Arouca at Moreirense

Updated

Arouca

27.8%28.7%43.5%
Arouca WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.25
0Final Score 1

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+725
W 5-1 at Chaves+120
W 2-3 vs Famalicao+130
L 0-1 at Casa Pia AC+160
W 2-3 vs Porto+675
Moreirense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Boavista+145
T 0-0 vs Rio Ave+130
W 1-0 at SC Farense+170
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP+900
W 0-1 vs Chaves-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+195+248+240+260+258+260+260+278.2
Moreirense+145+121+120+115+115+115+121+125.9
Draw+205+233+220+225+236+225+236+241.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+210----+230+230+278.2
Moreirense+140----+125+125+125.9
Draw+220----+230+230+241.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 10.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +205 to +195
Moreirense ML moved from +125 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +240 to +230
Moreirense ML moved from +135 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2½+122o2¼+100o2¼-105o2¼-101o2¼-105o2¼+100o2¼+104
Underu2¼-108u2½-144u2¼-120u2¼-115u2¼-117u2¼-115u2½-144u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-145 to o2½+118
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.14%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 410.77%
Exactly 61.73%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.44%
Exactly 319.63%
Exactly 54.73%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 039.02%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.28%
Exactly 35.42%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 028.54%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 222.44%
Exactly 39.38%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.19%
Exactly 218.69%
Exactly 41.61%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 064.68%
Exactly 128.18%
Exactly 26.14%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 055.96%
Exactly 132.49%
Exactly 29.43%
Exactly 31.82%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals9.76%
Wins by 3+ goals2.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals19.47%
Wins by 3+ goals6.72%
Wins by 4+ goals1.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal18.01%
Wins by 2 goals7.18%
Wins by 3 goals2.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal23.99%
Wins by 2 goals12.75%
Wins by 3 goals4.87%
Wins by 4 goals1.44%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.86%11.14%
1.564.42%35.58%
2.537.59%62.41%
3.517.97%82.03%
4.57.20%92.80%
5.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.98%39.02%
1.524.26%75.74%
2.56.98%93.02%
3.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.46%28.54%
1.535.67%64.33%
2.513.24%86.76%
3.53.86%96.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.81%36.19%
1.527.02%72.98%
2.58.33%91.67%
3.52.00%98.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Moreirense
Score012345
0
11.14%
13.96%
8.75%
3.66%
1.15%
0.29%
1
10.48%
13.14%
8.24%
3.44%
1.08%
0.27%
2
4.93%
6.18%
3.88%
1.62%
0.51%
0.13%
3
1.55%
1.94%
1.22%
0.51%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.36%
0.46%
0.29%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Arouca
1-010.48%
2-04.93%
2-16.18%
3-01.55%
3-11.94%
3-21.22%
4-00.36%
4-10.46%
4-20.29%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.14%
1-113.14%
2-23.88%
3-30.51%
Moreirense
0-113.96%
0-28.75%
1-28.24%
0-33.66%
1-33.44%
2-31.62%
0-41.15%
1-41.08%
2-40.51%
3-40.16%
0-50.29%
1-50.27%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Moreirense
Score01234
0
36.19%
21.01%
6.10%
1.18%
0.17%
1
15.77%
9.16%
2.66%
0.51%
0.07%
2
3.44%
1.99%
0.58%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.50%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-015.77%
2-03.44%
2-11.99%
3-00.50%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-036.19%
1-19.16%
2-20.58%
Moreirense
0-121.01%
0-26.10%
1-22.66%
0-31.18%
1-30.51%
2-30.11%
0-40.17%
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