Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC 		17.1%
58.7%		24.2%
+340
-133
+400
-135
0.76
1.66		2.42
o2¼-116
u2¼-104

Moreirense
Estrela 		31.2%
39.8%		29.0%
+215
+145
+210
+140
1.02
1.18		2.20
o2¼-103
u2¼-115

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estrela
Porto		3.8%
86.4%		9.8%
+1600
-667
+1550
-625
1
3		-0.19963-0.19884-0.14665
Santa Clara
Braga		17.6%
60.0%		22.4%
+700
-230
+725
-220
0
1		-0.42204-0.42317-0.51068
Alverca
Arouca		20.4%
54.1%		25.5%
+132
+220
+145
+215
0
1		-1.22523-1.19448-0.61352
Benfica
Moreirense		73.7%
9.7%		16.6%
-244
+725
-275
+775
4
0		-0.38584-0.36057-0.30484
Estoril
Famalicao		15.5%
63.1%		21.4%
+355
-133
+390
-145
0
4		-0.61304-0.57552-0.46064
AVS
Sporting CP		3.9%
86.1%		10.0%
+2300
-1667
+3100
-2000
0
6		-0.11841-0.09787-0.15007
Vitoria
Rio Ave		45.0%
26.7%		28.3%
+147
+215
+145
+205
1
0		-0.94323-0.94348-0.79813
Gil Vicente FC
Casa Pia AC		48.2%
24.6%		27.1%
+105
+300
+110
+305
1
1		-1.17873-1.16488-1.30412
Gil Vicente FC
Vitoria		19.4%
56.0%		24.5%
+169
+191
+180
+185
0
0		-1.13476-1.11621-1.40511
Porto
Tondela		73.5%
9.7%		16.7%
-350
+950
-425
+1250
2
0		-0.31288-0.26035-0.30752
Nacional
Alverca		33.6%
37.8%		28.7%
+280
+119
+290
+115
0
1		-0.82046-0.81369-0.97392
Arouca
Estrela		33.1%
36.7%		30.2%
+300
-109
+320
-105
1
3		-0.71056-0.72099-1.00212
Moreirense
Estoril		23.0%
50.5%		26.5%
+240
+126
+245
+125
3
3		-1.21106-1.19789-1.32829
Braga
Famalicao		32.3%
40.7%		27.0%
+129
+225
+115
+245
2
1		-0.87486-0.81340-1.13066
Rio Ave
AVS		26.1%
45.8%		28.1%
+140
+210
+145
+200
2
1		-0.92133-0.94410-1.34442
Casa Pia AC
Santa Clara		9.7%
72.8%		17.5%
+350
+100
+380
-110
0
1		-0.75256-0.69503-0.31721
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).