Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Gil Vicente FC
Moreirense
22.8%
50.8%
26.4%
+253
+120
+250
+120
0.89
1.48
2.37
o2¼-108
u2½-138

Volatility Bet Value Active
Estrela
Boavista
24.3%
49.3%
26.3%
+175
+165
+195
+150
0.95
1.48
2.43
o2¼-110
u2¼-109

FC Vizela
Braga
8.5%
76.0%
15.5%
+917
-341
+900
-370
0.68
2.43
3.11
o3-122
u3+108

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Famalicao
71.1%
11.3%
17.6%
-304
+825
-350
+900
1
0
-0.31714-0.30171-0.34062
Chaves
FC Vizela
18.8%
57.2%
24.1%
+267
+110
+250
+115
1
0
-1.33720-1.30092-1.67371
Moreirense
Benfica
4.6%
84.7%
10.7%
+796
-286
+800
-325
0
3
-0.33363-0.31680-0.16623
Boavista
Arouca
19.2%
56.1%
24.6%
+398
-143
+400
-145
1
2
-0.56874-0.57481-0.57782
Casa Pia AC
Portimonense
31.1%
38.8%
30.1%
+197
+157
+190
+160
2
2
-1.21164-1.18215-1.20071
Rio Ave
Estrela
32.5%
37.4%
30.1%
+197
+160
+210
+150
2
2
-1.18104-1.16437-1.20184
Braga
Estoril
59.5%
17.7%
22.7%
-137
+376
-140
+350
1
0
-0.57905-0.58727-0.51879
Famalicao
Porto
5.3%
83.1%
11.5%
+1190
-400
+1300
-475
2
2
-1.88823-1.92189-2.16100
SC Farense
Vitoria
12.6%
66.9%
20.5%
+548
-176
+560
-200
1
1
-1.48466-1.50810-1.58309
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente FC
70.9%
10.8%
18.3%
-334
+1002
-380
+1000
4
0
-0.29383-0.28303-0.34414
Estoril
Casa Pia AC
29.0%
42.3%
28.7%
+164
+213
+165
+200
0
0
-1.12067-1.13029-1.24845
Vitoria
Porto
10.2%
72.2%
17.6%
+796
-275
+750
-300
2
1
-2.23073-2.19149-2.28573
Estrela
Moreirense
19.6%
56.0%
24.4%
+256
+121
+270
+110
2
2
-1.22755-1.24223-1.40993
Portimonense
Chaves
28.4%
42.4%
29.2%
+243
+125
+245
+120
3
2
-1.26734-1.28913-1.25769
Benfica
Sporting CP
29.4%
44.0%
26.6%
+253
+112
+240
+110
1
2
-0.78292-0.79264-0.82050
Arouca
Braga
10.8%
71.0%
18.2%
+583
-230
+540
-225
3
0
-1.95892-1.90562-2.22257
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).