Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 30, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Moreirense
Vitoria
16.3%
61.0%
22.6%
+322
-106
+360
-120
0.80
1.81
2.61
o2¼-105
u2½-144

SC Farense
Arouca
18.8%
55.7%
25.5%
+356
-125
+355
-130
0.78
1.56
2.34
o2½-110
u2½+100

Rio Ave
Boavista
30.9%
39.8%
29.2%
+180
+170
+180
+170
1.00
1.17
2.17
o2-119
u2+105

Porto
Estoril
70.4%
11.0%
18.6%
-257
+695
-290
+725
2.12
0.70
2.82
o3-106
u3-110

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boavista
Sporting CP
4.2%
85.5%
10.3%
+1800
-715
+1700
-650
1
6
-0.17739-0.19309-0.15716
Benfica
Casa Pia AC
79.1%
7.1%
13.8%
-321
+1200
-350
+1050
1
0
-0.29447-0.30004-0.23415
Vitoria
Chaves
51.9%
22.5%
25.7%
+100
+322
-110
+310
2
1
-0.71478-0.69485-0.65662
Arouca
Moreirense
27.8%
43.5%
28.7%
+260
+121
+230
+125
0
1
-0.82050-0.86022-0.83266
FC Vizela
Porto
5.3%
82.6%
12.1%
+1800
-636
+1600
-700
1
4
-0.16782-0.18372-0.19091
Gil Vicente FC
Braga
8.3%
76.2%
15.5%
+639
-235
+600
-235
1
2
-0.39070-0.40386-0.27194
Rio Ave
SC Farense
31.0%
38.5%
30.5%
+188
+177
+175
+175
1
1
-1.16616-1.18006-1.18718
Estrela
Famalicao
21.5%
54.3%
24.3%
+330
+105
+340
-105
0
0
-1.22974-1.21382-1.41671
Portimonense
Estoril
23.4%
48.7%
27.9%
+414
-144
+440
-160
0
1
-0.56208-0.53485-0.72031
Chaves
Gil Vicente FC
19.1%
56.3%
24.5%
+326
-102
+325
-105
0
0
-1.26121-1.24320-1.40560
Estoril
Benfica
3.7%
86.9%
9.4%
+942
-353
+850
-350
1
3
-0.28281-0.29982-0.14046
Sporting CP
Arouca
64.9%
14.0%
21.2%
-243
+694
-275
+725
3
0
-0.37283-0.36139-0.43297
Famalicao
Vitoria
14.8%
64.7%
20.5%
+295
+105
+280
+105
0
1
-0.74739-0.76613-0.43569
Moreirense
Boavista
31.3%
40.0%
28.8%
+145
+237
+145
+225
0
1
-1.24612-1.22666-0.91697
Braga
Rio Ave
52.2%
22.4%
25.5%
-128
+362
-130
+350
0
0
-1.39853-1.38438-1.36802
SC Farense
FC Vizela
23.1%
50.2%
26.8%
+242
+124
+235
+120
1
2
-0.83806-0.83873-0.68941
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).