.70854-1.66099
Braga
Moreirense
50.4%
24.0%
25.6%
+142
+224
+105
+270
2
1
-0.90570-0.76873-0.68506
Benfica
Estrela
70.4%
11.5%
18.1%
-520
+1200
-500
+1200
3
2
-0.23177-0.23216-0.35055
SC Farense
Sporting CP
3.1%
88.0%
8.9%
+1562
-575
+1600
-725
1
3
-0.21204-0.17678-0.12825
AVS
Vitoria
9.1%
74.0%
16.9%
+521
-175
+540
-185
0
2
-0.50316-0.48023-0.30127
Estoril
Gil Vicente FC
21.9%
51.9%
26.3%
+292
+117
+295
+115
2
1
-1.40092-1.42404-1.52069
Casa Pia AC
Santa Clara
24.5%
48.8%
26.6%
+308
+114
+305
+110
1
2
-0.79720-0.79164-0.71674
Arouca
Nacional
31.8%
39.2%
29.0%
+223
+138
+220
+140
2
1
-1.21200-1.21362-1.14681
Famalicao
Boavista
47.3%
26.6%
26.1%
+112
+274
+120
+255
2
0
-0.79003-0.83605-0.74817
Gil Vicente FC
AVS
34.9%
35.0%
30.1%
+132
+240
+140
+225
0
1
-1.27543-1.22956-1.04954
Boavista
Braga
6.6%
80.2%
13.2%
+796
-335
+1050
-400
0
3
-0.31976-0.27278-0.22115
Santa Clara
Porto
5.9%
81.2%
12.9%
+481
-149
+535
-165
1
1
-1.35232-1.35751-2.04725
Vitoria
Estoril
55.3%
19.8%
24.9%
-113
+345
-120
+350
0
1
-1.52763-1.55225-1.61823
Nacional
Sporting CP
3.3%
88.2%
8.5%
+1211
-588
+1175
-600
0
2
-0.21149-0.20281-0.12536
Benfica
Casa Pia AC
69.7%
11.9%
18.4%
-258
+746
-280
+775
1
3
-2.17463-2.21889-2.13191
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.19333 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.19902 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27658
-0.08325
-0.07756

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).