Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Famalicao
Gil Vicente FC		27.3%
45.8%		26.9%
+220
+158
+220
+140
2
1		-1.18055-1.21362-1.29905
Boavista
Sporting CP		4.2%
85.5%		10.3%
+1800
-715
+1700
-650
1
6		-0.17739-0.19309-0.15716
Benfica
Casa Pia AC		79.1%
7.1%		13.8%
-321
+1200
-350
+1050
1
0		-0.29447-0.30004-0.23415
Vitoria
Chaves		51.9%
22.5%		25.7%
+100
+322
-110
+310
2
1		-0.71478-0.69485-0.65662
Arouca
Moreirense		27.8%
43.5%		28.7%
+260
+121
+230
+125
0
1		-0.82050-0.86022-0.83266
FC Vizela
Porto		5.3%
82.6%		12.1%
+1800
-636
+1600
-700
1
4		-0.16782-0.18372-0.19091
Gil Vicente FC
Braga		8.3%
76.2%		15.5%
+639
-235
+600
-235
1
2		-0.39070-0.40386-0.27194
Rio Ave
SC Farense		31.0%
38.5%		30.5%
+188
+177
+175
+175
1
1		-1.16616-1.18006-1.18718
Estrela
Famalicao		21.5%
54.3%		24.3%
+330
+105
+340
-105
0
0		-1.22974-1.21382-1.41671
Portimonense
Estoril		23.4%
48.7%		27.9%
+414
-144
+440
-160
0
1		-0.56208-0.53485-0.72031
Chaves
Gil Vicente FC		19.1%
56.3%		24.5%
+326
-102
+325
-105
0
0		-1.26121-1.24320-1.40560
Estoril
Benfica		3.7%
86.9%		9.4%
+942
-353
+850
-350
1
3		-0.28281-0.29982-0.14046
Sporting CP
Arouca		64.9%
14.0%		21.2%
-243
+694
-275
+725
3
0		-0.37283-0.36139-0.43297
Famalicao
Vitoria		14.8%
64.7%		20.5%
+295
+105
+280
+105
0
1		-0.74739-0.76613-0.43569
Moreirense
Boavista		31.3%
40.0%		28.8%
+145
+237
+145
+225
0
1		-1.24612-1.22666-0.91697
Braga
Rio Ave		52.2%
22.4%		25.5%
-128
+362
-130
+350
0
0		-1.39853-1.38438-1.36802
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).